CLAIM #13506 · CAT (CAT) · 2024Q4 earnings call · Jan 30, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
“While the impact of the share buyback should be positive, we expect to have less ME&T free cash flow to deploy in 2025.”
Andrew Bonfield · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: ME&T (Machinery, Energy & Transportation) free cash flow, full year
It came true if: Fiscal year 2025 ME&T free cash flow lower than fiscal year 2024 reported figure
Where: Company financial statements / earnings release (ME&T free cash flow reconciliation, 10-K or Q4 2025 earnings call)
In context
“in the top half of the target range with the expected level of sales, rather than being above the top end of the range, as occurred in 2024. Our margin targets are progressive, so while we would expect volume to have an impact on absolute margins, our target is adjusted for lower sales. We expect a slight headwind in other income and expense in 2025 primarily due to lower interest income, mostly due to lower interest rates, as well as the absence of the positive currency benefit from ME&T balance sheet translation that occurred in 2024. As I mentioned, we do not anticipate translation movements in our expectations. We expect restructuring costs of approximately $150 million to $200 million in 2025. We anticipate a global annual effective tax rate of 23% for 2025, excluding discrete items. While the impact of the share buyback should be positive, we expect to have less ME&T free cash flow to deploy in 2025. This implies a less favorable impact to profit per share in 2025 as compared to 2024. By segment, lower sales in construction industries and resource industries will be partially offset by sales growth in energy and transportation. For construction industries, we expect lower sales in 2025 based on the outlook Jim described and unfavorable price realization. In resource industries, we anticipate slightly lower sales versus 2024 driven by unfavorable price realization and slightly lower volume. Higher volumes and favorable price in energy and transportation should drive sales growth, though sales remain constrained until the benefits of the investments we are making in large engines begin to flow through beyond 2025. We also anticipate another year of services growth in each of our primary”
Verify independently
SEC filings for CAT ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2024Q4 earnings call.