CLAIM #13616 · CAT (CAT) · 2025Q2 earnings call · Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
“we continue to expect machine dealer inventories will be about flat for the full year, which implies some net build in the second half, versus a decrease in the corresponding time period in 2024.”
Andrew Bonfield · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Change in Caterpillar machine dealer inventories for full year 2025 (dollar or unit change as disclosed), and second-half 2025 change versus second-half 2024 change
It came true if: Full-year 2025 dealer inventory change approximately flat (within a few hundred million dollars of zero), and second-half 2025 shows a net build versus a net decrease in second-half 2024
Where: Management commentary on dealer inventories (Q4 2025 earnings call / investor presentation)
In context
“$5.2 billion. We ended the quarter with an enterprise cash balance of $5.4 billion. In addition, we held $1.2 billion in slightly longer-dated liquid marketable securities to improve yields on that cash. Now on Slide 14, let me start with a few comments on the full year. We are increasingly optimistic about our top line expectations based on what we see today. As Joe mentioned, demand signals have remained healthy, including backlog growth across our three primary segments. Against this supported backdrop, we now anticipate slightly higher sales this year with a stronger second half than is typical. This represents an improvement since our outlook last quarter. To explain, we anticipate higher machine volume, including sales to users growth in the second half versus the prior year. Also, we continue to expect machine dealer inventories will be about flat for the full year, which implies some net build in the second half, versus a decrease in the corresponding time period in 2024. Energy & Transportation sales should grow in the second half as well, driven by the strength of our backlog and robust order activity. We expect some adverse price realization in the second half versus the prior year, although this will be at a lower level than in the first half. Now moving on to margins. Excluding the impact of incremental tariffs, the full year adjusted operating profit margin is expected to be in the top half of our margin target range. However, including the net impact from incremental tariffs, we now expect full year margins will be in the bottom half of the target range, on slightly higher sales and revenues versus 2024. Excluding this tariff impact, our second half margins are expected to be stronger than the prior year. However, we anticipate they will be lower wh”
Verify independently
SEC filings for CAT ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q2 earnings call.