CLAIM #13688 · CAT (CAT) · 2025Q3 earnings call · Oct 29, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
“This assumes that the net incremental impact of tariffs will be greater in the fourth quarter than in the third, primarily due to the timing of tariff rate changes.”
Andrew Bonfield · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Net incremental tariff cost impact, Q3 2025 vs Q4 2025
It came true if: Q4 2025 net incremental tariff impact (as disclosed by CAT) greater than Q3 2025 net incremental tariff impact
Where: Company quarterly earnings release / management commentary (Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 earnings call)
In context
“, a slight improvement compared to our expectations last quarter. Now moving on to margins. Excluding the net impact from incremental tariffs, the full year adjusted operating profit margin is expected to be in the top half of our margin target range. Including the net impact from incremental tariffs, we expect full year adjusted operating profit margin to remain near the bottom of the target range. Given our improved sales and revenue expectations, adjusted operating profit margin should be slightly higher than we anticipated when we filed the 8-K on August 28. Based on the tariffs announced in 2025 and expected to be in place on November 1, we expect the impact from incremental tariffs for 2025 to be around $1.6 billion to $1.75 billion, net of some mitigating actions and cost controls. This assumes that the net incremental impact of tariffs will be greater in the fourth quarter than in the third, primarily due to the timing of tariff rate changes. As Joe mentioned, we expect ME&T free cash flow will be above the midpoint of the $5 billion to $10 billion target range. We continue to expect restructuring costs of approximately $300 million to $350 million this year. On taxes, as I mentioned, we now anticipate our 2025 global annual effective tax rate to be 24%, excluding discrete items. Turning to Slide 15. To assist you with your modeling, I'll provide our fourth quarter assumptions. Based on what we see today, we anticipate strong sales growth versus the prior year with higher sales volume across all three primary segments. We expect machine dealer inventory to decline slightly in the quarter compared to a $1.6 billion decrease in the prior year, which should result in a sales tailwind for the fourth quarter. We expect price to be”
Verify independently
SEC filings for CAT ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q3 earnings call.