MAAT INDEX

CLAIM #15650 · Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) · 2022Q4 earnings call · Jan 24, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023

So, I would say the net of all of those factors is likely to be a modest headwind to NIM.

Andrew Young · CFO

PENDING
graded after results covering Dec 31, 2023 are reported

In context

ta and asset yields as components of NIM, as we get into the latter part of this rate cycle, lagged deposit rates really have a bigger impact than the asset yields that reprice more quickly and did so over the last couple of quarters as the Fed was moving rapidly. And so, there’s a bit of that sequential dynamic going on. In terms of thinking about overall deposit beta and product mix, roughly 85% of our deposits are in consumer. It’s where our focus lies. And so if you just look at the cumulative deposit beta for the total company, it’s around 35%, was low-20s last quarter. But if you look at the last increasing rate cycle, I think the terminal beta was around 41. So, I could see a terminal beta being somewhere above that, just given competitive dynamics in the marketplace at this point. So, I would say the net of all of those factors is likely to be a modest headwind to NIM. We talked last quarter about balance sheet mix – and we are largely back to a pre-pandemic balance sheet mix from where we were a year ago. And frankly, our NIM is roughly in a similar spot. So, I would say balance sheet mix over a multiple quarter period isn’t likely to be a big driver, unless we just see outsized growth in the higher-margin card business. And then, the other factor that could prove to be a tailwind to potentially offset a little bit of the modest headwind that probably comes from the beta dynamics that I described is we could also see a bit of an increase in card revolve rates from where they are today. So, all of those things are – just to leave you with kind of a net impression that there are headwinds and potentially some tailwinds. But the one thing I will just note

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SEC filings for COF · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2022Q4 earnings call.