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CLAIM #16545 · ConocoPhillips (COP) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Feb 5, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026

On shareholder returns, we once again expect to return about 45% of our CFO to shareholders while continuing to grow our base dividend at a top quarterly S&P 500 rate.

Ryan Lance · CEO

PENDING
graded after results covering Dec 31, 2026 are reported

How to check this claim

Look at: Cash returned to shareholders (dividends + buybacks) as a percentage of cash flow from operations (CFO), fiscal year 2026

It came true if: Shareholder returns / CFO between 40% and 50% (approximately 45%)

Where: Company-disclosed cash flow statement and shareholder return figures (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)

In context

improvement, we launched and have already made great progress on our incremental $1 billion cost reduction and margin enhancement initiative. We progressed our commercial LNG strategy, growing our offtake portfolio to approximately 10 million tonnes per annum. And finally, we improved our Lower 48 drilling and completion efficiencies and advanced our differentiated major projects, which we expect to drive peer-leading free cash flow growth through the end of the decade. So 2025 was a great year for the company. Yet while these are significant achievements, not stopping there. We will build on this success. Turning to 2026, our primary focus is on delivering a $1 billion combined reduction across our capital spending and operating costs while growing our production on an underlying basis. On shareholder returns, we once again expect to return about 45% of our CFO to shareholders while continuing to grow our base dividend at a top quarterly S&P 500 rate. Top quartile dividend growth is sustainable, as we expect our free cash flow breakeven to decline into the low $30 per barrel WTI range by the end of this decade. Looking beyond 2026, I believe ConocoPhillips continues to offer a compelling value proposition that is differentiated both within our sector and relative to the broader S&P 500. As I've said before, I believe we have the highest quality asset base in our peer space. Distinguishing competitive advantage. Especially in the context of a US Shell industry that continues to mature. We are resource-rich in a world that is looking increasingly resource-scarce. We have the deepest, most capital-efficient Lower 48 inventory in the sector, and outside the Lower 48, we have an abundance of high-quality, low-cost supply legacy assets. And

Verify independently

SEC filings for COP · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.