CLAIM #18175 · CVS Health Corp (CVS) · 2022Q4 earnings call · Feb 8, 2023 · due Feb 8, 2028
“When you look at this asset in concert with Signify, we project this could improve our overall long-term earnings company growth rate by at least 100 basis points a year as these investments mature.”
Shawn Guertin · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Company's long-term adjusted EPS (or earnings) growth rate, as disclosed by management, compared to its growth rate trajectory prior to the Signify/Oak Street transactions
It came true if: Disclosed long-term earnings growth rate improves by at least 100 basis points annually versus pre-deal baseline growth rate, once investments mature
Where: Company management commentary / investor day disclosures on long-term EPS growth rate targets (earnings calls, investor presentations)
In context
“about the timing you would expect to be required to realize both the greater than $2 billion of earnings power itself and also the $500 million of synergies and also maybe any insight into where both those figures might be on a reported basis over the next couple of years, would be great? Thank you. Shawn Guertin: Yes. So, let me talk kind of about this in sort of a financial terms and try to get at some of those points. As I mentioned, right, this is a – we do think this is a deal that has an attractive long-term return on capital. And – but it also has the potential to move the needle from an earnings perspective in a company of this size and scale. Our strategy has been and will continue to be to deploy capital to improve the sustainable earnings growth rate of this company as a whole. When you look at this asset in concert with Signify, we project this could improve our overall long-term earnings company growth rate by at least 100 basis points a year as these investments mature. It’s important as you think about this, that the dilution, especially the dilution from financing, is temporal in short-term, but these sustainable improvements in growth rate are not. From a return on capital standpoint, we think it earns double-digit returns on capital in year seven. And very importantly, because of the embedded value in that clinic infrastructure, that return on capital continues to grow on the order of 200 basis points a year thereafter. And I have mentioned in my remarks that at the current rate of expansion, we would expect to have 300 clinics by – in 2026 or by the end of 2026. And using the Oak Street convention around adjusted EBITDA at $7 million per clinic, we think the embedded EBITDA could cross the $2 billion threshold in the 2026 year. So, that’s an importa”
Verify independently
SEC filings for CVS ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2022Q4 earnings call.