CLAIM #18176 · CVS Health Corp (CVS) · 2022Q4 earnings call · Feb 8, 2023 · due Feb 8, 2030
“From a return on capital standpoint, we think it earns double-digit returns on capital in year seven.”
Shawn Guertin · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Return on capital for the Oak Street Health acquisition, as disclosed or derivable from management commentary in year seven post-acquisition
It came true if: Return on capital >= 10%
Where: Management commentary on earnings calls / investor presentations discussing Oak Street Health return on capital (approximately fiscal year 2030)
In context
“and try to get at some of those points. As I mentioned, right, this is a – we do think this is a deal that has an attractive long-term return on capital. And – but it also has the potential to move the needle from an earnings perspective in a company of this size and scale. Our strategy has been and will continue to be to deploy capital to improve the sustainable earnings growth rate of this company as a whole. When you look at this asset in concert with Signify, we project this could improve our overall long-term earnings company growth rate by at least 100 basis points a year as these investments mature. It’s important as you think about this, that the dilution, especially the dilution from financing, is temporal in short-term, but these sustainable improvements in growth rate are not. From a return on capital standpoint, we think it earns double-digit returns on capital in year seven. And very importantly, because of the embedded value in that clinic infrastructure, that return on capital continues to grow on the order of 200 basis points a year thereafter. And I have mentioned in my remarks that at the current rate of expansion, we would expect to have 300 clinics by – in 2026 or by the end of 2026. And using the Oak Street convention around adjusted EBITDA at $7 million per clinic, we think the embedded EBITDA could cross the $2 billion threshold in the 2026 year. So, that’s an important sort of data point. But I think it’s important to recognize that the way that embedded EBITDA really manifests itself can be in these ongoing returns on capital. I would comment that while the return profile might be longer than other deals you have seen in the past, I don’t think it”
Verify independently
SEC filings for CVS ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2022Q4 earnings call.