CLAIM #18622 · CVS Health Corp (CVS) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Feb 10, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
“As a reminder, we expect the increase between first quarter and fourth quarter MBR to be approximately 850 basis points in 2026, which is slightly steeper than the initial expectations we provided for 2025.”
Brian O. Newman · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Increase in Medical Benefit Ratio (MBR) from Q1 2026 to Q4 2026, in basis points
It came true if: Q4 2026 MBR minus Q1 2026 MBR between 750 and 950 basis points (approximately 850 bps)
Where: CVS Health quarterly earnings releases/10-Q filings reporting segment MBR for Q1 2026 and Q4 2026
In context
“with our enrollment coming in modestly down, which was in line with our expectations. We are updating our outlook for full year cash flow from operations to at least $9 billion. This reflects the impact from certain payments that shifted from 2026 into late 2025, as well as the persistence of underlying outperformance. Cash generation has long been a strength of this enterprise, and our position continues to improve as we make progress unlocking our embedded earnings power. While our expectation for 2026 operating cash flow is down slightly, when combined with the higher cash flow we delivered in 2025, our cumulative cash flow expectation across 2025 and 2026 has increased by over $1.5 billion. We continue to expect a roughly 55-45 split of earnings between the first half and second half. As a reminder, we expect the increase between first quarter and fourth quarter MBR to be approximately 850 basis points in 2026, which is slightly steeper than the initial expectations we provided for 2025. You can find additional details on the components of our 2026 guidance on our Investor Relations website. Overall, 2025 was a strong year at CVS Health. We successfully navigated unexpected challenges and delivered on our targets. The performance of our diversified enterprise in 2025 reinforces that we are on the right track in building significant momentum into 2026. I'm confident 2026 will be another year of meaningful progress as we deliver on the tremendous amount of earnings opportunity ahead of us. We see a clear path to an incredible amount of shareholder value and are excited about the year ahead. With that, we will now open the call to your questions. Operator? Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Justin Lake with Wolfe. Justin Lake: Can you hear me? J.”
Verify independently
SEC filings for CVS ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.