CLAIM #28236 · General Motors Company (GM) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Jan 27, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
“We expect North America ICE wholesale volumes to be flat to up modestly.”
Paul Jacobson · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: GM North America ICE wholesale vehicle volumes, full year 2026
It came true if: 2026 full-year North America ICE wholesale volume >= 2025 full-year figure (flat to up), i.e. not down versus 2025
Where: GM company disclosures (10-K / investor presentations / earnings call commentary on wholesale volumes by powertrain)
In context
“by the reduced Korea tariff and expanded MSRP offset program. For Q1, we expect the gross tariff impact to be in the 750 to $1 billion range, which is well below the Quarterly impact in Q2 and Q3 at 2025 but more than Q4. The higher quarterly run rate in 2026 versus Q4 twenty-five is largely driven by the timing of tariff costs, which can be lumpy particularly as it relates to the supply chain. The team did a great job offsetting over 40% of our gross tariff costs in 2025 through go-to-market strategies, footprint changes, and cost efficiencies. As we look ahead to 2026, we expect these cost savings to be sustained and believe there are additional actions that can help mitigate our tariff impact. For the industry, we expect total US SAR to be in the low 16 million unit range for the year. We expect North America ICE wholesale volumes to be flat to up modestly. ICE volumes this year are constrained due to portfolio shifts. Including the ending of the Cadillac XT6, and some expected downtime ahead of the new Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra launches. We anticipate a benefit of one to $1.5 billion related to the actions we've taken to rightsize our EV capacity. The benefits from both EV-related charges and substantially lower EV wholesale volumes will positively impact both mix and cost. We also expect that the temporary downtime at our Altium Cells joint venture will result in lower production tax credits, but this impact should be largely offset by positive inventory adjustments from lower cell inventory levels. Lower production tax credits in 2026 should then represent a tailwind in 2027 as we resume normalized production. We expect North Ame”
Verify independently
SEC filings for GM ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.