CLAIM #31314 · IBM (IBM) · 2025Q3 earnings call · Oct 22, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2026
“As that becomes the bulk of the Red Hat book of business entering 2026, we do expect to see Red Hat returning to mid-teens or close to mid-teens growth.”
Arvind Krishna · CEO
How to check this claim
Look at: Red Hat segment revenue growth rate (YoY), as reported
It came true if: Red Hat revenue growth >= 13% in at least one quarter during 2026 (mid-teens or close to mid-teens)
Where: IBM quarterly earnings release / segment disclosures (Red Hat revenue growth commentary)
In context
“I was just wondering about next year. You do wrap the Hashi acquisition in the spring, I think March. Are there signs that it can accelerate from here? Obviously with Red Hat decelerating a little, I just think folks would like to know broadly if you can keep double-digit next year or even accelerate based on the portfolio realizing that you're wrapping the acquisitions that timeframe? Thanks so much guys. Arvind Krishna: Yes, Ben, great question. So let me decompose it into the four parts of software that we talk about. And then we'll touch on acquisitions and their contribution. And then I'll ask Jim to try to put it all together back into the financial model for you. So let's take Red Hat. We talked about 20% signings growth this quarter. We had similar numbers in the previous quarter. As that becomes the bulk of the Red Hat book of business entering 2026, we do expect to see Red Hat returning to mid-teens or close to mid-teens growth. So that would be an acceleration from where we are this quarter. Then next, we talked about and in the last question, Jim touched on transaction processing, or mainframe software. We have seen this happen multiple times. In the first couple of quarters of a new cycle, TP tends to come down because people are very much focused on getting their hardware capacity. As that hardware capacity gets deployed, then the TP revenue begins to come up, along with some of the ELA cycle dynamics that are there. And we begin to see that. So I expect to see TP grow. Not quite in double digits to be clear, but let's call it low single digits for sure into next year. Automation has been growing in this last quarter at 22%. Yes, the HashiCorp acquired revenue was a piece of it. And as you point out, that'll”
Verify independently
SEC filings for IBM ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q3 earnings call.