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CLAIM #31376 · IBM (IBM) · 2026Q1 earnings call · Apr 22, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026

We remain confident this will be our strongest cycle given the AI innovation value we are delivering to clients.

James J. Kavanaugh · CFO

PENDING
graded after results covering Dec 31, 2026 are reported

How to check this claim

Look at: z17 mainframe cycle revenue performance versus prior IBM mainframe product cycles (e.g., z16, z15), measured via infrastructure/Z systems revenue trend disclosed by IBM

It came true if: z17 cycle infrastructure revenue growth/decline trajectory (cumulative or peak) exceeds that of the prior cycle at the equivalent point, as reported in company commentary or segment data

Where: IBM quarterly earnings releases and management commentary (Infrastructure segment results, 10-Q/10-K, earnings calls)

In context

maintain our guidance even as the underlying performance and execution are off to an encouraging start. The combination of our focused portfolio, investment in innovation and our diversity across businesses drives the durability of our performance. Our revenue expectations are underpinned by our accelerating software business, which we now expect to grow 10-plus percent this year. In consulting, the quality of our backlog and momentum in GenAI with backlog penetration at about 30%, continue to support an acceleration in revenue growth to low to mid-single digits for the year. We are off to a great start with z17. And 4 quarters into z17's launch, we prudently continue to expect infrastructure revenue to be down low single digits for the year, representing about a 0.5 point impact to IBM. We remain confident this will be our strongest cycle given the AI innovation value we are delivering to clients. The momentum in our productivity flywheel is fueling margin expansion, while enabling investment in innovation. Last quarter, we disclosed that we anticipated absorbing about $600 million of dilution from Confluent in 2026, driven largely by stock-based compensation and interest expense. While we are absorbing incremental dilution given the early closing of Confluent, actions we are taking to accelerate our cost synergies enable us to stay on track to expand operating pretax margins by about 1 point this year. Our operating tax rate for the year should be in the mid-teens and the timing of discrete items can cause the rate to vary within the year. For free cash flow, we continue to expect to grow about $1 billion for the full year, driven primarily by growth in adjusted EBITDA. The headwi

Verify independently

SEC filings for IBM · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2026Q1 earnings call.