CLAIM #37065 · Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Feb 4, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
“Price is expected to be a drag on growth in the low to mid-teens.”
Lucas Montarce · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Price contribution to year-over-year revenue growth, FY2026 (as disclosed in revenue bridge/growth decomposition)
It came true if: Price effect between -16% and -10% (a drag of low to mid-teens percentage points)
Where: Company Q4 2026 earnings release and management commentary (revenue growth bridge, volume vs. price decomposition)
In context
“ors and vials. We are encouraged to see sustained growth uptake of Zepbound vials, which represented approximately one-third of total Zepbound prescriptions and nearly 50% of new Zepbound prescriptions in Q4. In the US, Mounjaro expanded market leadership in the type two diabetes incretin market, exiting the quarter with over 55% of new prescriptions. On slide 11, we provide an update on capital allocation. Moving to slides 12 and 13, we share our 2026 financial guidance and highlight key factors that will impact our financial outlook. We expect revenue to be between $80 billion and $83 billion. The midpoint of our revenue range is an increase of 25% compared to 2025. We expect to deliver industry-leading volume growth driven by our key products, partially offset by lower realized prices. Price is expected to be a drag on growth in the low to mid-teens. Three factors will impact US price: the government access agreement for obesity medicines, updated direct-to-patient Zepbound pricing, and lower Medicaid prices for later life cycle medicines. Pricing outside the US will be impacted by Mounjaro's inclusion on China's National Reimbursement Drug List for type two diabetes. We believe these price concessions will be more than offset by increased volume over time as we expand the number of people who can benefit from Lilly medicines. As I shared earlier, we continue to see robust growth trends in the US incretin analogs market, and we expect a similar trajectory to continue in 2026. As seen with other new launches, we expect the launch of oral GLP-1s to expand the addressable market. We expect Orforglipron to launch for chronic weight manage”
Verify independently
SEC filings for LLY ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.