CLAIM #37615 · Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) · 2024Q3 earnings call · Oct 22, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2027
“So in other words, steady improvement to a more normal range of around 11% ROS by 2027.”
Jay Malave · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Segment return on sales (ROS), full fiscal year
It came true if: Reported segment ROS for FY2027 between 10.5% and 11.5%
Where: Company-disclosed segment operating margin (10-K / Q4 2027 earnings release)
In context
“growth over the coming years. Looking at sales through the 2027 time line, our baseline assumption still reflects a low-single-digit compound annual growth rate off of the higher-than-expected sales expectation for 2024. As I stated previously, the demand signals point to mid-single-digit growth through 2027, but the outlook remains tempered by our current assessment of the pace at which the value chain can meet the demand. Our confidence in a mid-single-digit growth rate will grow as clarity increases on new business campaigns, funding stability and capacity acceleration of the production systems. On segment margins, we anticipate improvement of 10 to 20 basis points per year based on our continued focus on operational excellence and program performance, combined with program derisking. So in other words, steady improvement to a more normal range of around 11% ROS by 2027. Thinking about EPS trends over the three-year horizon, while we anticipate year-over-year benefits from higher segment operating profit and a lower share count, these benefits will be diluted by continued FAS/CAS pension headwinds, particularly in 2025, and higher effective tax rates from a change in certain deductions based on current law. For free cash flow, we continue to target a low single-digit CAGR through 2027, based on delivering cumulative working capital reductions that partially offset known pension contribution headwinds. While offsetting the pension contributions dollar-for-dollar in each year with working capital reductions alone is a challenge. We have confidence that we could fully offset the headwinds and improve the growth rate to mid-single-digits through the combinati”
Verify independently
SEC filings for LMT ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2024Q3 earnings call.