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CLAIM #37617 · Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) · 2024Q3 earnings call · Oct 22, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2027

For free cash flow, we continue to target a low single-digit CAGR through 2027, based on delivering cumulative working capital reductions that partially offset known pension contribution headwinds.

Jay Malave · CFO

PENDING
graded after results covering Dec 31, 2027 are reported

How to check this claim

Look at: Free cash flow CAGR from base year (2024) through 2027, as reported

It came true if: 2024-2027 FCF CAGR between 1% and 4% (low single-digit growth)

Where: Company cash flow statement / annual report and management commentary (10-K, earnings calls through FY2027)

In context

r confidence in a mid-single-digit growth rate will grow as clarity increases on new business campaigns, funding stability and capacity acceleration of the production systems. On segment margins, we anticipate improvement of 10 to 20 basis points per year based on our continued focus on operational excellence and program performance, combined with program derisking. So in other words, steady improvement to a more normal range of around 11% ROS by 2027. Thinking about EPS trends over the three-year horizon, while we anticipate year-over-year benefits from higher segment operating profit and a lower share count, these benefits will be diluted by continued FAS/CAS pension headwinds, particularly in 2025, and higher effective tax rates from a change in certain deductions based on current law. For free cash flow, we continue to target a low single-digit CAGR through 2027, based on delivering cumulative working capital reductions that partially offset known pension contribution headwinds. While offsetting the pension contributions dollar-for-dollar in each year with working capital reductions alone is a challenge. We have confidence that we could fully offset the headwinds and improve the growth rate to mid-single-digits through the combination of organic and inorganic cash generation initiatives. We'll provide more details in January as we show our plans with better visibility to 2024 pension asset returns, post-election policy and interest rates. Overall, this baseline multiyear framework remains consistent to the investment thesis we've discussed previously. We still expect single digit – low-single-digit free cash flow growth over the next three years, supplemented by share repurchases to deliver mid-single-digit free cash flow per share return over the same horizon wi

Verify independently

SEC filings for LMT · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2024Q3 earnings call.