CLAIM #40422 · Medtronic PLC (MDT) · 2024Q2 earnings call · Dec 8, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2030
“We do expect growth in our Type II business going forward, but Type II pump penetration rates are so low that even using aggressive GLP-1 modeling assumptions, we don't see any meaningful change in our diabetes growth outlook through 2030.”
Geoff Martha · CEO
How to check this claim
Look at: Diabetes business segment revenue growth rate (annual, as reported)
It came true if: Diabetes segment annual revenue growth remains consistent with company's prior diabetes growth outlook (no material acceleration or deceleration attributable to GLP-1/Type II dynamics) through fiscal year 2030
Where: Company segment revenue disclosures (10-K / quarterly earnings releases, Diabetes segment)
In context
“rates seen in select. So given the select results showed smaller impacts on the more obese patients, we believe that bariatric surgery will remain the gold standard for addressing obesity. We also know that many of the patients that try these drugs do not stay on them for more than a year, likely due to durability, side effects, or affordability, which creates opportunities for new patients to consider surgery. For these reasons, we believe the current headwinds on U.S. bariatric procedures will stabilize over the next several quarters and return to growth by calendar year 2025. And this is modest and manageable within our broader diversified surgical business. Now with diabetes, our customers are primarily Type I, with only 10% of our installed base in Type II insulin-dependent patients. We do expect growth in our Type II business going forward, but Type II pump penetration rates are so low that even using aggressive GLP-1 modeling assumptions, we don't see any meaningful change in our diabetes growth outlook through 2030. Now we'd be happy to discuss this in more detail in Q&A, including our view on the select trial and its potential implications for medtech. Now Before we go to the analyst questions, I'd like to close with a few brief concluding thoughts on our progress. You're seeing in our results that many of the challenges that have held back our growth have largely been mitigated, whether that's diabetes, China, or the issues in our supply chain. And we've established a track record of delivering durable mid-single-digit revenue growth, which we expect to continue in the back half of the fiscal year. We have some really compelling product approvals that drive our growth not only in the back half, but for years to come. There's been a number of things that have happened recently, big things. In the la”
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SEC filings for MDT ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2024Q2 earnings call.