MAAT INDEX

CLAIM #443 · Shake Shack Inc (SHAK) · 2023Q2 earnings call · Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023

While we are not providing specific fourth quarter guidance at this time, we expect to see typical seasonality in both our sales and profitability from the third to the fourth quarter.

Katie Fogertey · CFO

CANNOT_DETERMINE
resolved by a revision, graded at the moved level · official band 5 percent
Committed
we expect to see typical seasonality in both our sales and profitability from the third to the fourth quarter
Reported
For the fourth quarter, we guide total revenue of $276.25 million to $281.75 million

In context

gh single digits price. we are rolling off the high single-digit price we took in October 2022. We expect to end of the year running at just a low single-digit price, which is in line with our more normal pricing patterns. And this will be a pressure to our same-Shack sales in the fourth quarter. We expect licensing revenue to reach $40 million to $41 million. While we're starting to see some signs of food cost declining and inflationary pressures decelerating, most of our basket cost remains elevated and beef inflationary pressures remain highly uncertain until the end of the year. But despite ongoing headwinds, we guide full-year 2023 restaurant margins to reach 19.25% to 20%. This represents approximately 200 basis points to 270 basis points of restaurant margin expansion in this year. While we are not providing specific fourth quarter guidance at this time, we expect to see typical seasonality in both our sales and profitability from the third to the fourth quarter. As a reminder, prior to COVID, fourth quarter restaurant margins seasonally are lower than the third quarter levels, and that's largely driven by lower sales. While this year, we expect to outperform that historical pre-COVID margin seasonality, given the strong success we were seeing on our strategic priorities, beef inflationary risks are real and present a headwind to our profitability through the rest of the year. We expect this in addition to rolling off that significant October '22 price increase and ending the year with just about 2% price against the broad inflationary pressures we're seeing to impact our fourth quarter flow-through overall. However, all else equal, if beef inflation was consistent with last year's performance and consumer spending patterns remain strong, we see a

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SEC filings for SHAK · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2023Q2 earnings call.