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CLAIM #44477 · Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) · 2023Q4 earnings call · Jul 25, 2023 · due Jun 30, 2024

Even with strong demand and a leadership position, growth from our AI services will be gradual as Azure AI scales and our copilots reach general availability dates.

Amy Hood · CFO

CANNOT_DETERMINE
versus commitment · official band 5 percent
Committed
growth from our AI services will be gradual as Azure AI scales and our copilots reach general availability dates
Reported
Azure growth included 8 points from AI services where demand remained higher than our available capacity

How to check this claim

Look at: Contribution of AI services to Microsoft Cloud/Azure revenue growth (as disclosed in management commentary), weighted toward H2 FY24

It came true if: AI contribution to Azure growth points is small/gradual in H1 FY24 (Q1-Q2, through Dec 2023) and becomes materially larger in H2 FY24 (Q3-Q4, Jan-Jun 2024), per management's quarterly disclosed AI-points-of-growth commentary

Where: Management commentary on quarterly earnings calls (Azure growth points from AI disclosure), FY24 Q1-Q4

In context

to $2.1 billion. Next, my outlook commentary for both the full year and next quarter is on a U.S. dollar basis unless specifically noted otherwise. And my outlook does not include any impact from the Activision acquisition, which we continue to work towards closing, subject to obtaining required regulatory approvals. Now for some thoughts on the full year of FY '24. With the weaker U.S. dollar and assuming current rates remain stable, we expect FX to increase full year revenue growth by approximately 1 point with no impact to COGS or operating expense growth. The impact in H1 is expected to be greater than H2. At a total company level, revenue growth from our Commercial business will continue to be driven by the Microsoft Cloud and will again outpace the growth from our Consumer business. Even with strong demand and a leadership position, growth from our AI services will be gradual as Azure AI scales and our copilots reach general availability dates. So for FY '24, the impact will be weighted towards H2. To support our Microsoft Cloud growth and demand for our AI platform, we will accelerate investment in our cloud infrastructure. We expect capital expenditures to increase sequentially each quarter through the year as we scale to meet demand signals. We are committed to driving operating leverage, and therefore, we will manage our total cost growth across COGS and operating expense in line with the demand signals we see as well as revenue growth. Increased capital spend will drive higher COGS growth than in FY '23, and FY '24 operating expense growth will remain low as we prioritize our spend. Therefore, we expect full year operating margins to remain flat year-over-year, even with the headwind from the change in accounting estimate.

Verify independently

SEC filings for MSFT · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2023Q4 earnings call.