“We expect this to result in fourth quarter organic sales somewhat lower than third quarter.”

In context

“ow productivity. However, where we will land within those ranges has become more uncertain given the geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East. We continue to expect organic sales growth of in line to 4%. We're seeing progress in most categories and regions, as you can see in this quarter's results. Underlying global market growth for our portfolio footprint is around 2% on a value basis, with a positive trend over the last 2 months. However, it's unclear how much higher gasoline and energy costs will impact near-term consumer spending in our categories. Also, as I mentioned earlier, the trade inventory increase we saw in March was driven by Easter timing and likely some protection against potential price increases or supply chain disruptions resulting from the conflict in the Middle East. We expect this to result in fourth quarter organic sales somewhat lower than third quarter. As a reminder, our top line guidance includes a roughly 30 to 50 basis point headwind from product and market exits as part of our restructuring work. Our bottom line guidance is for core EPS growth in line to 4% versus prior year. This equates to a range of $6.83 to $7.09 per share. This guidance includes a foreign exchange tailwind of approximately $200 million after tax, unchanged from our prior outlook. We now expect a headwind of approximately $150 million after tax for the fiscal from a combination of commodity-linked cost inflation, feedstock exposures and logistics disruptions resulting from the conflict in the Middle East. Almost all of these increased costs will be in the fourth -- fiscal fourth quarter. Our teams are doing a tremendous job to protect supply continuity and to mi”