CLAIM #50362 · PM (PM) · 2025Q3 earnings call · Oct 21, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
“Our fifth consecutive year of volume growth including a cigarette decline of around 2%, smoke-free volume growth of plus 12 to plus 14%.”
Emmanuel Babeau · CFO
In context
“alia, Turkey and Germany. While this was partially offset by unfavorable geographic mix, we now forecast full year pricing a little above plus 7%, with a slowdown in Q3 as expected due to timing factors. Most importantly, and as covered earlier, our combustible business continues to deliver a very robust contribution, with close to plus 5% year-to-date growth profit growth. This is fully in line with our objective of maximizing value over time and supporting the growth of our smoke-free business. This brings me to our outlook for the full year. We are on track for a very strong performance with another year of double-digit growth in adjusted operating income and adjusted diluted earnings per share. This starts with shipments, where we continue to target total PMI growth of around plus 1%. Our fifth consecutive year of volume growth including a cigarette decline of around 2%, smoke-free volume growth of plus 12 to plus 14%. Smoke reshipment growth is more likely to be in the lower half of this range, factoring in the potential inventory adjustments for ZYN I described, and expected IQOS HTU shipments of close to 38 billion units in Q4. This Q4 HTU forecast includes modestly lower channel inventory and a reversal of around 2 billion units, due to timing impact with HTU shipment growth thus broadly in line with our plus 10 to plus 12 adjusted IMS growth forecast for 2025 overall. We continue to forecast organic net revenue growth of plus six to plus 8%, driven by positive volumes smoke remix and pricing. Consistent with smoke-free volumes and given the top-line impact of U.S. Investment, the lower half of this range is also more likely. Excluding the technical impact of Indonesia, our forecast growth would be”
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SEC filings for PM ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q3 earnings call.