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CLAIM #50366 · PM (PM) · 2025Q3 earnings call · Oct 21, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025

Consistent with smoke-free volumes and given the top-line impact of U.S. Investment, the lower half of this range is also more likely.

Emmanuel Babeau · CFO

PENDING
graded after results covering Dec 31, 2025 are reported

In context

ipments, where we continue to target total PMI growth of around plus 1%. Our fifth consecutive year of volume growth including a cigarette decline of around 2%, smoke-free volume growth of plus 12 to plus 14%. Smoke reshipment growth is more likely to be in the lower half of this range, factoring in the potential inventory adjustments for ZYN I described, and expected IQOS HTU shipments of close to 38 billion units in Q4. This Q4 HTU forecast includes modestly lower channel inventory and a reversal of around 2 billion units, due to timing impact with HTU shipment growth thus broadly in line with our plus 10 to plus 12 adjusted IMS growth forecast for 2025 overall. We continue to forecast organic net revenue growth of plus six to plus 8%, driven by positive volumes smoke remix and pricing. Consistent with smoke-free volumes and given the top-line impact of U.S. Investment, the lower half of this range is also more likely. Excluding the technical impact of Indonesia, our forecast growth would be at or above the high end of our three-year growth algorithm. We expect another year of double-digit organic operating income progression, where we now forecast plus 10 to plus 11.5% growth for the year including the same factor as net revenues. We expect this growth to drive strong adjusted OI margin expansion to land firmly back above 40%. This above algorithm growth in a year of strong investment clearly demonstrates the dynamism of our global growth model. We are raising our adjusted diluted earnings per share forecast to the mid to upper end of our previous currency neutral growth range at plus 12 to plus 13.5%, which translate into plus 13.5% to plus 15.1% in dollar term. This includes an estimated Tencent curr

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SEC filings for PM · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q3 earnings call.