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CLAIM #50399 · PM (PM) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Feb 6, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026

Both shipments and adjusted IMS volumes are projected to grow in a high single digit after factoring in the headwinds from Japan excise taxes and US zinc inventory comparisons described earlier.

Jacek Olczak · CEO

PENDING
graded after results covering Dec 31, 2026 are reported

How to check this claim

Look at: Smoke-free shipment volume growth and adjusted IMS volume growth, full-year 2026

It came true if: Both full-year shipment volume growth and adjusted IMS volume growth for smoke-free products between 6% and 9%

Where: Company full-year 2026 earnings release / Q4 2026 call (shipment volumes and adjusted IMS data)

In context

year of pricing of plus 7.6%, including plus 6.8% in Q4, and very good growth profit growth. Our full-year cigarette share declined by 0.2 points to 25.3% mainly due to Turkey, was otherwise stable including record high for Marlboro, both for the full year and in Q4, where its share reached 11% of the international category excluding China. For 2026, we forecast a convertible pricing variance of around plus 6%, reflecting continued dynamic performance. With that, I will now hand it back to Yatzek. Jacek Olczak: Thank you, Emmanuel. This brings me to our outlook for 2026, where we expect another year of strong and profitable growth despite several transitory headwinds. Starting with volumes, we expect continued strong underlying momentum in our smoke-free business for all three categories. Both shipments and adjusted IMS volumes are projected to grow in a high single digit after factoring in the headwinds from Japan excise taxes and US zinc inventory comparisons described earlier. For combustibles, we forecast a cigarette decline of around 3% with weaker industry volumes in India and Mexico following the recent excise tax increases and our own recovery in Turkey likely to impact comparisons in the first half. Altogether, this results in a broadly stable outlook for total shipment growth subject to the usual variability in shipment timing and trade inventory movement as compared to a forecast total industry decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HDUs. led by combustibles We expect another strong year overall for price notwithstanding the impact of US first half comparisons. And for continued positive smoke-free mix. Taking all these elements into account, we forecast 2026 organic net revenue growth of five to 7%. We expect the same factors in addition to operating

Verify independently

SEC filings for PM · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.