CLAIM #50401 · PM (PM) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Feb 6, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
“Taking all these elements into account, we forecast 2026 organic net revenue growth of five to 7%.”
Jacek Olczak · CEO
How to check this claim
Look at: Organic net revenue growth, full year 2026
It came true if: 5% to 7% organic net revenue growth
Where: Company earnings release / 10-K (organic revenue growth disclosure, FY2026)
In context
“projected to grow in a high single digit after factoring in the headwinds from Japan excise taxes and US zinc inventory comparisons described earlier. For combustibles, we forecast a cigarette decline of around 3% with weaker industry volumes in India and Mexico following the recent excise tax increases and our own recovery in Turkey likely to impact comparisons in the first half. Altogether, this results in a broadly stable outlook for total shipment growth subject to the usual variability in shipment timing and trade inventory movement as compared to a forecast total industry decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HDUs. led by combustibles We expect another strong year overall for price notwithstanding the impact of US first half comparisons. And for continued positive smoke-free mix. Taking all these elements into account, we forecast 2026 organic net revenue growth of five to 7%. We expect the same factors in addition to operating leverage and ongoing cost efficiencies to drive further robust margin expansion with projected organic operating income growth of seven to 9%. This includes continued strong investment behind our smoke-free portfolio. We are forecasting currency-neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of 7.5% to 9.5% factoring in broadly stable net finance cost and an effective corporate tax rate approximately in line with 2025 at around 21.5%. Including an estimated 28 pen currency benefit at prevailing exchange rate, This translates to 11.3 to 13.3% growth to a range of $8.09 to $8.54. Which would mark another year of double-digit EPS growth in dollar terms. We expect a significant acceleration in operating cash flow growth at around €13.5 billion at preva”
Verify independently
SEC filings for PM ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.