CLAIM #51013 · PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) · 2025Q3 earnings call · Oct 28, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
“We expect to see year-over-year comparisons start to normalize more in the fourth quarter.”
Jamie Miller · CFO
In context
“ents, and $11.4 billion in debt. Moving to guidance on slide 14, following another quarter of strong financial performance, we are raising our full-year guidance for TM dollars and non-GAAP EPS. For the fourth quarter, we expect currency-neutral revenue growth in the mid-single digits. We expect fourth quarter TM to be between $4.02 billion and $4.12 billion, which represents about 3.5% growth at the midpoint. Excluding interest on customer balances, we expect TM dollars to grow by about 5% at the midpoint compared to 7% year to date. Setting interest rates aside, there are a few factors to highlight that impact our fourth quarter outlook. First, we have seen strong credit outperformance over the past year, driven by good execution from the team, as well as a more benign loss environment. We expect to see year-over-year comparisons start to normalize more in the fourth quarter. Second, given the performance of some of our key initiatives, we see an opportunity to lean into our competitive differentiation with additional investment to drive faster growth over time. In the fourth quarter, we will begin increasing investments designed to drive product attachment and habituation. Some of these investments are linked to volumes and therefore recorded as contra revenue, impacting TM dollars and designed to drive additional growth over time. Other growth investments, such as global brand awareness campaigns, typically sit within marketing and non-transaction OpEx. Lastly, on TM, our fourth quarter guide assumes some deceleration in branded checkout growth relative to our third quarter average. From a volume perspective, the most important weeks and months of the quarte”
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SEC filings for PYPL ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q3 earnings call.