CLAIM #54249 · Southern Company (SO) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Feb 19, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2030
“Considering the composition and strength of our large load pipeline, we project commercial sales, which currently comprise roughly 1/3 of our total retail sales to more than double, growing roughly 20% annually through the end of the decade.”
David P. Poroch · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: Commercial retail sales growth rate, annual (as % increase year-over-year), and cumulative growth through decade-end
It came true if: Commercial sales grow at approximately 20% annually (accept range 17-23% per year) and more than double (>100% cumulative increase) from the roughly one-third-of-retail-sales base by end of 2030
Where: Company segment/retail sales disclosures in 10-K/10-Q filings and quarterly earnings materials
In context
“han what we reported last quarter and 4 gigawatts higher than a year ago. These 26 customer projects, nearly all of which are currently under construction include load ramps totaling 8 gigawatts by the end of our 5-year planning horizon, ultimately ramping up to 10 gigawatts beyond 2030. Importantly, in addition to these signed contracts, we are in late-stage discussions for another 10 gigawatts of load, 3 gigawatts of which are working through final reviews and are highly likely to progress to an executed contract in the near term. Based on the timing of the associated load ramps for the projects in our risk-adjusted forecast, including the contracts we have signed, we project sales growth and the associated revenues to accelerate into 2027 with an even more pronounced expansion in 2028. Considering the composition and strength of our large load pipeline, we project commercial sales, which currently comprise roughly 1/3 of our total retail sales to more than double, growing roughly 20% annually through the end of the decade. The framework and methodology under which we approach contracting with large load customers are, we believe, one of the best in the industry and are uniquely designed to benefit and protect existing customers and investors. Across all our electric jurisdictions, our regulatory frameworks allow for bilaterally negotiated contracts for large load customers rather than the use of a standard tariff. This provides each utility with the necessary flexibility to appropriately price large load customers in a manner designed to more than cover the incremental cost to serve them, helping to ensure this growth can immediately benefit existing customers. Our contracts include a robust set of terms and conditions. Contracts carry minimum terms of at least 15 years for data centers with some going out”
Verify independently
SEC filings for SO ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.