CLAIM #58846 · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) · 2025Q2 earnings call · Jul 29, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2026
“Additionally, due to the projected expiration of premium subsidies across the ACA market, our membership should decline significantly.”
Tim Noel · CEO, UnitedHealthcare
How to check this claim
Look at: Individual exchange (ACA) segment membership, year-over-year change
It came true if: ACA exchange membership declines significantly (>10% year-over-year) as reported by company
Where: Company-disclosed membership figures (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings call or investor presentation)
In context
“sely at the 2026 Medicare offerings public. So we can better assess our market positioning and respond quickly. For commercial, because renewals occur over the course of the year, we are able to price for changes more dynamically. Our pricing will anticipate higher trend continuing into 2026 and 2027. We expect increased membership decline as well as shifts into both level funded and self-funded product categories because of higher medical cost trends. The individual exchange business, while we are prepared to continue to participate, the majority of the thirty markets we currently serve. We will approach them far more conservatively for 2026. We may need to make the difficult decision to exit select markets if we are unable to achieve the rates necessary for higher market-wide morbidity. Additionally, due to the projected expiration of premium subsidies across the ACA market, our membership should decline significantly. And we are mindful of the potential for adverse selection dynamics as we reprice these offerings for next year. In Medicaid, there remains a lag between funding levels and member health risk, and we expect this to continue into 2026. Resulting in additional margin compression in the business, including a loss within the non-dual segment of Medicaid in 2026. Membership losses from early adoption of recent legislation is also factored into our initial views for 2026. Wherever states support responsible funding for Medicaid, we remain committed to serving people through that program view this as integral to our mission. The American health system's longstanding cost problem is accelerating. Are embracing our responsibility continue to drive better health outcomes trying to keep health care a”
Verify independently
SEC filings for UNH ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q2 earnings call.