CLAIM #58895 · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) · 2025Q3 earnings call · Oct 28, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2026
“We believe these actions will establish a sustainable premium base while likely reducing our ACA enrollment by approximately 2/3.”
Tim Noel · CEO, UnitedHealthcare
How to check this claim
Look at: ACA (individual exchange) enrollment/membership, year-over-year change
It came true if: 2026 ACA enrollment down approximately 60-70% versus prior year level
Where: Company-disclosed membership figures (10-K/10-Q membership tables or earnings call commentary)
In context
“of our group commercial insured offerings have been priced for next year. Our commercial pricing reflects the elevated cost levels we've seen this year, which we expect to persist in 2026. While we expect our group fully insured business to contract in line with the broader market, we continue to see strong traction for our self-funded offerings. We expect the vast majority of our employer insurance businesses to be repriced for 2026 and to return to our normal margin range in 2027. Moving to ACA markets. We have submitted rate filings in nearly all of the 30 states where we participate that reflect 2025 morbidity and experience. These include average rate increases of over 25%. Where we are unable to reach agreement on sustainable rates, we are enacting targeted service area reductions. We believe these actions will establish a sustainable premium base while likely reducing our ACA enrollment by approximately 2/3. These actions should drive margin improvement in our employer and individual segment in 2026, though still below our targeted 7% to 9% range. In Medicaid, the path to recovery will be more challenging. States have not funded in line with actual cost trends. So funding levels are not sufficient to cover the health needs of state enrollees. While we're making steady progress in bridging this gap with states, the mismatch between rate adequacy and member acuity will likely extend through 2026. To date, we have received 2026 draft rates on almost half of our contracts, which have a January 1 rate cycle, and we continue to advocate for rate updates to better reflect our ongoing experience with elevated trends. Our team is focused on addressing drivers unique to these markets, especially behavi”
Verify independently
SEC filings for UNH ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q3 earnings call.