CLAIM #59719 · Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Jan 27, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2027
“we remain committed to attaining our three year CAGR of high single to low double digit EPS growth through 2027.”
Jennifer Hamann · CFO
How to check this claim
Look at: EPS three-year CAGR from FY2024 base to FY2027, as reported diluted EPS (or adjusted EPS if company frames target on adjusted basis)
It came true if: Three-year CAGR (2024-2027) between 7% and 12%
Where: Company income statement / earnings release (10-K) and management commentary on Q4 2027 earnings call
In context
“r service product creates value for customers and we are committed to outperforming the markets through our business development efforts. It's also important to note that since we laid out our three year targets in September 2024, several things have changed. Notably, S and P Global's 2026 economic estimates in key areas such as industrial production, housing starts and auto sales have deteriorated. In addition, rail inflation is ticking up again. We expect slightly over 4% inflation in 2026. Our commitment to yielding price dollars that exceed inflation dollars has not changed but price may not be a driver of our improving margins in 2026. And of course, in September 2024, we did not anticipate the impact of merger costs and pausing our share repurchases. Despite this different backdrop, we remain committed to attaining our three year CAGR of high single to low double digit EPS growth through 2027. Specific to 2026, our earnings outlook is in the mid single digit range as we continue to face volume and cost headwinds. As 2025 demonstrated, the year ahead will likely present some ups and downs, but I am confident that we can adapt and drive financial gains. We are planning $3.3 billion for 2026 capital improvements and we will continue to deliver value to our shareholders with consistent annual dividend increases. Importantly, we fully expect to improve our operating ratio versus 2025 and remain the industry leader in operating ratio and return on invested capital. The team's accomplishments in 2025 demonstrate the capabilities of our great franchise and we look forward to making further improvements in 2026 as a standalone company and in 2027 when we merge with the Norfolk Southern.”
Verify independently
SEC filings for UNP ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.