MAAT INDEX

CLAIM #60528 · United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Jan 27, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026

Full year operating margin is expected to be flat to 2025.

Brian Dykes · CFO

CANNOT_DETERMINE
resolved by a revision, graded at the moved level · official band 5 percent
Committed
Full year operating margin is expected to be flat to 2025.
Reported
We are raising our consolidated operating profit expectation to approximately $8.65 billion

How to check this claim

Look at: U.S. Domestic segment full-year operating margin, fiscal year 2026

It came true if: 2026 U.S. Domestic operating margin within 0.3 percentage points of 2025's reported U.S. Domestic operating margin

Where: Company segment reporting (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release, U.S. Domestic segment operating margin)

In context

ed basis, we expect revenue to be approximately $89.7 billion. Operating margin is expected to be approximately 9.6%, and diluted earnings per share are expected to be about flat to 2025. As a reminder, 2025 EPS included a $0.30 benefit from a sale-leaseback transaction. Lastly, our guidance for 2026 does not reflect any significant changes to the current tariff landscape. Now let me add color on the segment. Looking at U.S. Domestic, we are going through significant structural changes, and 2026 marks the inflection point of our strategy. Full year 2026 revenue is expected to be approximately flat year over year. We expect ADV to be down mid-single digits year over year due to our actions with Amazon, which will be offset by a strong revenue per piece growth rate in the mid-single digits. Full year operating margin is expected to be flat to 2025. Looking at the shape of the year, revenue and our cost structure in the back half of the year will be meaningfully different than in the beginning of the year. In the first half of the year, we expect a decline in revenue compared to 2025, driven by volume decline. Looking at 2026, we expect to generate an operating margin in the mid-single digits. This is due to short-term transition expenses related to Groundsaver, the timing of removing Amazon-related costs, including the execution of a voluntary driver separation program, and additional expense associated with the aircraft leases related to the retirement of our MD-11 fleet. In the second half of the year, we expect high single-digit operating profit growth, reflecting the completion of our strategic actions. We will still be comping

Verify independently

SEC filings for UPS · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.