MAAT INDEX

CLAIM #60535 · United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) · 2025Q4 earnings call · Jan 27, 2026 · due Mar 31, 2026

Looking at the first quarter, we expect revenue to be approximately flat with a year-over-year decline in operating profit due to changes in trade lanes and tough comps from the front-running of tariff and de minimis changes in 2025.

Brian Dykes · CFO

CANNOT_DETERMINE
versus commitment · official band 5 percent
Committed
we expect revenue to be approximately flat with a year-over-year decline in operating profit due to changes in trade lanes and tough comps from the front-running of tariff and de minimis changes in 2025
Reported
Operating profit in the International segment was $551 million, down $103 million year-over-year, primarily due to trade policy changes.

In context

nning a more agile U.S. network. The USPS will be delivering some of our Groundsaver product, and our driver staffing will align with our new delivery volume level. Our results in the second half of the year will be more indicative of our go-forward financial algorithm, with an emphasis on both top-line growth and operating margin expansion. Moving to the International segment, we expect the dynamic environment we experienced in 2025 will continue in 2026, primarily due to the tariff and de minimis policy changes that will continue to drive changes in trade lane mix. With that in mind, we anticipate revenue growth to be in the low single digits year over year, driven by a solid increase in revenue per piece. Operating margin in the International segment is expected to be in the mid-teens. Looking at the first quarter, we expect revenue to be approximately flat with a year-over-year decline in operating profit due to changes in trade lanes and tough comps from the front-running of tariff and de minimis changes in 2025. In Supply Chain Solutions, for the full year 2026, we expect revenue to be up high single digits, which includes revenue from our Andalar acquisition. Operating margin in SES is expected to be in the low double digits. For modeling purposes, in total below the line, expect approximately $760 million in expense, which includes pension income of approximately $250 million, and we expect the tax rate for the full year to be approximately 23%. Now let's turn to our expectation for cash and the balance sheet. We expect free cash flow to be approximately $6.5 billion, including our annual pension contribution of $1.3 billion, but before we factor in the financial impact of a voluntary driver separation program. Capital expenditures are expected to be about $3 billion. We are planning to pay out

Verify independently

SEC filings for UPS · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2025Q4 earnings call.