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CLAIM #781 · Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) · 2022Q4 earnings call · Dec 7, 2022 · due Oct 31, 2023

Our existing land should allow us to grow community count 10% in fiscal year 2023.

Douglas Yearley · CEO

CANNOT_DETERMINE
resolved by a revision, graded at the moved level · official band 5 percent
Committed
grow community count 10% in fiscal year 2023
Reported
We expect community count to be approximately 375 by fiscal year-end

How to check this claim

Look at: Average community count growth, fiscal year 2023 vs fiscal year 2022

It came true if: Fiscal 2023 community count >= 10% higher than fiscal 2022

Where: Company-disclosed community count (10-K / quarterly earnings release or call)

In context

sting attractive land portfolio allows us to be highly selective in this process and to walk away from or renegotiate deals that no longer meet our higher thresholds. Over the past three quarters, we have walked away from over 9,000 of our option lots and many additional deals have been deferred or restructured. This cost us $12 million in forfeited options and sunk development costs, $6 million of which was in the fourth quarter. At fiscal year-end, we owned approximately 37,700 lots and controlled about 38,300 through options. This is a 6,000 lot or 7.5% reduction in total lots in the fourth quarter alone. We continue to target an overall mix of 60% option and 40% owned over the longer term. Excluding the loss allocated to our backlog, 56% of total lots were controlled through options. Our existing land should allow us to grow community count 10% in fiscal year 2023. We also control enough land for further community count growth in 2024. As a reminder, we acquired much of the land for our planned fiscal year '23 community openings prior to 2021 before land prices started inflating. In fiscal '22, we spent approximately $2.2 billion on land acquisition and development. In light of current market conditions, we expect to significantly reduce the spend in '23, which should free up capital for other uses. With over $3 billion of liquidity at fiscal year-end and substantial operating cash flow projected in fiscal year 2023, we are in a strong position to pay down debt, buy back stock and opportunistically acquire control of land that may become more attractively priced, all while maintaining a conservative and low leverage balance sheet. In the fourth qu

Verify independently

SEC filings for TOL · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2022Q4 earnings call.