CLAIM #899 · Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) · 2023Q3 earnings call · Aug 23, 2023 · due Aug 23, 2025
“We sell 10,000 a year, hope to sell 12,000, then 14,000 then 16,000, but in the scheme of the 1 million-plus houses, new homes that are sold in this country in a year.”
Douglas Yearley · CEO
How to check this claim
Look at: Toll Brothers annual home sales deliveries (units)
It came true if: Annual deliveries >= 12,000 units
Where: Company-disclosed annual home deliveries (10-K / earnings release)
In context
“getting a bit more equity out of their home than they had thought. So they're wealthier. They're getting a bit more equity out of the existing home, and they want to move. I talked about it on the last call, find a house for people besides Marty Connor, our CFO, is not a strict financial decision, it's a family decision. It's emotional. It's moving all of your life. It's getting the kids in the better school. It's moving down as an empty nester. It's buying the second home. And all of that wins, it trumps the straight financial calculation on the back of a napkin, and where do they go? They may start on a resale market. They can't find anything. We're really proud of what we do. We're really good at what we do. We have groupies. People want and aspire to get into the Toll Brothers house. We sell 10,000 a year, hope to sell 12,000, then 14,000 then 16,000, but in the scheme of the 1 million-plus houses, new homes that are sold in this country in a year. We are a small fraction of it, and there are plenty of buyers still out there, that are in the market even at 7.5%. And we're benefiting from that, and that's going to continue as our brand gets better and better. Joe Ahlersmeyer: Yes, it makes a ton of sense. I'm glad you sort of took it that direction, because I think a lot of times, folks are hearing the word tailwind, and maybe understanding it, at least on the existing home inventory point to mean future headwind, right? And I'm just curious if you see it this way. It sounds like you don't - I don't want to put words in your mouth, but maybe if you could just in your answer sort of touch on what you see as the most likely scenario for existing home inventory rising, and whether - or not you think for Toll, this actually would represe”
Verify independently
SEC filings for TOL ↗ · Claim quote is verbatim from the 2023Q3 earnings call.