95.6 /100
AAPL (AAPL)
Other · 143 verified grades · · BalancedBIASMedian signed deviation across numeric graded claims. Sandbags: outcomes land favorable to guidance. Overpromises: the opposite. Needs at least 6 numeric claims.
What management is on the hook for (123)
hedged · expects · high conviction
2026 Q4 (19)19 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“If we look at the sequential change from the June quarter, the 12% services we reported to what we're guiding for the September quarter, we are going to see another two and a half point sequential headwind.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As we go into the September quarter, what I would say is we expect foreign exchange will continue to be a headwind. In fact, this is a theme that's impacting the services business more so than the total company. We expect foreign exchange to drive about a 5 percentage point headwind to the year-over-year growth rate from the March to September quarter.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For September, we expect to pay even higher memory costs, and we're able to offset partly by a few factors”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“If you look forward into the current quarter, the September quarter, we continue to expect high levels of demand. However, with less flexibility in supply chain, we expect the impact from the supply constraints to increase significantly sequentially.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OIE to be around $350 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark to market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 16.5%.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect operating expenses to be between $19.1 billion-$19.4 billion.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This includes an expected benefit of approximately one percentage point related to tariff refunds.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect gross margin to be between 47%-48%.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For services, we expect the September quarter year-over-year reported growth rate to be largely similar to what we reported in the June quarter after removing the negative sequential impact of about two and a half percentage points from foreign exchange that we just described.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Therefore, we expect the September quarter reported growth rate for iPhone to be mid-teens year-over-year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“However, we do expect iPhone revenue to be impacted by these foreign exchange headwinds and supply constraints.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On iPhone, we expect to continue to see high levels of demand.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, we expect our September quarter total company revenue to grow between 9%-11% year-over-year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Second, we expect the impact from supply constraints to increase significantly sequentially.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We also expect our September quarter total company revenue to be impacted by two main factors. First, we expect foreign exchange to be a sequential headwind of about two and a half percentage points to the year-over-year total company growth rate from the June quarter to the September quarter.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“However, we believe we'll see decreasing benefit from this over time beyond the September quarter.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Later this year, we'll make Mac mini there, too.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The new multi-year agreement with Broadcom, which is part of Apple's American Manufacturing Program, is expected to exceed $30 billion.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“If you look beyond September, we see the market pricing for memory continuing to increase, which could drive an increasing impact on our business, and we're continuing to evaluate this.”
Test pending
2026 Q2 (10)10 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“And this summer, in the US and Canada, Apple Maps will feature ads during key search and discovery moments, creating a new way for local businesses to reach customers and explore new places.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Launch status of ads within Apple Maps in the US and Canada (search and discovery placements)
Apple Maps ads feature is live/available to users in the US and Canada by end of summer 2026 (on or before September 22, 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple Maps app/product updates, Apple Newsroom press releases, or management commentary on subsequent earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-30
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we look forward to bringing a more personalized Siri to users coming this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public release/availability of the more personalized Siri feature to users
Apple announces or ships the more personalized Siri update to users (public release, not developer beta) before the stated deadline SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple press release, company website (Siri/Apple Intelligence feature page), or management commentary on next earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-30
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For the June quarter—and what is embedded in the guidance that Kevan went through earlier—we expect significantly higher memory costs.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around $250 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 17%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect gross margin to be between 47.5% and 48.5%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect Services revenue to grow at a year-over-year rate similar to what we reported in March, after removing the favorable year-over-year impact from foreign exchange tailwinds.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are looking forward to opening the doors to an all-new advanced manufacturing center in Houston later this year, which will provide hands-on training led by Apple Inc. experts and tailor-made for students, supplier employees, and American businesses.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Opening of Apple's advanced manufacturing center in Houston
Facility opens to provide training (doors open) by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / management commentary on earnings callKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.supply chainCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“At TSMC’s Arizona facility, for example, Apple Inc. is on track to purchase well over 100 million advanced chips.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative number of advanced chips Apple has purchased from TSMC's Arizona facility
Greater than 100 million chips SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on Apple earnings calls or company press releases regarding TSMC Arizona chip purchasesKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We were pleased to share recently that Mac mini production is coming to America later this year, expanding our factory operations in Houston with a brand new facility.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Mac mini production operational at Houston facility
Company confirms Mac mini units are being manufactured at the new Houston facility by year-end SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release or management commentary (earnings call / newsroom)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.supply chainCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We think looking forward that the Mac mini and the Mac Studio may take several months to reach supply-demand balance.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Supply-demand balance status for Mac mini and Mac Studio, as described in management commentary
Management states on a subsequent earnings call (Q3 or later) that Mac mini and Mac Studio supply-demand constraints have been resolved/balanced SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on subsequent earnings calls (Q3/Q4 FY2026)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-30
2026 Q1 (4)4 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This will help power future Apple intelligence features, including a more personalized Siri coming this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public availability/release of a more personalized Siri feature powered by new Apple foundation models
Apple announces or ships the personalized Siri feature by the stated deadline SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple press releases, iOS release notes, or company statements (management commentary on earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-30
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“From a memory point of view, to answer your question, memory had a minimal impact on Q1. So the December gross margin. We do expect it to be a bit more of an impact to the Q2 gross margin and that was comprehended in the outlook of 48 to 49% that Kevin gave earlier.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around $100 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 17.5%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect services revenue to grow at a year-over-year rate similar to what we reported in December.”
Test pending
2025 Q4 (8)8 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In general, I think as we've talked about before, we are expecting increases in our CapEx spending related to AI investments.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Capital expenditures (CapEx), as reported in cash flow statement (payments for acquisition of property, plant and equipment)
Fiscal 2026 CapEx higher than fiscal 2025 reported CapEx SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple 10-K / cash flow statement, fiscal year 2026 resultsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-11-01
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Right now on the commodity side, I would say we're seeing a slight tailwind on memory in storage prices and nothing really to note there.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“our tax rate to be around 17%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around $150 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 17%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we are significantly increasing our investments in AI, while continuing to invest in our product road map. And so for the December quarter, we expect operating expenses to be between $18.1 billion and $18.5 billion.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“we're committed to invest $600 billion over the next 4 years with a focus on innovation in strategic areas like advanced manufacturing, silicon engineering and artificial intelligence.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative disclosed U.S. investment commitment over the 4-year period, as reported by Apple
Cumulative disclosed U.S. investment >= $600 billion by 2029-10-30 (based on company statements/press releases, not necessarily audited spend) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple press releases and investor communications on U.S. investment commitments (management commentary on earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2029-10-30
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“starting next year, Apple TV will be the place for subscribers to follow every twist and turn of the new season.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Availability of F1 racing broadcast/streaming rights on Apple TV in the U.S.
Apple TV carries live U.S. broadcast of F1 races starting in the 2026 season SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / Apple TV service announcements, sports media coverageKNOWABLE AFTER2026-03-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And as we've shared, we expect to release it next year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Availability of the more personalized Siri feature (public release/rollout)
Company announces or ships the personalized Siri feature to users at some point during the stated fiscal year period SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple press releases, company statements, or management commentary on subsequent earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-30
2025 Q3 (6)6 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“You are going to continue to see our CapEx grow. It's not going to be exponential growth, but it is going to grow substantially.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Capital expenditures (CapEx), as reported for the fiscal year (payments for acquisition of property, plant and equipment / capex line)
FY2026 CapEx greater than FY2025 CapEx (year-over-year increase > 0%), consistent with 'substantial' growth rather than flat or exponential SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple 10-K / cash flow statement (capital expenditures line) and quarterly earnings commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are also significantly growing our investments.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“You are going to see an increase in CapEx.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“and our tax rate to be around 17%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $25 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 17%.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We're making good progress on a more personalized Siri, and as we've said before, we expect to release these features next year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public release of the more personalized Siri features (Apple Intelligence)
Apple announces/ships the personalized Siri features to users before end of calendar 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, iOS/software release notes, or management commentary on earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
2025 Q2 (4)4 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I'll just add that on your question about investment that we don't underestimate -- underinvest in our business. We make significant investments in R&D. That continues to grow. We're continuing to grow our R&D investment.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $300 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Given the continued confidence we have in our business now and into the future, today, our Board authorized an additional $100 billion for share repurchases as we maintain our goal of getting to net cash neutral.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Apple's net cash position (cash and marketable securities minus total debt)
Net cash position moves toward zero, i.e., decreases from the $35 billion reported at quarter end SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple quarterly earnings press release / 10-Q balance sheet disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-05-01
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“With regard to the more personal Siri features we announced, we need more time to complete our work on these features so they meet our high-quality bar. We are making progress and we look forward to getting these features into customers' hands.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public release/availability of the enhanced personalized Siri features (the delayed Apple Intelligence Siri capabilities) to customers
Apple announces or ships the personalized Siri features to customers (feature appears in an iOS release notes or company statement) = hit; no release = miss SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple press releases, iOS release notes, or management commentary on subsequent earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2025-12-31
2025 Q1 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capacityCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“we were excited to announce plans to connect with even more customers this year by adding a fifth store in the UAE and bringing our online store to Saudi Arabia this summer.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“In April, we're bringing Apple Intelligence to more languages, including French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Spanish, Japanese, Korean, and simplified Chinese, as well as localized English to Singapore and India.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But I think for most, they're going to find that they're going to use many of the features every day. And certainly, one of those is the -- is Siri, and that will be coming over the next several months.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $300 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capacityCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We can't wait to welcome customers to the first of several flagship store locations in Saudi Arabia that were opening beginning in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Opening of first Apple flagship retail store location in Saudi Arabia
At least one Apple-branded flagship retail store physically opens to customers in Saudi Arabia SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple newsroom press release / company-disclosed store openings, or Q1 2027 earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
2024 Q4 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“while NAND and DRAM increased during the course of the September quarter and we expect them to increase during the December quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we believe that soon we'll be out of constraint.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we look forward to additional intelligence features in December, with even more powerful Writing Tools, a new visual intelligence experience that builds on Apple Intelligence, and ChatGPT integration, as well as localized English in several countries, including the UK, Australia, and Canada.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $250 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark to market of minority investments.”
Test pending
2024 Q3 (7)7 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Keep in mind on the Mac that we will have a challenging compare from a year ago, given the fact that we launched and we had the full quarter impact of the launch of the MacBook Air 15-inch a year ago.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But yes, I mean you can expect that there is -- we will continue to invest and increase it year-on-year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our objective that we said in June is to roll out US English starting in the fall and that is to users, and then proceed with more functionality, more features, if you will, and more languages and regions coverage as we proceed across the next year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a slightly different mix. We expect foreign exchange to have a minimal impact sequentially, although a more significant impact on a year-over-year basis.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $50 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark to market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 16.5%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect our September quarter total company revenue to grow year-over-year at a rate similar to the June quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect foreign exchange to continue to be a headwind and to have a negative impact on revenue of about 1.5 percentage points on a year-over-year basis.”
Test pending
2024 Q2 (4)4 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And the same applies for foreign exchange. Foreign exchange will have a negative impact sequentially of about 30 basis points.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Within that guidance, we expect memory to be a slight headwind, not a very large one, but a slight headwind.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we plan to continue along the same lines going forward.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around $50 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
2024 Q1 (2)2 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Apple Vision Pro, the most advanced personal electronics device ever, will be available in Apple stores for customers in the U.S. with expansion to other countries later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around $50 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
2023 Q4 (7)7 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect, as of today, that we're going to be in supply demand balance by the end of the quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We're excited to get this magical product in the hands of customers early next year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Also, on foreign exchange, we expect a negative year-over-year revenue impact of about 1 percentage point.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $200 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax-rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We also expect to grow after normalizing for both last year's supply disruptions and the one extra week.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Over 300 of our suppliers have committed to using a 100% clean energy for Apple production by 2030.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of Apple suppliers committed to 100% renewable/clean energy for Apple production
Company-reported supplier commitment count >= 300 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple Environmental Progress Report / supplier clean energy commitment disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We plan to make every product across our lineup carbon neutral by the end of the decade.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Share of Apple's product lineup certified/reported as carbon neutral
100% of Apple's product lineup reported as carbon neutral by end of 2030 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITApple Environmental Progress Report / company sustainability disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
2023 Q3 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But as Luca said, as he talked about how we're viewing Q4, the September quarter, we see iPhone accelerating in Q4.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In June, the performance was across the board...We think the situation will continue to improve as we go through September.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to believe there is great value in our stock and maintain our target of reaching a net cash neutral position over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $250 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect iPhone and Services year-over-year performance to accelerate from the June quarter.”
Test pending
2023 Q2 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Given the continued confidence we have in our business now and into the future, today our Board has authorized an additional $90 billion for share repurchases as we maintain our goal of getting to net cash neutral over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The environment on the component side is favorable. We've seen component prices decline during the March quarter, and we expect the same during the June quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For the first time in several quarters, foreign exchange, we expect foreign exchange to be flat on a sequential basis at the gross margin level.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We're also raising our dividend by 4% to $0.24 a share, and we continue to plan for annual increases in the dividend going forward.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OINE to be around negative $250 million excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
2023 Q1 (2)2 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $100 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Foreign exchange is still a negative, about 50 basis points sequentially, but it's mitigating. The last couple of weeks, the dollar has weakened a bit. And so hopefully, as we go through the year, hopefully, things will improve.”
Test pending
2022 Q4 (3)3 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“There is nothing unusual that we see for the next 12 months.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But on the positive side, we are seeing commodities behave fairly favorably for us. And so we believe we can offset the foreign exchange – the negative foreign exchange that we're seeing.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $300 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16.5%.”
Test pending
2022 Q3 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe in investing through the downturn. And so we'll continue to hire people and invest in areas, but we are being more deliberate in doing so in recognition of the realities of the environment.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With the new M2 chip powering MacBook Air and the 13-inch MacBook Pro, we expect more customers to make Mac available to their entire workforce.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to believe there is great value in our stock and maintain our target of reaching a net cash neutral position over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative [indiscernible] impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OpEx to be between $12.9 billion and $13.1 billion.”
Test pending
2022 Q2 (9)9 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“I would say on the positive side here is that the demand for both our products and services is solid.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“It will affect most of the product categories. And we obviously will look to do any kind of optimization that we can do to minimize the effect on the user.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The – on a positive front, almost all of the affected final assembly factories have now restarted. And so the range – the $4 billion to $8 billion range reflects various ramps of getting back up and running.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“and we continue to plan for annual increases in the dividend going forward.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $100 million excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OpEx to be between $12.7 billion and $12.9 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Additionally, we paused, all sales in Russia during the March quarter. This will impact our year-over-year growth rate by approximately 150 basis points.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We'll probably be doing even more here as more chips are produced here.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“It will affect most of the product categories. And in terms of whether it's -- whether we can recapture or not we believe that there's a percentage of it that is recapturable and a percentage of it that is likely not where somebody needs something quickly.”
Test pending
2022 Q1 (2)2 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $150 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments, and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OpEx to be between $12.5 billion and $12.7 billion.”
Test pending
2021 Q4 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We’ve put our current thoughts in the gross margin guidance that we gave you, the 41.5% to 42.5%. I would tell you that we are seeing a significant increase in freight costs. And I would assume that that is pretty consistent across different companies. And so, we’re clearly seeing some inflation there.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around negative $50 million, excluding any potential impact from the mark-to-market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OpEx to be between $12.4 billion and $12.6 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For services, we expect our growth rate to decelerate from the September quarter but to remain strong.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This brings us closer to removing all plastic in our packaging by 2025.”
Test pending
2021 Q3 (6)6 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But we expect that number to be higher for the September quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect OI&E to be around zero, excluding any potential impact from the mark to market of minority investments and our tax rate to be around 16%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect our OpEx to be between $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.supply chainCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And third, we expect supply constraints during the September quarter to be greater than what we experienced during the June quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Second, we expect our services growth rate to return to a more typical level.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“First, we expect the foreign exchange impact on our year-over-year growth rate to be three points less favorable than it was during the June quarter.”
Test pending