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Federal and public sector demand dynamics

48 statements on the record across 8 companies, ordered by how much each has said. Every quote is verbatim from its call.

THE FIFTEEN-SECOND READ

Across the group, FedRAMP authorization is the common lever for public sector growth, with CVLT, GTLB, QLYS, NOW and VRNS all citing certifications as differentiators or pipeline drivers [m629, m641, m1976, m1977, m532, m403, m651]. Divergence is sharpest on federal demand health: NOW describes federal as a standard consolidation platform with strong Q1 engagement despite tightening budgets [m1271, m1272, m869, m870, m855], SAIL and CVLT call federal business as usual or in line with expectations [m1701, m1947, m1948], while AVPT and VRNS report actual underperformance, with AVPT citing DOGE related churn and retention step downs through 2025 and VRNS admitting the federal investment case remains unproven despite FedRAMP moderate status [m1564, m1566, m1570, m149, m124, m126]. Commitments shifted over time, AVPT narrowed federal exposure to about 2% of ARR in February 2025 but maintained it was not backing down by Q4 2025, pointing to second half pipeline traction [m741, m742, m1382, m1383, m915], while VRNS moved from underperformance in Q3 2024 to achieved FedRAMP authorization delivering on a prior promise, only to later temper expectations [m344, m313, m651, m149]. FTNT and QLYS frame the US and federal segments as growth priorities warranting further investment, with no reported softness [m192, m532].

AVPT13NOW11CVLT7VRNS7GTLB5FTNT3QLYS1SAIL1
AVPT13 statements

In February 2025, CEO Jiang said federal exposure was narrowed to about 2% of ARR, even as staff reductions occurred, and cited a Canadian defense customer win via FedRAMP authorized solutions. [m741, m742, m733] By August 2025, CFO Caci said guidance had already priced in DOGE related federal spending uncertainty from the start of the year. [m1731] In Q3 2025, Caci reported public sector softness and DOGE related churn drove a sequential retention rate step down, prompting the company to maintain rather than raise full year ARR guidance, while CEO Jiang maintained government demand would persist. [m1564, m1566, m1570, m1578, m1568, m1579] By Q4 2025 Caci said public sector, particularly Fed, growth remained lower than North America overall, but reaffirmed the company was not backing down on public sector; by Q2 2026 Caci pointed to pipeline traction expected to drive growth in the second half. [m1382, m1383, m915]

Show the 13 verbatim statements
#m733 · 2025-02-27 · Tianyi Jiang · STATED

This led to a significant customer expansion with a Canadian-based defense company turning to our Resilience and Control suites to secure their environment with FedRAMP authorized solutions.

#m742 · 2025-02-27 · Tianyi Jiang · STATED

Having said that though, while there are staff reduction actions happening, the fundamental requirement of digital transformation, elevating, advancing technology deployments and also AI deployments still allow us to have very active conversations with the agencies around their data, [state postures] and their AI readiness capabilities.

#m741 · 2025-02-27 · Tianyi Jiang · STATED

So all of that effectively narrowed down to just basically 2% of our total ARR. So the exposure is around that.

#m1731 · 2025-08-07 · James Caci · STATED

Yes. Thanks for the question, Joe. If you think back to how we thought about guidance really at the beginning of the year, we knew at that point that there was a ton of uncertainty with the new administration coming in, the discussions around DOGE, clearly, the focus on reducing spend and really going into that.

#m1570 · 2025-11-06 · James Caci · STATED

All of the discussion from [ DOGE ] in terms of that impact or potential impact. And we actually did see some of that in Q3. Some of it was reflected in some of our churn.

#m1564 · 2025-11-06 · James Caci · STATED

As we anticipated, revenue growth in North America was impacted by relative softness in the public sector, as U.S. federal agencies navigate a number of changes.

#m1566 · 2025-11-06 · James Caci · STATED

In Q3, the expected softness we saw in the public sector was the primary driver in the sequential step down in our retention rates.

#m1578 · 2025-11-06 · James Caci · STATED

I do think there were lots of layoffs, lots of uncertainties. I do think it's still a lot of that. We did hear -- somebody had mentioned to me the other day, did you see any pull-through acceleration into Q3 before the shutdown? We didn't see that, at least for us.

#m1568 · 2025-11-06 · James Caci · STATED

And so accounting for this uncertainty, which we believe is prudent, is why we have elected to maintain and not raise our full year guidance for ARR.

#m1579 · 2025-11-06 · Tianyi Jiang · STATED

I would just highlight that at the end of the day, government continue to modernize, data continue to grow. I think no one should be throwing in towel here on the federal government. Government is not going to go away.

#m1383 · 2026-02-26 · James Caci · STATED

the other parts of the business are very strong. Obviously, globally, it is still a very key component to our growth strategy in the future. So we are not backing down on public sector.

#m1382 · 2026-02-26 · James Caci · STATED

What we saw in Q4 was, I would say, similar to what we had seen in Q3 in that the public sector and particularly Fed space growth rate was lower than North America in general.

#m915 · 2026-05-08 · James Caci · STATED · by second half of the year

What we're seeing this year, and we're already seeing in Q2 is some traction, some pickup. Our pipeline is growing. We see some nice growth rate that's going to propel really the second half of the year, particularly in public sector.

NOW11 statements

McDermott said ServiceNow went general availability with Gen AI SKUs for its government Community Cloud on June 28, 2024, after Mastantuono reported U.S. Federal net new ACV up over 50% year-over-year in Q2. [m403, m410] By October 2024, McDermott said ServiceNow had become the standard platform for federal agencies consolidating contracts, with no Q3 impact or involvement from Carahsoft issues. [m1271, m1272] In April 2025, Mastantuono noted federal agencies face tightening budgets, but expects significant growth once agencies realign to a new baseline, backed by a newly launched government transformation suite. [m869, m870, m871] McDermott reported a great Q1 in public sector, citing continued positive engagement with senior administration and DOJ officials and an agency using ServiceNow AI agents for contract review automation, while pointing to legacy COBOL systems as a future consolidation opportunity. [m855, m857, m856, m881]

Show the 11 verbatim statements
#m403 · 2024-07-24 · Gina Mastantuono · STATED

From an industry perspective, U.S. Federal had a great quarter, accelerating both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year with net new ACV up well over 50% from last Q2. Manufacturing and Energy and utilities were also areas of strength, growing net new ACV over 50% year-over-year.

#m410 · 2024-07-24 · William McDermott · STATED · by June 28

We just went general availability with our Gen AI SKUs for our government Community Cloud. This is June 28, by the way.

#m1271 · 2024-10-23 · Bill McDermott · STATED

We didn't see any impact in Q3, and we're currently not involved in any issues regarding Carahsoft with the U.S. federal business.

#m1272 · 2024-10-23 · Bill McDermott · STATED

ServiceNow has become the standard platform for federal agencies as they're looking to consolidate contracts and standardize on a single vendor to drive digital transformation.

#m870 · 2025-04-23 · Gina Mastantuono · STATED

After agencies realigned to this baseline, we expect significant growth opportunities driven by operational needs expressed by these customers and addressed by solutions across our portfolio.

#m869 · 2025-04-23 · Gina Mastantuono · STATED

We all know that US federal agencies are navigating changes from tightening budgets and evolving mission demands and are being asked to move quickly.

#m857 · 2025-04-23 · Bill McDermott · STATED

Moving forward, we will continue our productive discussions with senior administration and DOJ officials. The engagement has been very positive as we have a shared ambition to transform government and the way it interacts with citizens.

#m856 · 2025-04-23 · Bill McDermott · STATED

One agency is using ServiceNow AI agents to automate contract reviews, streamline approvals, and lower operational costs.

#m855 · 2025-04-23 · Bill McDermott · STATED

With regard to the public sector, let me be clear. We had a great Q1 because ServiceNow's strategy is rooted in government automation and modernization. This is being championed by the Trump administration with local leaders and national governments around the world following suit.

#m871 · 2025-04-23 · Gina Mastantuono · STATED

With the launch of our government transformation suite, we're meeting agencies where they are with purpose-built solutions that accelerate digital transformation, increase transparency, and improve public service delivery.

#m881 · 2025-04-23 · Bill McDermott · STATED

we still have 1959 COBOL systems in government. And we still have very bespoke functional systems legacy systems, that are in the hundreds of instances per agency. So there is an opportunity for the government in the United States as well as around the world to literally take the software industrial complex and consolidate it onto ServiceNow.

CVLT7 statements

Mirchandani said Commvault achieved FedRAMP High authorization, positioning it uniquely versus top competitors in government cyber resiliency. [m629, m641] He added Commvault Cloud for government can now handle controlled unclassified information and is on the AWS Federal and Government marketplaces. [m630, m642] Mirchandani said the company is investing in specialized field resources like the field CTO community to bring compliance capabilities to governments globally. [m643] A year later, DiRico said the Fed business performed in line with expectations in Q1, with FedRAMP High certification still a competitive advantage. [m1947, m1948]

Show the 7 verbatim statements
#m630 · 2025-04-29 · Sanjay Mirchandani · STATED

With this, Commvault Cloud for government can now securely handle controlled, unclassified information in cloud computing environments for government agencies and contractors. Additionally, Commvault Cloud is now on the AWS marketplace for the US Federal Government.

#m641 · 2025-04-29 · Sanjay Mirchandani · STATED

So, government, federal government, governments around the world are a definite area of focus. We went through the long journey of getting our technology FedRAMP High certified, and we're in a very rarefied space with that certification. Most of our competitors don't even come close on the level of certification that we have.

#m642 · 2025-04-29 · Sanjay Mirchandani · STATED

In addition, we're making our technology far easier to obtain and access by being on marketplaces like the AWS Federal marketplace and Government marketplace that we just announced.

#m643 · 2025-04-29 · Sanjay Mirchandani · STATED

Agencies are looking for security and compliance, and we have it. We're investing in specialized field resources, as you've observed with our field CTO community, that are deeply rooted in security issues and can take some of our capabilities from a compliance and standards point of view to governments globally.

#m629 · 2025-04-29 · Sanjay Mirchandani · STATED

During the quarter, we also extended our cyber resiliency leadership for government organizations. Among our top competitors, we are the only company to achieve FedRAMP High authorization.

#m1947 · 2026-04-28 · Jennifer DiRico · STATED

From a federal perspective, we feel incredibly good about our Fed business. It performed in line with our expectations in Q1.

#m1948 · 2026-04-28 · Jennifer DiRico · STATED

Ultimately, what we're seeing is that our FedRAMP High certification continues to be a competitive advantage for us.

VRNS7 statements

Melamed and Faitelson disclosed that federal business underperformed expectations in Q3 2024, though the vertical remains only mid-single digit percentage of total ARR. [m344, m313] Melamed said management changes plus expected FedRAMP authorization next year would better position the company to capture the federal opportunity. [m332] Faitelson confirmed FedRAMP Authorization was achieved, enabling the entire SaaS platform to be offered to the federal sector, delivering on the prior promise. [m651] Despite holding FedRAMP moderate, Faitelson later said the investment case for federal remains unproven, citing continued underperformance, team reductions, and increased uncertainty in the remaining OPS business. [m149, m124, m126]

Show the 7 verbatim statements
#m344 · 2024-10-29 · Guy Melamed · STATED

So that's a great question. I'll take that. The federal business did underperform by several million dollars. But let's keep things in perspective, that vertical accounts for mid-single digit percentages out of total ARR.

#m332 · 2024-10-29 · Guy Melamed · STATED · by next year

We have decided to make changes to the management team of our federal business and believe those changes, coupled with our expectations for FedRAMP authorization next year, will better position us to capture that market opportunity going forward.

#m313 · 2024-10-29 · Yaki Faitelson · STATED

While our federal business underperformed our expectations, our strong performance this quarter was led by our enterprise business, with healthy contribution from new logo growth and conversion activity from both on-prem subscription and perpetual maintenance customers.

#m651 · 2025-07-29 · Yakov Faitelson · STATED

Additionally, I'm also proud to announce that we achieved the FedRAMP Authorization, enabling us to offer our entire SaaS platforms to the federal sector.

#m149 · 2025-10-28 · Yakov Faitelson · STATED

We have the FedRAMP moderate, but we just don't have just the empirical evidence that in terms of when we're looking at all of the investment, this is the place that we need to invest in.

#m126 · 2025-10-28 · Yakov Faitelson · STATED

We expect this to result in increased uncertainty with our remaining OPS business going forward.

#m124 · 2025-10-28 · Yakov Faitelson · STATED

As a result of continued underperformance in the federal vertical, we will be reducing the size of the team until we see improvement.

GTLB5 statements

CEO Sijbrandij announced FedRAMP Moderate 'In Process' designation, expected to build on public sector momentum. [m1976, m1977] Staples said this authorization is expected to create a tailwind for public sector business via Dedicated for Government. [m953]

Show the 5 verbatim statements
#m1976 · 2025-06-10 · Sid Sijbrandij · STATED

We are also pleased to announce that we have attained the “In Process” designation for FedRAMP Moderate, further aiding public sector agencies and clients in highly regulated fields to meet stringent security and compliance standards imposed by the U.S. government.

#m1977 · 2025-06-10 · Sid Sijbrandij · STATED

We expect this designation to enhance the significant momentum we’ve already gained in the public sector.

#m953 · 2026-03-03 · William Staples · STATED

We expect this will create a nice tailwind in our public sector business with Dedicated for Government.

#m952 · 2026-03-03 · William Staples · STATED

Turning to Dedicated, our single-tenant SaaS solution. We continue to see broad adoption across industries, and I'm pleased to announce that we achieved FedRAMP Moderate authorization.

#m954 · 2026-03-03 · William Staples · STATED

The rapid adoption we're seeing validates our strategic investment in providing enterprise-grade isolation with cloud-native convenience, particularly among security-conscious sectors where compliance requirements traditionally slowed digital transformation efforts.

FTNT3 statements

Ken Xie said the US is Fortinet's fastest growing region and the company plans to invest more in sales and marketing there to keep gaining market share. [m192] Jensen said 70% of business is international versus just under 30% in the US, and flagged that the US election may be causing customer hesitation. [m190]

Show the 3 verbatim statements
#m192 · 2024-08-06 · Ken Xie · STATED

In the U.S., the fastest growing area which also needs more direct marketing, direct sales. That's also need more investment. So that's where we do plan to invest more into sales and marketing to keep gaining market share in the U.S.

#m191 · 2024-08-06 · Keith Jensen · STATED

We are more likely to hold the number one market share outside the U.S., in areas like Europe, the Middle East, Latin America, and parts of Asia Pacific.

#m190 · 2024-08-06 · Keith Jensen · STATED

Yes. I believe our diversification contributes to our success, with 70% of the business being international and just under 30% in the U.S. This year has seen numerous elections globally, and it seems that the U.S. election might be causing some hesitation among people.

QLYS1 statement

Qualys said federal is a key focus and its FedRAMP Medium certification has helped gain traction and interest in consolidating tools onto its platform. [m532] CEO Sumedh Thakar said the company remains optimistic about the federal segment as it continues building out its federal practice. [m532]

Show the 1 verbatim statement
#m532 · 2024-11-05 · Sumedh Thakar · STATED

Federal is a key focus for us. Our FedRAMP Medium certification has helped us gain traction, and we've seen interest in consolidating multiple tools into one Qualys platform. We're optimistic about this segment as we continue to build out our federal practice.

SAIL1 statement

Mills said federal demand has so far been business as usual, with no significant results or material impacts observed from the macro environment. [m1701] Mills characterized the business as remaining strong while staying vigilant and attentive to the macro environment. [m1701]

Show the 1 verbatim statement
#m1701 · 2026-03-18 · Matthew Mills · STATED

So far, it has been business as usual for us. We haven't observed any significant results or material impacts from the macro environment. We remain vigilant and attentive, but our business continues to be strong.

OPEN is an unresolved commitment on the clock; STATED is on the record without a checkable bar and is never counted or scored. Method: methodology.