MAAT INDEX
Themes

Mining and energy transition commodity demand

19 statements on the record across 2 companies, ordered by how much each has said. Every quote is verbatim from its call.

THE FIFTEEN-SECOND READ

CAT and EMR both describe durable, multi-year demand tied to mining and energy transition capex rather than any near-term slowdown. CAT's Umpleby has held a consistent bullish stance since August 2024 on mining and commodity demand from the energy transition, reaffirmed in January 2025 with commodities above investment thresholds and high utilization, even as customers keep capital discipline [m2865, m2849, m2637, m2638]; incoming CEO Creed extended this into April 2025, tying long term mineral needs to the Resource Industries segment [m3013, m3015, m3034]. EMR's Karsanbhai and Baughman described a sustained capital formation cycle through 2024 with no slowdown or project degradation in LNG and sustainability work [m2770, m2769, m2732], and by Q2 2025 quantified an $11.4 billion funnel with three year visibility and $375 million of quarterly content awards, citing demand from the Middle East, Africa, India, Southeast Asia and the Americas [m2675, m2674]. EMR also reported underlying orders up 4% in Q2 2025 across all regions including China, with Process and Hybrid up 6% and Test and Measurement up 8% [m2666]. The two companies diverge mainly in framing: CAT emphasizes mining equipment demand tied to commodity thresholds and customer discipline, while EMR points to project funnel visibility and broad-based order growth across regions and business lines.

CAT13EMR6
CAT13 statements

CEO Umpleby said in August 2024 CAT remained bullish on mining, expecting the energy transition to support increased commodity demand over time and expand its total addressable market. [m2865, m2849] In January 2025 Umpleby reaffirmed this, noting key commodities above investment thresholds, high utilization and low parked trucks, though customers kept capital discipline. [m2637, m2638] In April 2025 incoming CEO Creed echoed the over time demand thesis and said long term mineral needs will benefit CAT's Resource Industries segment. [m3013, m3015, m3034]

Show the 13 verbatim statements
#m2865 · 2024-08-06 · James Umpleby · STATED

And we remain bullish about mining, just thinking about the energy transition and all of the commodities that our customers will use our products to produce.

#m2864 · 2024-08-06 · James Umpleby · STATED

As I mentioned earlier, there's a lot of positives in mining. Certainly, the utilization of our equipment is high. The number of parked trucks is relatively low. We expect robust service activity.

#m2849 · 2024-08-06 · James Umpleby · STATED · by over time

Customers continue to display capital discipline, however, we continue to believe the energy transition will support increased commodity demand over time, expanding our total addressable market and providing further opportunities for long-term profitable growth.

#m2637 · 2025-01-30 · Jim Umpleby · STATED

Customers continue to display capital discipline, although key commodities remain above investment thresholds. Customer product utilization remains high. The number of parked trucks remains relatively low. The age of the fleet remains elevated and our autonomous solutions continue to see strong customer acceptance.

#m2638 · 2025-01-30 · Jim Umpleby · STATED

We continue to believe the energy transition will support increased commodity demand over time, expanding our total addressable market and providing further opportunities for long term profitable growth.

#m3034 · 2025-04-30 · Joe Creed · STATED · by long-term

The long-term need for minerals is going to really benefit RI.

#m3013 · 2025-04-30 · Joe Creed · STATED

Although most key commodities remain above investment thresholds, customers continue to display capital discipline.

#m3015 · 2025-04-30 · Joe Creed · STATED · by over time

We believe the evolving energy landscape will support increased commodity demand over time, providing further opportunities for long-term profitable growth.

#m2560 · 2025-08-05 · Joseph E. Creed · STATED

Although most key commodities remain above investment thresholds, declining coal prices have caused an increase in the number of parked trucks.

#m2562 · 2025-08-05 · Joseph E. Creed · STATED · by over time

We believe the evolving energy landscape will support increased commodity demand over time, providing further opportunities for long-term profitable growth.

#m2595 · 2025-08-05 · Andrew R. J. Bonfield · STATED

we do not give our exposures by commodity, but we have mentioned in the past that coal revenues are low single digits as a percentage of total revenue, and that obviously is diminishing over time.

#m2819 · 2025-10-29 · Joseph Creed · STATED · by 2025

We anticipate lower sales to users in 2025 compared to last year as customers continue to display capital discipline.

#m2820 · 2025-10-29 · Joseph Creed · STATED

Although most key commodities remain above investment thresholds, declining coal prices have caused an increase in the number of parked trucks.

EMR6 statements

Karsanbhai and Baughman characterized a sustained capital formation cycle in 2024, seeing no slowdown in LNG or sustainability projects and no degradation or elimination of projects in the funnel. [m2770, m2769, m2732] By Q2 2025 Karsanbhai quantified this funnel at $11.4 billion with three year visibility, awarding approximately $375 million of content in the quarter. [m2675] Karsanbhai reaffirmed continued significant capital investment in energy and LNG projects, citing demand from the Middle East and Africa, India, Southeast Asia and the Americas. [m2674] Underlying orders grew 4% in Q2 2025 with all regions positive including China, and Process and Hybrid businesses up 6% while Discrete businesses turned positive, Test and Measurement up 8%. [m2666]

Show the 6 verbatim statements
#m2770 · 2024-08-07 · Lal Karsanbhai · STATED

I haven't seen any slowdown in the expansion of the journey -- the sustainability projects or the LNG, particularly as it relates to the Middle East and Africa. So I'm still very optimistic there.

#m2769 · 2024-08-07 · Lal Karsanbhai · STATED

I continue to look at this the funnel and the capital formation cycle in a positive manner. I haven't seen degradation of projects or projects being eliminated.

#m2732 · 2024-11-05 · Mike Baughman · STATED

The three-year visibility of projects within the funnel, size of the funnel and the continued growth give us confidence that we are in a capital formation cycle where our customers need automation content to meet their complex objectives.

#m2675 · 2025-05-07 · Lal Karsanbhai · STATED · by second quarter

Our large project funnel, which provides a three year outlook of capital activity, sits at $11.4 billion, and we were awarded approximately $375 million of content in the second quarter.

#m2674 · 2025-05-07 · Lal Karsanbhai · STATED

We continue to see significant capital investment in energy and LNG projects to support global demand led by The Middle East and Africa, India, Southeast Asia and The Americas.

#m2666 · 2025-05-07 · Lal Karsanbhai · STATED · by second quarter 2025

Underlying orders growth of 4% exceeded our expectations, and all regions were positive, including China. Demand remains resilient for our Process and Hybrid businesses, which were up 6%, and our Discrete businesses collectively turned positive with Test and Measurement up 8%.

OPEN is an unresolved commitment on the clock; STATED is on the record without a checkable bar and is never counted or scored. Method: methodology.