MAAT INDEX
Rankings
83.5 /100

Amgen Inc (AMGN)

HEALTHCARE · 215 verified grades · · BalancedBIASMedian signed deviation across numeric graded claims. Sandbags: outcomes land favorable to guidance. Overpromises: the opposite. Needs at least 6 numeric claims.

Verify independently: SEC filings ↗

What management is on the hook for (280)

hedged · expects · high conviction
2026 Q3 (18)18 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As a result and consistent with 2025, we expect a meaningful sequential increase in operating expenses in the third quarter.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for Q3 FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This outlook also includes a business development transaction, resulting in a $100 million upfront payment that will increase our non-GAAP R&D expense in the third quarter.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for Q3 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we'll learn more about the impact of this medicine in that disease in H2 of this year.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We'll learn more about dazodalibep in H2 of this year.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our Phase III study in eosinophilic esophagitis or EoE, is expected to complete in the second half of the year.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Results are expected later this year.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
TEPEZZA is now launched in 13 countries around the world with an additional 6 planned in the coming months.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for by Q1 FY27
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We believe UPLIZNA is well positioned to establish market leadership in this category.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · due Aug 4, 2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect additional indications to deliver continued catalysts for growth in the future, and Jay will share more about those in a moment.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · due Aug 4, 2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect capital expenditures of approximately $2.6 billion in 2026, reflecting significant investment in our business to scale manufacturing capacity for volume growth, including for MariTide's launch.
Test pending
capex · made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect share repurchases not to exceed $3 billion.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect a non-GAAP tax rate in the range of 15.0% to 16.5%.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect the full year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 45% to 46%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now anticipate non-GAAP other income and expense to be in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion of expense in 2026.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect full year non-GAAP R&D expense to grow high single digits year-over-year, which includes 9 ongoing global Phase III clinical trials for MariTide.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we now expect other revenue to be approximately $1.9 billion.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect 2026 total revenues in the range of $38.2 billion to $39.4 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share between $22.30 and $23.50.
Test pending
revenue · made Aug 4, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're pleased with the momentum across our business and expect to reach more patients with our innovative medicines and biosimilars in the second half of the year than ever before as volume demand for our products continues to grow strongly.
Test pending
made Aug 4, 2026 · for H2 FY2026
2026 Q2 (20)20 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to be able to open these studies back for enrollment shortly.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Enrollment status of the paused subcutaneous blinatumomab studies (Phase II registration-enabling adult/adolescent study and Phase Ib/II pediatric study)
Company confirms studies have reopened for patient enrollment SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany clinical trial disclosures (ClinicalTrials.gov status updates) or management commentary on subsequent earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · due Jul 31, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We further expect second quarter operating margin to be in line with the first quarter operating margin.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Apr 30, 2026 · due Jun 30, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
These ranges reflect our confidence that the emerging growth drivers will more than offset the outgoing legacy brands.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 total revenues and non-GAAP EPS
Total revenue between $37.1 billion and $38.5 billion, and non-GAAP EPS between $21.70 and $23.10 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 2026 earnings release / full-year 10-K income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
revenue · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I would not expect the cash-paying component of patients going through Amgen Now to be substantial.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cash-paying patients as a percentage of total patients going through Amgen Now (or of total Repatha patients)
Cash-pay component remains a minority/small share, e.g. well below 50% of Amgen Now patients SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on subsequent AMGN earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to be launching in the second-line indication across multiple markets this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of markets with Imdeltra launched in the second-line indication
Second-line indication launch achieved in at least 2 markets (i.e., multiple markets) by year-end SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / earnings call commentary / quarterly reports (10-K/10-Q) on Imdeltra regulatory approvals and launches

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect share repurchases not to exceed $3 billion.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total share repurchases (cash spent buying back common stock), full fiscal year 2026
Full-year 2026 share repurchases <= $3.0 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCash flow statement (financing activities, treasury stock/repurchases line) in 10-K or Q4 2026 earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect the full-year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 45% to 46%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales
Between 45% and 46% (inclusive), roughly SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation / full-year earnings release and 10-K (AMGN)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
operating_margin · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect a non-GAAP tax rate in the range of 15% to 16.5%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP tax rate
Non-GAAP tax rate between 15.0% and 16.5% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 2026 earnings release / non-GAAP reconciliation tables

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now anticipate non-GAAP OI&E to be in the range of $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion of expense in 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP other income and expense (OI&E), full fiscal year 2026
Non-GAAP OI&E expense between $2.2 billion and $2.3 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation tables in Q4 2026 earnings release / 10-K

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we now expect other revenue to be in the range of $1.7 billion to $1.8 billion.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 other revenue
Between $1.7 billion and $1.8 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / earnings release (FY2026 10-K or Q4 2026 earnings report)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
revenue · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP earnings per share to be between $21.70 and $23.10.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP earnings per share
Between $21.70 and $23.10 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany full-year 2026 earnings release / non-GAAP reconciliation (Q4 2026 call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
eps · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect 2026 total revenues in the range of $37.1 billion to $38.5 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share to be between $21.70 and $23.10.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 total revenues and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share
Total revenues between $37.1 billion and $38.5 billion, and non-GAAP EPS between $21.70 and $23.10 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / 10-K full-year 2026 financial results (income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
revenue · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect capital expenditures of approximately $2.6 billion in 2026, reflecting significant investment in our business to scale manufacturing capacity for volume growth, including for Meritide’s launch.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Capital expenditures, full year 2026, as reported by Amgen
Full-year 2026 capital expenditures between $2.4 billion and $2.8 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAmgen 10-K / cash flow statement (capital expenditures line) or Q4 2026 earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
capex · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these factors will continue to negatively impact the cost of sales in future quarters.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP cost of sales as a percentage of product sales
Q2 2026 non-GAAP cost of sales % of product sales >= 19.5% (Q1 2026 level) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP financial results (quarterly earnings release / 10-Q)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
gross_margin · made Apr 30, 2026 · for Q2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Dazodalibet, our first-in-class CD40 ligand-targeting fusion protein, continues to progress with two Phase III studies in Sjogren’s disease now fully enrolled. These studies address both systemic and symptomatic disease, and both are expected to complete later this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Completion status of the two Phase III dazodalibet studies in Sjogren's disease (systemic and symptomatic)
Both studies reported as completed (primary completion/study completion per company disclosure or ClinicalTrials.gov) by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release/earnings call commentary and ClinicalTrials.gov study status

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Supported by a strong biological rationale, we expect to initiate two pivotal Phase III studies of aplisna in autoimmune hepatitis and chronic inflammatory demyelinating by the second half of this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Initiation of pivotal Phase III studies of aplisna (efgartigimod-like agent, per Amgen) in autoimmune hepatitis and in chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP)
Both Phase III studies show as initiated (e.g., listed as recruiting/active on ClinicalTrials.gov or confirmed via company disclosure) by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITClinicalTrials.gov trial registry entries and/or company press releases and quarterly earnings call commentary

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Following our launch in Japan in 2025, we expect additional global launches of TEPEZZA in 2026 and beyond.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of new countries/markets where TEPEZZA is launched (regulatory approval and commercial availability)
At least one additional country launch of TEPEZZA (beyond Japan) announced or confirmed during 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, or 10-K/10-Q disclosures on TEPEZZA international launches

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Erosion since loss of exclusivity remains in line with our expectations; we anticipate accelerated sales erosion over the remainder of 2026 driven by increased competition from multiple biosimilars.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Prolia and XGEVA combined quarterly sales year-over-year decline rate
Year-over-year decline rate in Q2-Q4 2026 quarters exceeds the 32% decline reported in Q1 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / income statement (Prolia and XGEVA product sales)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 30, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With steady execution through the rest of the year, we expect once again to demonstrate that we can grow through a period of patent expiration, and deliver attractive performance for our shareholders with a strong portfolio of innovative medicines and biosimilars that meet the needs of patients with serious diseases.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue growth, full fiscal year 2026 vs full fiscal year 2025
Full-year 2026 total revenue growth > 0% year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
revenue · made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect our rapidly growing products to offset the financial impact of patent expirations and increased competition while our next generation of molecules progress through the R&D pipeline, setting the stage for sustained long-term growth.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Amgen total revenue growth for fiscal year 2026 versus fiscal year 2025
Full-year 2026 total revenue growth > 0% year-over-year, as reported SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAmgen quarterly and annual income statement (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 30, 2026 · for FY2026
2026 Q1 (20)20 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In line with lower product sales in the first quarter, we expect Q1 non-GAAP operating margin to be the lowest of the year and roughly the same as 2025.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Feb 3, 2026 · due Mar 31, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We also expect Otezla and Enbrel to follow their historical pattern of lower sales in the first quarter relative to subsequent quarters and expect additional impact from denosumab biosimilar competition in Q1.
Test pending
made Feb 3, 2026 · due Mar 31, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As you model the 2026, consistent with historical trends, tied to the annual United States health insurance cycle we expect a seasonal headwind to sales driven by benefit plan changes, insurance reverifications, and higher patient co-pay obligations.
Test pending
revenue · made Feb 3, 2026 · due Mar 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But also our international launches, our launch in Japan has gone extremely well... TEPEZZA will be a a good growth driver for us this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TEPEZZA total revenue, fiscal year 2026
TEPEZZA FY2026 revenue growth > 0% versus FY2025 reported revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAmgen quarterly/annual income statement or product revenue disclosure (10-K / earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
and we expect completion of the trials later this year, and we'll inform later about our plan to communicate this information.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Completion status of the referenced clinical trial(s)
Company or clinicaltrials.gov reports trial(s) as completed (primary completion or full completion) by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, earnings call commentary, or clinicaltrials.gov trial status listing

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We have an ongoing subcutaneous Phase III clinical study in moderate to severe active TED. Fully enrolled, as we have shared and we expect to complete this study in the second half of this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Completion status of the subcutaneous TEPEZZA Phase III clinical study in moderate to severe active TED
Study reported as completed (primary completion/study completion disclosed) between 2026-07-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, clinicaltrials.gov study record, or management commentary on Q3/Q4 2026 earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for H2 FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In inflammation, the test by our Phase III program continues to advance, with ongoing studies in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and eosinophilic esophagitis. Where we expect study completion in the second half of this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Study completion (data readout / primary completion) for the Phase III tezepelumab studies in COPD and eosinophilic esophagitis
At least one of the two Phase III studies (COPD, EoE) reported as completed with data disclosed by company SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / clinicaltrials.gov study status / Q4 or subsequent earnings call commentary

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are also advancing desodoliveb, our CD40 ligand targeting biotherapeutic with both Phase III studies in Sjogren's disease now fully enrolled and study completion expected in 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Study completion status of the two Phase III trials of dazodalibep (desodoliveb) in Sjögren's disease
Both Phase III studies reported as completed (study completion / primary completion date reached) by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosure (earnings call, press release) or ClinicalTrials.gov study status update

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
and I expect that momentum to continue.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Repatha revenue growth (quarterly or annual, as reported by Amgen)
Year-over-year Repatha revenue growth rate maintains or exceeds the growth rate reported in the quarter of this statement SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAmgen quarterly earnings release / 10-Q or 10-K product revenue disclosures

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Increased investment has helped accelerate this growth which we expect to continue.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
EVENITY global sales growth, year-over-year
Full-year 2026 EVENITY sales growth rate >= 34% (2025's reported growth rate) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAmgen quarterly/annual earnings release and 10-K (product sales by brand)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We plan to launch TEPEZZA in additional markets in 2026, expanding access to this important therapy globally.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of additional country/market launches of TEPEZZA beyond U.S. and Japan
At least one new market launch announced or reported by company during 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases and 10-K/Q4 2026 earnings call commentary on TEPEZZA geographic expansion

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect sales erosion driven by unfavorable pricing in The U.S., and generic launches particularly in The EU.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Otezla full-year net sales (annual, as reported)
Otezla FY2026 net sales lower than FY2025 reported figure (year-over-year decline) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases and 10-K (Otezla product sales disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In 2026, we expect accelerated sales erosion driven by increased competition as multiple biosimilars have launched globally.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Prolia global sales growth rate, year over year, fiscal year 2026
FY2026 Prolia sales growth rate < 1% (i.e., decelerated or negative versus the 1% growth reported in 2025) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings reports (Prolia product sales disclosure, 10-K/10-Q or earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect capital expenditures of about $2.6 billion in 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Capital expenditures, full year 2026
Capital expenditures between $2.4 billion and $2.8 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany cash flow statement (10-K or Q4 2026 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
capex · made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect share repurchases not to exceed $3 billion in 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total share repurchases (common stock buybacks), fiscal year 2026
Full-year 2026 share repurchases <= $3.0 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCash flow statement / capital allocation disclosure in 10-K or Q4 2026 earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect non-GAAP R&D expense to grow low single digits excluding the roughly $300 million of business development in 2025.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP R&D expense growth, full-year 2025, excluding ~$300 million of business development spending
Year-over-year growth between 1% and 4% (low single digits) when 2025 R&D expense is adjusted to exclude ~$300 million of business development SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation tables in 10-K/earnings release (R&D expense line, FY2025 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we project the full-year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 45% to 46%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales
Between 45.0% and 46.0% (inclusive range as guided) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation in Q4/full-year earnings release or 10-K (management commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
operating_margin · made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect this growth in 2026 to more than offset anticipated declines from increased denote biosimilar competition. Price declines for certain other products in 2026, and continued increases in 340B program utilization.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 total revenues
FY2026 total revenue >= $37.0 billion (within or above guided range of $37.0B-$38.4B) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
revenue · made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
Additionally, note that we saw roughly $250 million of inventory build in 2025, that could potentially impact first-quarter sales.
Test pending
revenue · made Feb 3, 2026 · due Mar 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
I would imagine that that will increase and grow over time.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Percentage of prescriptions from primary prevention patients (as disclosed by management)
Reported percentage > 40% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
2025 Q4 (14)14 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are pleased to report that we have returned to our pre-Horizon capital structure ahead of plan, and we will achieve greater than $500 million in pretax cost synergies in 2025 in connection with the acquisition.
Test pending
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to the anticipated full confirmatory approval later this year.
Test pending
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In future quarters, we expect increased competition to negatively impact Prolia sales.
Test pending
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect the full year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 45%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
for WEZLANA in the United States, we continue to expect quarterly sales to fluctuate and do not expect any sales in the fourth quarter.
Test pending
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect a non-GAAP tax rate in the range of 15.0% to 16.5%.
Test pending
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now anticipate non-GAAP OI&E to be in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion in 2025.
Test pending
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we now expect other revenue to be approximately $1.5 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP earnings per share between $20.60 and $21.40.
Test pending
eps · made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are raising our 2025 guidance ranges for both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share. We expect 2025 total revenues in the range of $35.8 billion to $36.6 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share between $20.60 and $21.40.
Test pending
revenue · made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect our projects to continue to be on budget and on time.
Test pending
capex · made Nov 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
It continues to be a strong product for us. We think it will continue to be that.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
AMJEVITA (adalimumab biosimilar) revenue, international and/or total segment as reported
AMJEVITA revenue for the period flat or higher versus prior-year comparable period SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAmgen quarterly financial supplement / product revenue disclosures (10-Q/10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-11-04
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Nov 4, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We don't anticipate an incremental step change going forward.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Year-over-year growth rate in R&D expense, full year 2026 vs full year 2025
2026 R&D expense growth rate materially lower than the 2025 vs 2024 growth rate (i.e., no comparable step-change increase) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / R&D expense line (10-K or Q4 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Nov 4, 2025 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect this product to remain a growth driver throughout its life cycle.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
EVENITY product sales (quarterly or annual, as reported)
EVENITY sales growth year-over-year > 0% in each reporting period through the deadline SourceWHERE TO FIND ITAMGN quarterly earnings releases / 10-Q / 10-K product sales tables

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-11-04
made Nov 4, 2025 · due Nov 4, 2027
2025 Q3 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
we remain on track to initiate a potentially registration-enabling study in both adults and adolescents later this year.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
triplet study that importantly adds checkpoint therapy to this pairing of bemarituzumab and chemotherapy will read out in the second half of this year or the first half of next year.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect share repurchases not to exceed $500 million in 2025.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect a non-GAAP tax rate of 14.5% to 16.0%.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we continue to expect other revenue to be approximately $1.4 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For WEZLANA and AMJEVITA sales in the United States, we continue to expect quarterly sales to fluctuate and do not expect any sales in the third quarter.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Sep 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For 2025, we continue to expect capital expenditures of $2.3 billion to expand network capacity for our products across the portfolio and our innovative pipeline, including MariTide.
Test pending
capex · made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to the upcoming December 14 PDUFA date for generalized myasthenia gravis, recognizing ever more the significant unmet need for durable, convenient therapies consistently highlighted to us by treating physicians.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 14, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Beyond MariTide, in general medicine, we remain excited about data from the Repatha VESALIUS Phase III primary prevention study expected later this year.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With four Phase III studies underway and obstructive sleep apnea set to initiate this year, we are well positioned to deliver a robust and comprehensive clinical knowledge base.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
On pricing, we expect less net price erosion than we've experienced historically.
Test pending
made Aug 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
2025 Q2 (22)22 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
we’re right on target with getting back to our pre-Horizon capital structure by the end of this year.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are reaffirming our 2025 total revenue guidance in the range of $34.3 billion to $35.7 billion and also reaffirming our non-GAAP earnings per share guidance between $20 and $21.20.
Test pending
revenue · made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I would anticipate both being able to grow prior to the availability of a subcutaneous form and then being able to accelerate that thereafter.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We anticipate launching there in the back half of the year.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we are growing nicely. We continue to promote the primary care. We've invested in direct-to-consumer advertising now, and we expect a strong growth trajectory to come.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow in the second quarter will be impacted by the shift in 2024 tax payments to Q2 '25 and the final $1.8 billion repatriation tax payment.
Test pending
fcf · made May 1, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect 2025 free cash flow performance to be roughly comparable to 2023.
Test pending
fcf · made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect share repurchases not to exceed $500 million in 2025.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to project that full year non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 46%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we continue to expect other revenue to be approximately $1.4 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And for WEZLANA in the United States, we now expect quarterly sales to fluctuate and do not expect any sales in the second quarter following a large sales ordered in the first quarter.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For 2025, we expect no change in our capital expenditures outlook of $2.3 billion, which will support our products across the portfolio and our innovative pipeline, including MariTide.
Test pending
capex · made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The Horizon integration has progressed well, and we expect to reach the previously announced $500 million in pretax cost synergies by the end of this year.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In the second half of 2025, we expect data from FORTITUDE-102, the Phase III study of bemarituzumab combined with chemotherapy and nivolumab versus chemotherapy nivolumab alone.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect data this quarter from FORTITUDE-101, a Phase III study of bemarituzumab combined with mFOLFOX6 chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to additional data from the ROCKET program in the second half of 2025.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Beyond MariTide, in General Medicine, we look forward to data from the Repatha Vesalius Phase III primary prevention study in the second half of this year.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Looking ahead to the second half of 2025, we expect key data for MariTide, including both the ongoing Phase II type 2 diabetes study, which has completed enrollment as well as end of treatment period data from Part II of the ongoing Phase II chronic weight management study.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Beyond these first 2 studies, we anticipate initiating additional MariTide Phase III studies later this year, evaluating MariTide in specific obesity-related conditions.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these recent launches will further enhance the robust growth and attractive returns from our biosimilar portfolio.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We do not expect similar reductions in inventory levels for the remainder of the year.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
This guidance includes the estimated impact of implemented tariffs, but does not account for any tariffs that could be implemented in the future including potential sector-specific tariffs.
Test pending
made May 1, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
2025 Q1 (28)28 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We're confident we can continue to grow that portfolio going forward.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I would agree that the slope of the biosimilar erosion is going to be, by definition of the timing, more towards the back end.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
it does follow the pattern we see in some other products in our portfolio where that first quarter this year will be a little bit lower than the other 3 quarters, mostly a function of people having their insurance reverified and/or purchasing patterns in the market.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Mar 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So Japan will be a very good source of growth for TEPEZZA internationally.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We have, as you know, an ongoing part 2 of our Phase II study in chronic weight management. That is a 52-week study, and we expect data readout late this year.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We have an event-driven readout expected in the second half of this year.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we expect Repatha to continue to be a strong medicine going forward.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we expect to see that continue.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow in the first half of 2025 will be impacted by strong 2024 year-end collections timing, the shift in 2024 tax payments to the second quarter of 2025 and also the final $1.8 billion repatriation tax payment in the second quarter of 2025.
Test pending
fcf · made Feb 4, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Similar to 2024, we expect share repurchases not to exceed $500 million in 2025, and we expect the share count in the first quarter of 2025 to be flat to the fourth quarter of 2024.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect the 2025 full year amount as a percentage of product sales to decline by approximately 1 to 2 percentage points year-over-year as we continue to drive efficiencies and prioritize resources
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We project non-GAAP cost of sales to be in the range of 18% to 19% as a percentage of product sales for 2025.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect Q1 AMGEVITA sales in the U.S. to be in line with Q3 2024.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Mar 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect Otezla and Enbrel to follow their typical pattern of lower sales in the first quarter relative to subsequent quarters.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Mar 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For total company revenues, we expect each quarter of 2025 to have a relatively similar year-over-year growth rate.
Test pending
revenue · made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This growth will more than offset declines due to the upcoming denosumab patent expiration as well as continued price declines across our portfolio in 2025.
Test pending
revenue · made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We eagerly anticipate the 52-week data later this year, which will provide further insight into response and long-term durability.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect to initiate an additional Phase III outcome study in patients with elevated Lp(a) and at high risk for a first cardiovascular event late this year or in the first half of 2026.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The next wave of biosimilar launches continues in 2025.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In 2025, we expect to launch TEPEZZA in 7 additional countries.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're moving quickly in international markets to secure regulatory approval for TEPEZZA, which will drive additional growth.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Moving forward, we expect less price erosion for Repatha with 2025 net price expected to decline by mid-single digits or less.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
2025 promises to be another milestone year for our rapidly advancing pipeline with important Phase III data readouts for programs including across our general medicine, rare disease, inflammation and oncology portfolios.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In rare diseases, 2025 will be an exciting year. We look forward to regulatory approvals for TEPEZZA internationally and launches in new indications for UPLIZNA, further strengthening the growth trajectory of our rare disease business.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The Horizon integration is progressing well, and we expect to reach the previously announced $500 million in pretax cost synergies by year 3 post acquisition.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative pretax cost synergies realized from Horizon acquisition
>= $500 million pretax cost synergies achieved SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary / company disclosures on synergy progress (earnings calls, 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-06
made Feb 4, 2025 · for by Oct 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we're on track to double 2021 sales to over $4 billion by the end of the decade.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual biosimilar segment sales, as reported
Annual biosimilar sales > $4 billion (i.e., at least double the reported 2021 biosimilar sales figure) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment/product sales in 10-K or Q4 earnings materials

KNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
made Feb 4, 2025 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
the olpasiran Phase III program, which as you heard is -- it has an event-driven outcome, expected a readout in the second half of next year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Announcement of olpasiran Phase III (OCEAN(a)-Outcomes) event-driven readout/topline results
Company or trial sponsor discloses Phase III olpasiran readout results between 2026-07-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, quarterly earnings call commentary, or clinicaltrials.gov results posting

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 4, 2025 · for H2 FY26
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We hope to initiate this study -- intend to initiate this study in the second half of this year or in the first half of next year.
Test pending
made Feb 4, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2026
2024 Q4 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Yes, as you picked up, Enbrel was impacted by 2 negative trends in the quarter... we are expecting continued net price declines going forward.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Oct 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we do expect the momentum to play out here in the next several quarters.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect OI&E to be approximately $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion, which includes the interest expense related to the $28 billion of debt raised for the Horizon acquisition.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, our total non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to grow approximately 25% year-over-year, including from the addition of Horizon.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Consistent with prior years, we expect Q4 non-GAAP operating expenses to be the highest of the year and expect approximately 28% of our full year operating expenses to be in the fourth quarter.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now project full year new asset sales at approximately $400 million and other revenue at approximately $1.4 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We do expect Q4 non-GAAP EPS to be lower than Q3 non-GAAP EPS, because of planned investment increases in our business, including key assets in our innovative pipeline beginning with MariTide and olpasiran and other strategic business investments.
Test pending
eps · made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect this optimized focus to gain traction over the next few quarters as physicians become more experienced identifying the right patients for treatment and navigating the reimbursement process to enable access to TEPEZZA.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Going forward, we expect continued declining net selling price, relatively stable volume, providing strong cash flow for our business.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Oct 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect Repatha and Prolia alone will help over 11 million patients in 2024.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our ongoing Phase II study is progressing well, and we look forward to sharing results later this year.
Test pending
made Oct 30, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
2024 Q3 (16)16 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We remain on track to deleverage with line of sight to retiring greater than $10 billion of debt by the end of 2025.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As you nicely identified later this year, we will initiate an additional dedicated Phase II study that will characterize MariTide from the treatment of diabetes in patients with and without obesity.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
These results won't be available until the second half of this year.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect OI&E to be approximately $2.5 billion, which includes the interest expense related to the $28 billion of debt raised for the Horizon acquisition.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Total non-GAAP operating expenses for the third quarter are expected to grow at a similar rate to the first two quarters of this year.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
On revenues, we expect mid-single-digit growth quarter-over-quarter in the fourth quarter compared to Q3.
Test pending
revenue · made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The Horizon integration is progressing well, and we expect to reach $500 million in pretax synergies by year three post acquisition, with roughly 50% to be realized by the end of this year.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to data readout in the second half of 2024.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The Phase III HORIZON study, part of this ROCKET program evaluates rocatinlimab monotherapy versus placebo in adults with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis. And it is ongoing with data readout anticipated in H2.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Beyond COPD, we continue to explore TEZSPIRE in separate Phase III studies in eosinophilic esophagitis and in chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps, where top line data are expected later this year.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are actively planning and expect to initiate a broad Phase III program in obesity, obesity-related conditions and diabetes, along with a Phase II trial investigating MariTide for the treatment of diabetes in patients with and without obesity.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Aug 6, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We remain on track and look forward to top line 52-week data from the ongoing MariTide Phase II study in late 2024.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to continue this momentum throughout 2024.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We see future growth opportunities for LUMAKRAS coming from launches in new markets and additional indications.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Aug 6, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
WEZLANA, a biosimilar to Stelara and BEKEMV, a biosimilar to Soliris, are both expected to launch in the U.S. in Q1 of 2025.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Mar 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Going forward, we expect continued declining net selling price and relatively flat volumes.
Test pending
made Aug 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
2024 Q1 (20)20 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
The readout of the Phase I is on track for the first half of 2024.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are totally on track for the readout.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Closing on our rare disease efforts, we're excited about Fipaxalparant, an LPAR1 antagonist being studied in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, on track for a Phase II proof-of-concept data readout in the second half of 2024.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Similar to 2023, we expect share repurchases not to exceed $500 million in 2024 we expect that we will continue to increase our dividend.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We anticipate non-GAAP OI&E to be in the range of $2.6 billion to $2.7 billion.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And for non-GAAP SG&A spend, we expect 2024 full year amounts as a percentage of product sales to be between 21% and 22%.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We project non-GAAP cost of sales to be in the range of 17% to 18% as a percentage of product sales for the 2024 year.
Test pending
gross_margin · made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I would reiterate that we expect operating margin growth to accelerate in each of the quarters following the first quarter.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Note that we expect non-GAAP operating margin growth to accelerate in each of the quarters following the first quarter.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we expect other revenue to be in the range of approximately $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We will record a full year of legacy Horizon product sales, and we expect continued volume-driven growth in our priority products Repatha, TEZSPIRE, EVENITY, Prolia and BLINCYTO consistent with industry trends in our recent history, we expect mid single-digit price decline for our portfolio in 2024.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With UPLIZNA, we anticipate important Phase III data readouts this year in myasthenia gravis and IgG4-related disease.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our expansion into both Japan and Europe is a high priority with regulatory review underway in Japan and filings in the EU throughout the year.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given positive leading indicators and high unmet need, we see a long-term growth opportunity for TEPEZZA in the U.S., while also recognizing there is some time lag between our execution efforts and the realization of increased patient numbers.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Aug 6, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Additionally, thanks to our efforts, we've been able to generate favorable medical policy changes for greater than 50% of U.S. covered lives, and we expect to continue this momentum throughout 2024.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Over time, we expect long-term growth in our biosimilars business to be driven by the addition of new molecules and additional launches.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Aug 6, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Going forward, we expect net selling price to continue to decline year-over-year driven by higher rebates to maintain broad first-line payer coverage and changes in patient mix.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We see future growth opportunities for LUMAKRAS coming from launches in new markets and additional indications.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And in rare disease, we'll have Phase III data for UPLIZNA and myasthenia gravis and IgG4-related disease.
Test pending
made Feb 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our innovative drug substance plan under construction in North Carolina is expected to be operational by 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Operational status of the drug substance manufacturing facility under construction in North Carolina
Facility confirmed operational (manufacturing/production activity underway) by December 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures (10-K, earnings calls, or press releases referencing the North Carolina facility's operational status)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 6, 2024 · for by Dec 2026
2023 Q4 (38)38 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I do think we've reached a tipping point in cardiology and I do think we've reached a tipping point with payers.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But we almost certainly expect the impact of the free goods program to continue to reduce and that will help us grow Otezla.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Jun 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Given our confidence in these data, we are rapidly advancing tarlatamab into earlier lines of treatment with multiple Phase 3 studies underway or planned.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we expect that at a full run rate, capitalizing on our in-place infrastructure internationally and manufacturing and process development that the margins in that business would be attractive in our hands.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
What we think will happen and we're already seeing the very early signals of this is that we will continue to source our new growth from the topical patients, bio-naive patients.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With UPLIZNA it is the fastest-growing biologics in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders or NMOSD, and we see that momentum continue both in the U.S. as well as outside the U.S.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We've talked about the results for KRYSTEXXA and UPLIZNA, both those medicines performed really, really well. We have immunomodulation with KRYSTEXXA being a major driver since the label update last year. That has continued to drive uptake since that time. We see that continuing into the future.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're looking forward to data from the Phase 2 trial next year which will really inform the breadth of the Phase 3 trial that we're contemplating, which could be quite large.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our 2023 capital expenditures are now projected to be approximately $950 million, up from our prior guidance of $925 million.
Test pending
capex · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect approximately 540 million shares to be outstanding in Q4.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we anticipate a non-GAAP tax rate of 16.5% to 17%, down from prior guidance of 17.5% to 18.5%.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to end 2023 with approximately $65 billion of long-term debt, including the current portion of it, and $11 billion of cash and cash equivalents.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And as you begin to model 2024, note that we expect 2024 OI&E to be consistent with this Q4 run rate.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect Q4 OI&E to be about $700 million, reflecting interest expense related to the Horizon financing, which will be included in our non-GAAP results effective October 6.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect non-GAAP OI&E expenses to be in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion, up from our prior guidance of $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect non-GAAP SG&A to be down year-over-year as a percentage of product sales slightly.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect our non-GAAP R&D expenses to increase from our prior guidance of 5% to about 10% year-over-year.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect non-GAAP cost of sales as a percentage of product sales to be between 16% and 17%.
Test pending
gross_margin · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect the full year 2023 operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 50%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With the Horizon acquisition, we now anticipate full year non-GAAP operating expense for 2023 to increase from our previous estimate of 3% (ph) to approximately 10% versus last year.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect other revenue for 2023 to be in the range of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion versus our prior range of $1.1 billion to $1.3 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And in addition, Q4 non-GAAP EPS will begin to include the recognition of interest expense related to the Horizon financing as a non-GAAP expense, important additional points to consider as you model the remainder of 2023.
Test pending
eps · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
However, we do expect Q4 non-GAAP EPS to be lower than Q3 non-GAAP EPS because of planned investment increases in our business, including key assets in our innovative pipeline, beginning with mari, Olpasiran and AMG 193, and other strategic business investments, including Generative AI use cases in all parts of our business.
Test pending
eps · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We will add Horizon's business into Q4 without material non-GAAP EPS dilution.
Test pending
eps · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For 2023 non-GAAP earnings per share, we are narrowing the range to $18.20 to $18.80 versus previous guidance of $17.80 to $18.80.
Test pending
eps · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are raising our 2023 revenue guidance to$28.0 billion to $28.4 billion versus previous guidance of $26.6 billion to $27.4 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
However, Q4 cash flow will be lower than historical patterns due to the timing of tax payments and Horizon transaction-related expenses.
Test pending
fcf · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We will continue to generate strong cash flows.
Test pending
fcf · made Oct 31, 2023 · due Jan 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect Xaluritamig dose expansion cohorts to be fully enrolled by the end of the year, and are planning to initiate additional studies in patients with earlier-stage prostate cancer.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We see future growth in BLINCYTO from advancements into earlier lines of therapy and subcutaneous administration.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We see an opportunity for this basket of products to continue to generate robust sales.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In the fourth quarter, we expect to fulfill an additional $62 million order for Nplate by the U.S. government.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Looking forward, we expect to bring Tavneos to even more patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the remainder of 2023, we expect our improved coverage will lead to continued growth in new patients and declining net selling price.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With these increased investments, we expect to drive a return to growth for Otezla.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect volumes for Prolia to grow supported by real-world evidence data presented earlier this year that demonstrate Prolia's superiority in reducing fracture risk when compared to alendronate in treatment-naive patients with post-menopausal osteoporosis.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We see continued upside potential for BLINCYTO as it is increasingly used in earlier lines of therapy and as practice guidelines are updated to reflect the role this medicine can play in treating a broad range of patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The Horizon acquisition, coupled with our purchase of ChemoCentryx, which we acquired a little more than a year ago, gives Amgen a significant rare disease business that fits squarely within our overall strategy and will be additive to the growth we expect from our base business.
Test pending
made Oct 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
2023 Q3 (23)23 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
This drives our confidence in delivering against our 2023 objectives and keeps us in position to meet or beat our longer term commitments.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In terms of the oral obesity program, it’s moving through, it’s Phase 1, which includes, single dose and short-term multiple dose. We expect probably now to have data in the first half of next year.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Jun 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we’re – we see stability in Enbrel going forward.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we think that that will support sustained volume through the course of the year.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged at approximately $925 million in 2023.
Test pending
capex · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we anticipate a non-GAAP tax rate of 17.5% to 18.5% down from prior guidance of 18.0% to 19.0%.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect non-GAAP other income and expenses to be in the range of $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion down from the prior guidance of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect non-GAAP SG&A spend to be slightly down year-over-year as a percentage of product sales.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect our non-GAAP R&D expenses in 2023 to increase about 5% year-over-year, which is higher than our prior guidance of 3% to 4%.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect non-GAAP cost to sales as the percentage of product sales will be between 16% and 17%.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect a full year 2023 operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 50%, although will vary in each of the remaining two quarters.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect other revenue for 2023 to be in the range of $1.1 billion to $1.3 billion versus our prior range of $1.2 billion to $1.5 billion.
Test pending
revenue · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we now project full year Neulasta sales of approximately $800 million and full year combined KANJINT and MVASI sales of approximately $900 million.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect third quarter non-GAAP EPS to be lower compared to the second quarter, resulting from the expected Q3 sales and our investments in the business.
Test pending
eps · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Although our results give us confidence to raise our full year guidance, we expect the third quarter sales maybe lower compared to the second quarter, due to the impact of the Medicare donut hole, which is more pronounced in the second half of the year, and also to certain favorable changes to estimated sales deductions in the second quarter.
Test pending
revenue · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect strong cash flow for the remainder of the year, consistent with our full year 2023 financial outlook and includes a non-GAAP operating margin of roughly 50%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect our annual capital expenditures to begin to decline starting in 2024 with the completion and licensing of our Ohio plant and capital expenditures will then begin to return closer to historical levels over the coming years.
Test pending
capex · made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Global regulatory submissions are on track for E1910
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Recently presented data from the SCARLET study provide the rationale to initiate a Phase 3 trial of LUMAKRAS combined with chemotherapy in first-line non-small cell lung cancer patients with PD-L1 negative tumors and Phase 1b data in combination with Vectibix and chemotherapy support the initiation of a Phase 3 study of LUMAKRAS with Vectibix and FOLFIRI in first-line G12C mutated colorectal cancer.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Aug 3, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We also expect declining net selling price on a full year basis.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our U.S. Otezla business has been impacted by free drug programs for newly launched topical and systemic competitors. And we expect new patient demand will continue to be affected by these programs for the remainder of 2023.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we are increasing investment to intensify our engagement with healthcare providers, bring our message directly to patients through direct-to-consumer media and drive urgency around LDLC testing and adherence to treatment guidelines.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Aug 3, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to additional readouts from our pipeline in the second half of the year.
Test pending
made Aug 3, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
2023 Q2 (24)24 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We think we've established good contractual commitments for this year. And we'll continue to battle with competitors if they come to market with a different device than is currently available. But we expect some continued pricing pressure there, as we've indicated.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we would expect that, that will strengthen our new patient capture over the course of the year, and we expect to see good growth FOR OTEZLA for many years to come.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But we expect some continued pricing pressure there, as we've indicated.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that to be a lower impact throughout the course of the year as well.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And as Murdo said, we're looking for a slowing year-over-year price erosion on that too.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged at approximately 925 million in 2023.
Test pending
capex · made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect share repurchases not to exceed $500 million in 2023.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect a non-GAAP tax rate of 18% to 19%.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Non-GAAP spend is a percentage of product sales to slightly decrease year-over-year, driven by our ongoing digitalization, continuous improvement and productivity imperatives.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Non-GAAP R&D expenses in 2023 to remain unchanged and estimated to increase 3% to 4% year over year.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we also expect cost of sales as a percentage of product sales to be between 16% and 17%.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect the 2023 operating margin as a percent of product sales to be roughly 50% and expect our second quarter operating margin to also be roughly 50%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect a mid-single digit price decline for our portfolio in 2023.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For product sales, we project solid volume growth at a portfolio level and consistent with the first quarter.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect sequential growth in our free cash flow in the second quarter, although there may be an impact to Q2 and free cash flow from the expected closing of the Horizon acquisition due to the accounting treatment of certain items that were all expected in our Horizon acquisition financing and estimated deal costs as well as our previously announced restructuring in the first quarter.
Test pending
fcf · made Apr 27, 2023 · due Jun 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect strong cash flow for the remainder of the year consistent with our full year 2023 financial outlook that includes a non-GAAP operating margin of roughly 50%.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect our annual capital expenditures to decline starting in 2024 with the completion and licensing of our Ohio plant.
Test pending
capex · made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to sharing initial data in the second half of 2023.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We'll have top line data from a potentially registrational Phase 2 study of tarlatamab and heavily pretreated patients with small cell lung cancer in the second half of 2023, potential milestone for patients with small cell lung cancer.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In oncology. global regulatory submissions are planned in the second half of 2023 for E1910, a Phase three trial led by the ECOG ACRIN Cooperative Group
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Over time we expect long-term growth in our biosimilars business to be driven by the addition of new molecules and additional launches.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Apr 27, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect continued net selling price deterioration and accelerating volume declines driven by increased competition.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to several data readouts from our pipeline, mainly in the second half of the year.
Test pending
made Apr 27, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We do feel strongly that we will continue to be able to deliver on our 2x '21 sales by the end of the decade in our biosimilars business, so more than double our 2021 revenues.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Biosimilars business annual revenue
Biosimilars segment/business revenue for fiscal year >= 2x fiscal year 2021 biosimilars revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed biosimilars revenue (10-K / annual report / earnings materials)

KNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
made Apr 27, 2023 · for FY2029
2023 Q1 (15)15 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Yes, I think we remain quite confident in our long-term growth of Otezla.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think maybe to go back to the question Jay asked, too, we expect strong volume growth outside the United States in 2023.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And so we look forward to a year in 2023 with strong growth in our priority products, since of, Repatha, Prolia, TAVNEOS.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I wouldn't say we expect it to get larger but we will continue to see a decline in that business which is a function of the average selling price decline that we've seen thus far.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
not only the Phase II potentially registrational trial readout in the second half of the year but also initiation of a Phase III trial in second-line disease.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think it's fair to say that as additional entrants come into the market, net prices usually go down. We've seen that in our other biosimilars business but we would expect that to happen here.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that insurance coverage to continue throughout the course of 2023.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So these revenue patterns, along with the timing of expenses, are expected to translate into our Q1 non-GAAP operating margin being below 50% as a percentage of product sales, although we continue to expect operating margin as a percentage of product sales to be roughly 50% for all of 2023.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Jan 31, 2023 · due Mar 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The total of all these items creates greater than $400 million of headwinds versus the first quarter 2022.
Test pending
revenue · made Jan 31, 2023 · due Mar 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We anticipate about $80 million of foreign exchange headwinds in Q1 2023 compared to Q1 2022.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Mar 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And after we complete those facilities, we expect our capital expenditures to return to their historical levels.
Test pending
capex · made Jan 31, 2023 · due Jul 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capexCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect capital expenditures of approximately $925 million in 2023, consistent with our capital allocation priority to invest in our business, including in our new environmentally-friendly facilities in Ohio, North Carolina.
Test pending
capex · made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And for non-GAAP SG&A spend, we expect 2023 amounts as a percentage of product sales to slightly decrease year-over-year, driven by productivity improvements.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Note, however, there will be a negative impact in 2023 of approximately $125 million related to the amount of the PRET that is currently capitalized in inventory that will be charged to cost of goods sold in the first half of 2023, with most of the charge recognized in the first quarter without a corresponding tax benefit.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Jun 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We have said we think this will be gradually slope on this launch and I'm going have to keep you apprised as we go forward.
Test pending
made Jan 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023