79.0 /100
GILD (GILD)
Other · 248 verified grades · · BalancedBIASMedian signed deviation across numeric graded claims. Sandbags: outcomes land favorable to guidance. Overpromises: the opposite. Needs at least 6 numeric claims.
What management is on the hook for (327)
hedged · expects · high conviction
2026 Q3 (35)35 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As previously shared, FDA has granted BIC/LEN priority review, and we continue to anticipate a decision by August 27.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“U.S. launch preparations are currently underway for bictegravir plus lenacapavir, our once-daily single-tablet regimen, where we expect an FDA priority review decision later this month.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Later this month, we expect an FDA decision on our once-daily oral treatment combining bictegravir and lenacapavir.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Overall, we expect full year non-GAAP EPS between negative $0.65 and negative $0.30.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Excluding these transactions, our effective tax rate would be 20%, no change from our February guidance.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect full year 2026 effective tax rate to be between 140% and 115%, reflecting the nondeductible acquired IPR&D expenses associated with the Arcellx, Tubulis and Ouro medicines transactions.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect both R&D and SG&A expenses to increase a mid-single-digit percentage on a dollar basis compared to 2025.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect acquired IPR&D of $11.5 billion, reflecting $300 million lower second quarter expenses associated with the accounting treatment of potential future milestones related to the Tubulis acquisition.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Included in total product sales, we now expect Veklury sales of approximately $300 million compared to approximately $600 million previously, reflecting lower COVID-19-related hospitalizations.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Moving to total product sales. We have raised the lower end of our range and now expect total product sales in the range of $30.1 billion and $30.4 billion.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we now expect cell therapy to decline mid-teens percentage year-over-year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect approximately $1 billion for Yeztugo sales for the full year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Within HIV, we now expect full year sales to grow between 9% and 10% year-over-year, up from 8% previously, driven by continued strong growth in Biktarvy for HIV treatment as well as Yeztugo and Descovy for PrEP.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect base business sales to grow approximately 6% to 7% year-over-year and range between $29.8 billion and $30.1 billion.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For the remainder of the year, we anticipate FDA regulatory decisions for BIC/LEN in virally suppressed people with HIV and anito-cel in fourth line or later relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma as well as a Phase III ASCENT-GYN update for Trodelvy in advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With its deep and durable efficacy as well as a differentiated safety profile observed in the Phase II iMMagine-1 study, we continue to believe anito-cel has best-in-disease potential, and we look forward to a regulatory decision later this year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our pipeline now includes a Phase I/II clinical program in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, and we continue to expect entering registrational development in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer as early as 2027.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We anticipate a regulatory decision by February 2, 2027, and look forward to the opportunity to add the first long-acting oral prevention option to our industry-leading portfolio.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Preliminary data showed the potential for dosing intervals longer than 4 months with additional data from the higher dose cohorts expected later this year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to initiate new Phase II trials in both the switch and naive populations with the first study evaluating once-weekly oral lenacapavir with oral GS-3242 starting before the end of the year and the second study testing once-weekly oral lenacapavir with oral GS-1720 starting in early 2027.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to work towards global regulatory filings as quickly as possible with potential for launch of the first weekly oral in 2027.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In 2026 to date, the launches of Trodelvy in first-line metastatic TNBC and Hepcludex in HDV are already underway, and we expect potential launches for BIC/LEN in HIV treatment and anito-cel in multiple myeloma before year-end.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We look forward to bringing Hepcludex into the small but deeply underserved patient population, and it is expected to be a modest growth contributor in our liver disease business.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect robust full year growth for Descovy, driven by pricing favorability as well as demand growth and an expanding U.S. PrEP market.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Overall, we continue to be very pleased with the progress of the launch and with second quarter sales of $232 million, up 40% sequentially and continue to target full year 2026 sales of approximately $1 billion.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We're also anticipating islatravir plus lenacapavir, the potential first once-weekly single-tablet regimen to launch next year, continuing to build on Gilead's HIV leadership.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As people with HIV navigate these changes, we did see a slowing in HIV treatment market growth in the second quarter, although we expect to see this trend back to the typical 2% to 3% rate of annual growth.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Given the strong performance in the first half of the year, we now expect full year 2026 HIV sales to grow between 9% and 10% compared to 2025, up from our prior expectation of 8% and driven by continued strong growth in Biktarvy, Yeztugo and Descovy.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In the second half, we expect another 2 commercial launches in HIV and oncology while continuing to deliver clinical and commercial excellence across the portfolio.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“These data are expected to support the filing and potential launch of the first once-weekly oral HIV treatment regimen, islatravir plus lenacapavir in 2027.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With a $4 billion annual run rate for our PrEP business and Biktarvy's continued strength, we are raising our full year HIV growth expectations to 9% to 10% year-over-year from prior guidance of 8% growth.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We completed enrollment of iMMagine-3 in second-line multiple myeloma this quarter and look forward to potentially filing in this indication as early as 2027.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We expect to provide an update in 2027 with potential to launch in 2028.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We view this as a differentiated opportunity for a subset of the virally suppressed population and with potential for launch around 2030, it could establish an important early presence in the twice yearly treatment market ahead of our INSTI-based regimen currently in development.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We look forward to potentially expanding Livdelzi's leadership in the second-line PBC population as early as next year.”
Test pending
2026 Q2 (55)55 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We feel very confident in Trodelvy’s overall profile—the data are practice-changing, as recognized at ASCO and ESMO when both studies were presented—and we are excited about the potential approvals of both first line and second line toward the later Q3 of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA approval status of Trodelvy for first-line and second-line indications
Both first-line and second-line approvals granted by FDA by end of Q3 2026 (September 30, 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / FDA.gov approval announcements / Gilead quarterly earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-30
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a regulatory decision based on priority review in August.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision (approval action) on the product under priority review
FDA issues a decision (approval, complete response letter, or other action) by August 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA action announcement (company-disclosed regulatory update, 8-K or press release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are targeting a potential launch in late August for people with virally suppressed HIV, including those on complex regimens.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Launch status of Biclen (bictegravir plus lenacapavir) for virally suppressed HIV patients
Company confirms commercial launch (product availability/first sales) has occurred by August 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, product pipeline update, or Q2/Q3 2026 earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This is now under priority review, and we expect an FDA decision in August.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision on bictegravir plus lenacapavir (once-daily oral regimen) under priority review
FDA issues a decision (approval or Complete Response Letter) by August 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA.gov action database / Gilead regulatory milestone disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect an FDA regulatory decision for bulevirtide as a treatment for chronic HDV infection later this quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This trial is recruiting ahead of expectations, with enrollment completion expected in the second quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to target updates from the Phase 3 ILLAND-1 and -2 trials, in collaboration with Merck, later this quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Additionally, we expect a regulatory decision and potential U.S. launch of Hepcludex for chronic hepatitis delta virus infection later this quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Other upcoming HIV milestones include Phase 3 updates later this quarter from the ILLAND-1 and -2 studies evaluating a potential first once-weekly oral for virally suppressed people with HIV.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are pleased to note that, excluding these transaction-related costs, we are effectively maintaining our start-of-the-year non-GAAP EPS guidance, highlighting the flexibility in our operating model and our agility as we flex to accommodate the needs of the business.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance excluding transaction-related costs (upfront IPR&D and transaction financing expenses of ~$9.50/share), compared to start-of-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance
Updated non-GAAP EPS guidance plus ~$9.50/share transaction-related costs falls within 2% of the original start-of-year non-GAAP EPS guidance midpoint SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings press release / investor presentation reconciling non-GAAP EPS guidance (Q1 2026 and subsequent quarterly updates)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“As a result, we are increasing our revenue ranges by $400 million.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 total revenue guidance range (as reaffirmed or reported at fiscal year-end)
Updated FY2026 revenue guidance midpoint/range is approximately $400 million higher than the prior (start-of-year) guidance range SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / earnings call full-year guidance disclosure (Q1 2026 and subsequent quarterly updates)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Given the outperformance of Yes2Go in the first quarter and our growing confidence in the trends we are seeing, we are increasing our 2026 Yes2Go guidance to $1 billion, potentially achieving blockbuster status in its first full year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Yes2Go full-year 2026 net product sales
Full-year 2026 Yes2Go sales >= $1 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings release and 10-K product revenue disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capacityCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to have a majority of our authorized treatment centers activated within 2027 based on their enthusiasm.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number/percentage of authorized treatment centers activated (for the relevant Kite therapy)
Activated authorized treatment centers > 50% of total authorized centers SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls / company disclosures (Gilead/Kite investor updates through 2027)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We do expect Yes2Go’s persistency to keep growing over time and to be the highest in the overall HIV prevention market.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Yes2Go persistency rate (e.g., proportion of patients remaining on therapy at a given time point) compared to persistency rates of other HIV prevention products (other LAI injectables, Truvada generics, Descovy)
Company-disclosed or company-cited Yes2Go persistency rate higher than that reported/cited for any other HIV prevention product in the market SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures/management commentary on quarterly earnings calls or investor presentations citing persistency dataKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Given a late August approval, access will need to ramp, so revenues in 2026 will be modest, with a nice ramp in 2027 and beyond.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Biclen (bictegravir/lenacapavir) product revenue, annual
2026 annual revenue modest (low, well below run-rate expectations) with 2027 annual revenue materially higher than 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed product revenue (10-K / quarterly earnings releases)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“You should still expect very strong financial performance—top line and bottom line. There is room to strengthen the margin over time.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Revenue growth and operating margin trend, full fiscal year
Full-year revenue growth > 0% year-over-year and operating margin (non-GAAP) higher than or equal to prior year's reported margin by fiscal 2028 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation (10-K / earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-05-07
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect in 2027 to find room in our portfolio and P&L as well.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP operating margin (or EPS growth on an apples-to-apples basis excluding IPR&D), full fiscal year 2027
FY2027 non-GAAP operating margin >= FY2026 reported non-GAAP operating margin (i.e., no year-over-year margin compression) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation (10-K / earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, given the pace of our activity in 2026, our business development focus in the near term will be closing and successfully integrating these programs, and maintaining strong clinical momentum.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Completion/closing status of the Arcellx, Oral Medicines, and Tubulis transactions, and whether large-scale (sizable) M&A is pursued
No additional sizable M&A transaction (materially larger in scale than ordinary course deals) announced by Gilead through 2026-12-31, and the three named deals (Arcellx, Oral Medicines, Tubulis) are reported as closed/integrating SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases and 10-K/quarterly filings on business development activity (2026 fiscal year)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Excluding this impact, our non-GAAP diluted EPS would be $8.45 to $8.85, or in line with the non-GAAP EPS guidance we shared back in February.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP diluted EPS excluding upfront payments and financing costs related to Arcellx, Oral Medicines, and Tubulis transactions, full-year 2026
Adjusted non-GAAP diluted EPS between $8.45 and $8.85 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation in Q4/full-year 2026 earnings release or 10-KKNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On slide 25, you can see that we now expect full-year 2026 non-GAAP loss per share in the range of $1.05 to $0.65 per share.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP diluted loss per share
Non-GAAP diluted EPS between -$1.05 and -$0.65 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / 10-K non-GAAP EPS reconciliation for FY2026KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Excluding the $11.5 billion in upfront payments related to these recent transactions, operating income would be between $14.0 billion and $14.5 billion, or $200 million higher than our February guidance.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating income, excluding upfront payments and financing costs related to Tubulis/Arcellx/Oral Medicines transactions (as reconciled by management)
Adjusted operating income between $14.0 billion and $14.5 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial results and non-GAAP reconciliation tables (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Full-year 2026 effective tax rate is expected to be between 140% and 190% reflecting the nondeductible expenses from the Arcellx, Oral Medicines, and Tubulis transactions.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 effective tax rate
Between 140% and 190% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / full-year 2026 earnings release (tax rate disclosure)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we expect full-year 2026 operating income of $2.4 billion to $2.9 billion.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 GAAP operating income
Between $2.4 billion and $2.9 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect SG&A expenses to remain in line with our February guidance of a mid-single-digit percentage increase compared to 2025.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 SG&A expenses, non-GAAP, percentage change versus 2025
Increase of 4% to 6% compared to full-year 2025 SG&A expenses SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP income statement / full-year 2026 earnings release and 10-KKNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect acquired IPR&D investments of approximately $11.8 billion for the year, which includes the upfront payments associated with our recently announced acquisitions.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Acquired IPR&D expense for full-year 2026, as reported in non-GAAP (or GAAP) P&L
Full-year acquired IPR&D expense between $11.3 billion and $12.3 billion (approximately $11.8 billion) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / earnings release (non-GAAP reconciliation) for FY2026KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Overall, we expect R&D expense as a percentage of total product sales to be less than 20% in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
R&D expense as a percentage of total product sales, full-year 2026
R&D expense / total product sales < 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany non-GAAP income statement / full-year 2026 results (10-K or Q4 2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Specifically, we expect R&D expenses to increase a mid-single-digit percentage from 2025, slightly higher than the low-single-digit percentage increase shared in our February guidance.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP R&D expense, full-year 2026, percentage growth from 2025
Full-year 2026 R&D expense growth vs 2025 between 4% and 6% (mid-single-digit) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP full-year income statement / guidance disclosures (Q4 2026 earnings release or 10-K)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our full-year Veklury guidance remains unchanged at approximately $600 million, contributing to expected 2026 total product sales between $30.0 billion and $30.4 billion, an increase of $400 million.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total product sales, full year 2026
Total product sales between $30.0 billion and $30.4 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / full-year 2026 earnings release (Gilead 10-K or Q4 2026 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This increase of $400 million results in 5% to 6% year-over-year growth, up from the 4% to 5% growth expectation we shared in February.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 base business revenue (total product sales excluding Veklury) and its year-over-year growth rate
Base business revenue between $29.4 billion and $29.8 billion, representing 5% to 6% year-over-year growth SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany full-year 2026 earnings release / 10-K non-GAAP revenue reconciliationKNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, we are increasing our 2026 base business guidance and now expect a range between $29.4 billion and $29.8 billion.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
2026 base business revenue (non-GAAP, excluding certain acquisitions per company definition)
Full-year 2026 base business revenue between $29.4 billion and $29.8 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 2026 earnings release / full-year results (income statement and guidance reconciliation)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Within HIV, we now expect Yes2Go sales of approximately $1 billion, up from $800 million at the start of the year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Yes2Go product sales, full-year 2026
Full-year 2026 Yes2Go sales approximately $1 billion (>= $950 million) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported product sales disclosure (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Reflecting strength across our HIV businesses, we now expect 2026 HIV sales to grow 8% year-over-year, ahead of our prior guidance of 6% growth.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
HIV product sales growth, full-year 2026 vs full-year 2025
Year-over-year HIV sales growth >= 8.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported segment/product revenue (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For R&D, we expect a transaction-related modest and manageable dollar increase compared to our start-of-the-year guidance.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP R&D expense (dollar amount), compared to start-of-year 2026 guidance
FY2026 R&D expense guidance/actual increase versus start-of-year guidance is positive but modest (roughly up to low-single-digit percent / small billions increase, not a large or disproportionate jump) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and guidance updates (10-Q/10-K, non-GAAP reconciliation tables, earnings call commentary)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Additionally, we expect FDA regulatory decisions for Biclen in August and anitocel in December, as well as Phase 3 updates for ILLAND-1 and -2 in the first half of this year, and for EVOQUE-3, ASCENT GYN, and IDEAL in the second half.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Occurrence of stated regulatory/clinical milestones: FDA decision on Biclen, FDA decision on anitocel, Phase 3 data updates for ILLAND-1/-2, EVOQUE-3, ASCENT GYN, and IDEAL
FDA action on Biclen disclosed by end of August 2026; FDA action on anitocel disclosed by end of December 2026; ILLAND-1 and -2 Phase 3 updates disclosed by June 30, 2026; EVOQUE-3, ASCENT GYN, and IDEAL Phase 3 updates disclosed by December 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA announcements, and Gilead quarterly earnings calls/presentations in 2026KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are targeting Phase 3 registrational trials in select autoimmune diseases as early as 2027.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Initiation of Phase 3 registrational trial(s) for gembritomig in select autoimmune diseases
At least one Phase 3 registrational trial for gembritomig in an autoimmune indication (e.g., autoimmune cytopenias, pemphigus, idiopathic inflammatory myopathies) is initiated/dosing on or before 2027-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, clinicaltrials.gov listing, or Gilead pipeline disclosures (10-K/10-Q, earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In the immediate future, we look forward to more mature Phase 1 data on TUB-40 in ovarian cancer at this year's ASCO meeting in June, and expect to enter registrational Phase 3 studies for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer in 2027.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Initiation of a registrational Phase 3 study for TUB-40 in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer
Company announces/confirms Phase 3 registrational trial start (first patient dosed or trial listed as initiated) during calendar year 2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, clinicaltrials.gov listing, or Gilead quarterly earnings calls/10-Q/10-K disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2027-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Further, we continue to expect Phase 3 updates from EVOQUE-3 in first-line PD-L1–high non-small cell lung cancer, and ASCENT GYN in second line-plus metastatic endometrial cancer, in the second half of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Disclosure of Phase 3 trial data/updates for EVOQUE-3 (first-line PD-L1-high NSCLC) and ASCENT GYN (second-line-plus metastatic endometrial cancer)
Company announces or presents Phase 3 topline or detailed results for both EVOQUE-3 and ASCENT GYN trials between 2026-07-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, or conference presentations (e.g., ESMO, ASCO) disclosing trial resultsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect regulatory decisions from FDA in first-line metastatic TNBC in 2026, and we now also anticipate European Commission decisions later this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
European Commission regulatory decision on Trodelvy in first-line metastatic TNBC
EC decision (approval or rejection) announced on or before 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / EU Commission decision register / Gilead quarterly earnings commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect these data, along with the unprecedented efficacy and safety results from PURPOSE-1 and -2, to form the basis of regulatory submission, with target U.S. approval in 2028.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA approval status of once-yearly intramuscular lenacapavir for HIV PrEP (PURPOSE-365 regimen)
FDA grants approval on or before 2028-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA.gov drug approval database / Gilead regulatory disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Moving to even longer-acting options, we are excited to be initiating a Phase 2 trial combining our investigational integrase inhibitor, GS-3242, with lenacapavir in the second half of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Initiation status of Phase 2 trial combining GS-3242 with lenacapavir
Trial listed as initiated/recruiting (e.g., on ClinicalTrials.gov) or company confirms initiation between 2026-07-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITClinicalTrials.gov registry entry and/or company pipeline updates / earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As we wrap up the first quarter and look forward to up to four additional launches this year, shown on slide 14, I want to recognize our commercialization teams for their exceptional execution in driving another strong quarter in Q1, and thank them for their commitment to growing patient impact in the second quarter and beyond.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of new product/indication launches completed by the company during the year
Count of launches announced/confirmed as completed >= 4 (up to four additional launches referenced) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings call commentary / press releases on product launches (Q2-Q4 calls, 10-K)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With a late December PDUFA date and factoring in the time needed for site activation, we expect revenue from anitocel to begin in early 2027.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Anitocel product revenue, first reported quarterly amount
Company reports anitocel revenue > $0 in a quarter with quarter-start date in Q1 2027 (Jan 1 - Mar 31, 2027) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / 10-Q revenue disclosures by productKNOWABLE AFTER2027-05-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Reinforces the strength of the data in first line and a potential launch in the U.S. in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
U.S. regulatory approval and/or commercial launch of the product in the first-line setting
Company confirms U.S. launch (or FDA approval enabling launch) in first-line indication occurs during calendar year 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / FDA approval announcements / quarterly earnings calls (Gilead)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This is inclusive of headwinds of approximately 2% associated with the drug pricing agreement with the U.S. government to lower Medicaid pricing for some of our products and proposed changes to the Affordable Care Act.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total HIV sales (treatment and prevention combined), year-over-year growth, fiscal year 2026
2026 total HIV sales growth approximately 8% year-over-year (7%-9% range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual reports, HIV franchise sales disclosure (10-K/10-Q or earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Reflecting this increase to our Yes2Go guidance, in addition to first quarter strength across HIV, we are now expecting 2026 total HIV sales including both treatment and prevention to grow approximately 8% year-over-year compared to the 6% previously shared in our February guidance.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total HIV sales (treatment + prevention combined), full-year 2026, year-over-year growth rate
2026 total HIV sales growth >= 7% year-over-year (approximately 8% guided) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported HIV segment/product sales in quarterly earnings releases and 10-K (FY2026 results)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Both Yes2Go and Descovy for PrEP sales are expected to meaningfully grow in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 product sales for Yes2Go and Descovy for PrEP, as separately reported
Yes2Go 2026 sales >= $1 billion AND Descovy for PrEP 2026 sales higher than 2025 reported figure (both showing year-over-year growth) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings disclosures (10-K/10-Q product sales tables, Q4 2026 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe we have the most compelling portfolio of PrEP products on the market and expect to retain and grow our leadership in the rapidly expanding PrEP market in both the near and long term.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gilead's combined US PrEP market share (Descovy + Yeztugo) as disclosed or calculable from company-reported PrEP segment sales versus total US PrEP market size
Gilead US PrEP market share at end of 2026 is greater than or equal to its share as of Q1 2026 (i.e., share maintained or increased, not declined) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings commentary and disclosed U.S. PrEP business revenue/market growth figures (10-Q/10-K and earnings call slides)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are expecting an update from our Phase 3 IDEAL study for Libdelzi in the second half of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Disclosure of Phase 3 IDEAL study update/results for Libdelzi
Company or clinical trial registry announces IDEAL study data (topline or detailed results) between July 1 and December 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, quarterly earnings call, or clinicaltrials.gov postingKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Additionally, we are expecting a regulatory decision on anitocel, our potential best-in-disease BCMA CAR T, in December.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision status (approval, complete response letter, or other action) on anitocel (BCMA CAR T)
FDA issues a decision (approval or CRL) on anitocel by December 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA action announcement / Gilead SEC filings (8-K)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are also expecting Phase 3 updates from the EVOQUE-3 trial in first-line metastatic non-small cell lung cancer and the ASCENT GYN trial in second line-plus metastatic endometrial cancer in the second half of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public disclosure of Phase 3 trial updates (data readout or results announcement) for EVOQUE-3 (first-line metastatic NSCLC) and ASCENT GYN (second-line-plus metastatic endometrial cancer)
At least one company-disclosed update (press release, conference presentation, or publication) on trial results/status for each of EVOQUE-3 and ASCENT GYN occurring between 2026-07-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, investor presentations, or medical conference disclosures (e.g., ASCO/ESMO abstracts) referenced on Gilead's investor relations siteKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We anticipate regulatory decisions on extending into first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer in the second half of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Regulatory decision (approval/label extension) for Trodelvy in first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer
FDA or other major regulatory authority issues a decision (approval or CRL) on first-line metastatic TNBC indication for Trodelvy between July 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA.gov approvals database / Gilead quarterly earnings commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Later this year, we plan to share additional data that support the combination of GS-3242 with lenacapavir as a potential twice-yearly injectable treatment regimen.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public disclosure of additional clinical data on the GS-3242 + lenacapavir combination regimen (e.g., presented at a medical conference or in a press release)
Company presents or publishes new data on GS-3242 combined with lenacapavir at least once between now and year-end 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, medical conference presentations (e.g., IDWeek, HIV Glasgow), or investor communicationsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s HIV business is poised for strong, durable growth supported by up to seven potential new HIV product launches by 2033.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative number of new HIV product launches (new molecular entities/regimens) by Gilead
Number of distinct new HIV product launches by Gilead >= 1 and up to 7 by end of 2033 (directional: company delivers multiple new HIV launches, ideally approaching the stated up to seven) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA approval announcements, and Gilead HIV portfolio disclosures (10-K/earnings calls) through 2033KNOWABLE AFTER2033-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“It is less likely that we will pursue more sizable M&A this year, although we will always leave the door open to consider strategic acquisitions if a compelling opportunity emerges.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Announced M&A deal value (sizable/large acquisitions) by Gilead during the year
No announced acquisition with deal value exceeding approximately $1 billion (i.e., no 'sizable' M&A) through 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases on acquisitions / 10-K or 10-Q disclosures of business combinationsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“If positive, the IDEAL study could support a label update and expand the second-line PBC addressable population.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Announcement of Phase 3 IDEAL study results (topline data readout) for Libdelzi in second-line PBC
Company discloses positive IDEAL study results (met primary endpoint) by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / management commentary on quarterly earnings callKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
2026 Q1 (29)29 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect this DTC campaign to broaden awareness of YES2GO and contribute to a consistent build in YES2GO sales in the coming quarters.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Quarterly YES2GO net sales, sequential quarter-over-quarter
Each of the next two reported quarters (Q1 2026, Q2 2026) shows YES2GO sales higher than the immediately preceding quarter SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead quarterly earnings release / 10-Q product revenue disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-10
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“On slide 31, we returned $5.9 billion to shareholders in 2025, we remain committed to returning on average, at least 50% of our free cash flow to shareholders.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative capital returned to shareholders (dividends + share repurchases) as a percentage of free cash flow, averaged over multiple years
Multi-year average payout ratio >= 50% of free cash flow (assessed using several years of reported data, not a single year in isolation) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany cash flow statement and shareholder return disclosures (10-K / quarterly earnings materials)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“However, in 2027, we will have a full year of sales.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Anidocel (Anito-cel) product sales recognized for full fiscal year 2027
Company reports Anito-cel sales for all four quarters of FY2027 (i.e., a full year of recognized product revenue, not a partial-year launch figure) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead/Kite quarterly and annual reports (10-K/10-Q) product revenue disclosures and earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe Descovy will continue to grow through 2026 and over time, of course, that will erode as YES2GO takes a leading share in HIV prevention.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Descovy product revenue, fiscal year 2026 vs fiscal year 2025
FY2026 Descovy revenue > FY2025 Descovy revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial disclosures (10-K / earnings release product revenue table)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Having said that, in 2026, we believe that Descovy continues to grow through in 2026”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Descovy revenue (annual, FY2026)
FY2026 Descovy revenue higher than FY2025 reported Descovy revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany financial reports / 10-K product revenue disclosures (Gilead HIV product revenue breakdown)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we do expect as we come into 2026, we have strong growth momentum already. So Q1 will be we'll start with modest growth and then kind of build on that quarter after quarter”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
YES2GO (or successor PrEP product) quarter-over-quarter net sales growth, FY2026
Q1 2026 sequential growth positive but modest (roughly low single-digit % or less), with each subsequent quarter (Q2, Q3, Q4) showing sequential growth greater than the prior quarter's sequential growth rate SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported product sales by quarter (Gilead 10-Q/10-K and quarterly earnings materials)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In cell therapy, we expect full-year 2026 revenues to decline approximately 10% compared to 2025, reflecting continued competitive headwinds related to our Kite portfolio.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cell therapy (Kite portfolio) full-year revenue, 2026 vs 2025
2026 cell therapy revenue decline between 7% and 13% compared to 2025 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial disclosures (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release, product/segment revenue breakdown)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As Johanna mentioned, and as shown on slide 30, we expect an approximate 2% headwind to growth in 2026 primarily associated with the impact of the drug pricing agreement announced in December 2025 and the expected impact of updates to the Affordable Care Act.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 total revenue growth rate (as-reported, year-over-year), compared against the underlying growth rate absent drug pricing/ACA headwinds
Reported full-year 2026 revenue growth falls approximately 2 percentage points below the 6%-7% underlying growth range cited (i.e., roughly 4%-5% reported growth); directional check: reported growth < underlying growth range midpoint by approximately 2 points SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead Sciences full-year 2026 income statement (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release) and management commentary on growth driversKNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating income of between $13.8 billion and $14.3 billion a tax rate of approximately 20%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS in the range of $8.45 and $8.85 per share.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP diluted EPS
Non-GAAP operating income between $13.8B and $14.3B AND non-GAAP diluted EPS between $8.45 and $8.85 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany full-year 2026 earnings release / non-GAAP reconciliation (Q4 2026 call)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And SG&A expenses to increase by a mid-single-digit percentage relative to 2025, reflecting higher investments in sales and marketing to support our commercial launches, offset in part by lower G&A expenses.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP SG&A expenses, full-year 2026, percentage growth vs. full-year 2025
2026 SG&A growth vs 2025 between 4% and 6% (mid-single-digit percentage increase) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP income statement / earnings release (full-year 2026 results)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Moving to the non-GAAP P&L for the full year 2026, we expect product gross margin of approximately 87%, R&D expenses to increase a low single-digit percentage from 2025, acquired IPR&D investments of approximately $300 million reflecting known commitments associated with prior collaborations and partnerships.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 non-GAAP product gross margin
Between 86.5% and 87.5% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP P&L disclosure (Q4 2026 earnings release / call slides)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect total Vecluri sales of approximately $600 million highlighting a $300 million headwind that we expect to more than offset in our base business.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 Veklury product sales
Between $550 million and $650 million (approximately $600 million) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany full-year 2026 product sales disclosure (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Based on these exciting data, we are energized to potentially bring Anidocel to patients in the second half of this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Regulatory approval/launch status of Anidocel (anito-cel) for relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma in the US
FDA approval granted and commercial availability/launch to patients occurs on or before 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA approval announcements, and Gilead/Kite quarterly earnings commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Notably, we expect updates from two of the Phase III trials this year, including ASCENT GYN-01, evaluating Trodelvy in second-line metastatic endometrial cancer in the second half of this year, as well as EVOQUE-03, exploring Trodelvy plus pembro, in first-line metastatic PD-L1 high non-small cell lung cancer.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Disclosure of data/results update from the ASCENT GYN-01 Phase III trial (Trodelvy in second-line metastatic endometrial cancer)
Company or trial-associated announcement (press release, conference presentation, or publication) providing a clinical update/results from ASCENT GYN-01 occurs between 2026-07-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls/presentations, or medical conference disclosures (e.g., ASCO/ESMO) referencing ASCENT GYN-01KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect FDA decisions for Trodelvy in first-line metastatic TNBC patients who are not candidates for PD-1 inhibitors, and for Trodelvy plus pembrolizumab in first-line PD-L1 positive metastatic TNBC in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decisions (approval or CRL) for Trodelvy in (1) first-line metastatic TNBC patients not candidates for PD-1 inhibitors and (2) Trodelvy plus pembrolizumab in first-line PD-L1 positive metastatic TNBC
FDA issues a decision (approval or complete response letter) for both indications by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / FDA.gov approval database / Gilead investor communicationsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Later this year, we expect to provide an update from our Phase III IDEAL study evaluating Libdelzi in patients with ALP levels between 1 and 1.67 times the upper limit of normal.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Disclosure of an update/data readout from the Phase III IDEAL study of Libdelzi (seladelpar) in PBC patients with ALP 1-1.67x ULN
Company issues a press release, presents at a medical conference, or discloses on an earnings call any topline or interim data/update from the IDEAL study SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, investor presentations, or earnings call transcripts (GILD)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking at our long-acting programs, we plan to share Phase III updates from our ILN-One and ILN-Two trials, evaluating islatrovir plus lenacapavir in 2026 and for our twice-yearly treatment program, we plan to initiate our Phase III trial evaluating lenacapavir plus broadly neutralizing antibodies in the second half of the year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Two distinct clinical milestones: (1) disclosure of Phase III data/updates from ILN-One and ILN-Two trials (islatrovir plus lenacapavir); (2) initiation of a Phase III trial evaluating lenacapavir plus broadly neutralizing antibodies for twice-yearly treatment
Company publicly discloses Phase III ILN-One/ILN-Two trial updates at any point in 2026 AND announces initiation (first patient dosed or trial start disclosed) of the lenacapavir plus bNAb Phase III trial in H2 2026 (July 1 - Dec 31, 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, clinicaltrials.gov listings, or medical conference presentations (e.g., CROI, IAS) in 2026KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to share detailed results from our positive Phase III trials at the CROI meeting in February with a potential FDA decision by the end of the year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision (approval or CRL) on bictegravir plus lenacapavir combination for HIV treatment
FDA issues a decision (approval or complete response letter) on or before 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA.gov approval database / 10-K or earnings call regulatory updatesKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking to the second half of the year, the team is preparing for the potential launch of Anidocel in fourth-line and later relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Commercial launch status of Anidocel (anitocabtagene autoleucel) in fourth-line and later relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma
Company confirms product launch (commercial availability/first sales) has occurred by year-end 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, quarterly earnings call, or 10-K/10-Q disclosure on Anidocel commercial launch statusKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Overall, we expect Kite revenue to decline approximately 10% in 2026 compared to 2025.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Kite segment full-year revenue, 2026 vs 2025
2026 Kite revenue decline between 7% and 13% versus 2025 reported Kite revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead Sciences 10-K / earnings release segment revenue disclosures (Kite cell therapy revenue)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For 2026, we continue to expect these competitive headwinds including in several countries outside the US, where we expect new entrants this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Kite (cell therapy) full-year revenue, 2026 vs 2025
2026 Kite revenue declines approximately 10% (between 7% and 13% decline) versus 2025 reported Kite revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead quarterly/annual earnings release, Kite segment revenue disclosure (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As the leading regimen in second-line, Trodelvy is already well established with oncologists, and these updates build momentum for Trodelvy ahead of potential first-line launches expected later this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Trodelvy first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer launch/approval status
Company confirms Trodelvy first-line launch (regulatory approval and/or commercial launch) has occurred by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA approval announcements, and Gilead quarterly earnings calls/10-KKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Absent these headwinds, our HIV business is expected to grow 8% in 2026, highlighting the underlying strength of our HIV business.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total HIV sales growth, full year 2026 vs 2025
reported full-year 2026 HIV sales growth approximately 6% (guidance range 5%-7%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany quarterly/annual earnings release and segment disclosures (10-K / Q4 2026 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In total, these headwinds are expected to impact HIV growth by about 2% in 2026 compared to 2025.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total HIV sales growth rate, full year 2026 vs 2025
Reported FY2026 HIV sales growth approximately 6% (within 5%-7% range), consistent with an underlying ~8% growth reduced by ~2% headwind impact SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed HIV segment sales in quarterly/annual earnings release and 10-K (FY2026 results)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our goal this year is to continue to drive rapid adoption of HIV prevention, and we expect both brands to demonstrate robust growth in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 revenue for YES2GO and Descovy (HIV prevention brands)
YES2GO FY2026 revenue >= $800 million and Descovy FY2026 revenue higher than FY2025 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings reports and investor presentations (product revenue breakdown)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We have up to 10 ongoing and potential new launches through 2027 and the strongest pipeline in our almost forty-year history.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative count of new product launches and indication approvals completed by Gilead from 2026 through 2027 (as disclosed in company communications)
Number of distinct new launches/approvals >= 8 (out of the 'up to 10' cited) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases and earnings call commentary on product launches (2026-2027)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And on the heels of libdalzi in 2024, and YES2GO in 2025, we are targeting four commercial launches this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of new commercial product launches completed by the company during 2026 (including Trodelvy 1L TNBC, bictegravir/lenacapavir combination, Anidocel, and bruleviratide US launch)
Count of distinct commercial launches actually announced/completed in 2026 >= 4 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, and 10-K/annual report disclosures on product launches during fiscal year 2026KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With its unique potential to bend the curve of the HIV epidemic, YES2GO is a transformative medicine that we expect to drive durable, steady, and long-term growth in our HIV prevention business in the coming quarters and years.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gilead HIV prevention portfolio revenue growth (year-over-year), as reported quarterly/annually
HIV prevention portfolio revenue growth > 0% year-over-year in each reported period through the deadline, with cumulative multi-quarter trend positive (i.e., not declining sequentially over consecutive quarters) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead quarterly earnings releases and 10-K/10-Q segment revenue disclosures (HIV prevention product line, including YES2GO/lenacapavir PrEP sales)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-10
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“And Brian, would just remind what we've already stated, which is this could be available as early as 2028. The trial is recruiting well.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Regulatory approval/availability status of the product (365/twice-yearly HIV PrEP candidate) in a given market
Product receives regulatory approval and is commercially available by 2028-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA approval database, or management commentary on quarterly callsKNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
2025 Q4 (41)41 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“So we're very confident to -- that we're on track to reach those numbers.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I would assume about a 14% to 15% growth continuing with PrEP.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we do expect full year Yeztugo sales of around $150 million or so, including the $54 million year-to-date.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“These repurchases are intended to offset equity dilution at a minimum, but can also be used opportunistically as you've seen in the first 3 quarters of 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP EPS is expected to be in the range of $6.65 to $6.85.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And finally, we expect non-GAAP EPS in the range of $8.05 and $8.25, raising non-GAAP EPS by $0.10 at the low end of the range.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect our effective tax rate to be approximately 19%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we expect operating income to be between $13.1 billion and $13.4 billion, reflecting an increase of $100 million at the low end of the prior guidance range.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect full year acquired IPR&D to be $900 million.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Similar to last year, we expect a step-up in both R&D and SG&A expenses in the fourth quarter, reflecting normal end of year trends.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect product gross margin of approximately 86%, R&D expenses to be roughly flat on a dollar basis from 2024 and SG&A expenses to decline by a mid- to high single-digit percentage compared to 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Finally, we continue to expect the impact of known tariffs to be manageable in 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, total product sales are anticipated to be in the range of $28.4 billion to $28.7 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For Veklury, we continue to expect full year revenue of approximately $1 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we now forecast approximately a 10% decline for full year 2025 versus full year 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we continue to expect approximately $900 million of impact to our HIV business in 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Driven by the outperformance of both Biktarvy and Descovy year-to-date, we now anticipate our HIV franchise will grow approximately 5% year-over-year versus our prior guidance of 3%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect total product sales, excluding Veklury, to be between $27.4 billion and $27.7 billion, primarily reflecting higher HIV growth.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Year-to-date 2025 R&D expenses were $4.1 billion, in line with 2024, suggesting we are on track for our full year goal.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“pivotal Phase II initiation of KITE-753 for third-line large B-cell lymphoma in the first quarter of 2026.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“a Phase I study in neuroinflammatory conditions is expected to start in the first quarter of 2026.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Finally, we now also expect ASCENT-07 data in the fourth quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we remain on track to provide updates for our Phase III ARTISTRY-1 and ARTISTRY-2 trials for BIC/LEN and for our pivotal Phase II iMMagine-1 trial for anito-cel in the fourth quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect to provide an update from this trial before the end of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we continue to expect an update from our Phase III ARTISTRY studies later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We anticipate these headwinds to continue in the near future.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Consistent with our performance year-to-date, we are increasing our guidance for full year HIV revenue growth to approximately 5%, up from 3% last quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We look forward to sharing progress on one of our next-generation HIV treatments before the end of the year with an update on the ARTISTRY-1 and ARTISTRY-2 studies.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a reflection of our strong performance year-to-date, we are increasing our full year HIV revenue growth expectations to approximately 5%.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we would look for those late-stage derisked assets every 2 to 3 years at a minimum to kind of add them to our portfolio.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of late-stage derisked asset acquisitions/additions (via BD deals, e.g., licensing or M&A) added to Gilead's portfolio
At least 1 late-stage derisked asset acquired within the 2-3 year window (by 2028-04-30) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / business development announcements and 10-K disclosures on acquisitions and licensing dealsKNOWABLE AFTER2028-04-30
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we do believe it's going to be a gradual ramp-up. And then for us, it really sets up the platform for the ramp for Yeztugo in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Yeztugo (lenacapavir for PrEP) net product sales, quarterly and full-year
2026 full-year Yeztugo net sales higher than 2025 full-year net sales, with quarter-over-quarter revenue increasing through 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead Sciences quarterly earnings release / 10-K and 10-Q product revenue disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect an update from the event-driven STAR-221 trial in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Disclosure of a data update (e.g., topline results, readout, or publication) from the Phase III STAR-221 trial
Company or trial-sponsor discloses an event-driven STAR-221 update (results, press release, or presentation) at any point during calendar year 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, clinicaltrials.gov (NCT record for STAR-221), or medical conference presentationsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we have submitted two supplemental biologics license applications for Trodelvy in first-line metastatic TNBC and expect regulatory decisions in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision (approval or complete response letter) on the two Trodelvy sBLAs for first-line metastatic TNBC
At least one of the two sBLA decisions (approval or CRL) is issued/announced by FDA on or before 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA action announcement, or 10-K/10-Q regulatory updateKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We're excited by the potential to bring bulevirtide to HDV patients in the U.S. with a potential regulatory decision in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision (approval or CRL) on bulevirtide BLA for chronic HDV
FDA issues a decision (approval or Complete Response Letter) on bulevirtide between 2026-01-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA.gov approval database / Gilead SEC filings (8-K, earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we expect to share more details on GS-3242 at a Virology Conference in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Public disclosure of GS-3242 clinical/development data at a virology conference
Company or its representatives present GS-3242 data at a recognized virology conference (e.g., CROI, IAS, HIV Glasgow) between 2026-01-01 and 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, conference presentation abstracts/programs, management commentary on earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“this is expected to support a regulatory filing with potential for approval in 2028.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Regulatory approval status of the product/indication referenced by the filing
Regulatory approval (e.g., FDA/EMA) granted on or before 2028-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release or FDA/EMA approval database; company-disclosed regulatory filings (10-K/10-Q or press releases)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“the benefits of this access will pull through in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Yeztugo (lenacapavir for PrEP) quarterly/annual revenue growth trajectory in 2026
2026 quarterly Yeztugo revenue shows sequential growth over Q3/Q4 2025 levels, with full-year 2026 revenue substantially exceeding annualized 2025 run rate SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead quarterly earnings releases and 10-K/10-Q product revenue disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We have submitted sBLAs with the FDA and are targeting a potential commercial launch in 2026 that could extend Trodelvy's leadership in breast cancer.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Commercial launch status of Trodelvy for first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer in the U.S. (FDA approval and market availability)
FDA approval of the sBLA granted and commercial launch (product available/sold) occurs on or before 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA approval announcements, and quarterly earnings/10-K disclosures on Trodelvy label expansion and launch statusKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we expect to bring it to patients in the U.S. in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA approval status and U.S. commercial availability of bulevirtide (Hepcludex) for chronic hepatitis delta virus
Bulevirtide receives FDA approval and is launched/available to U.S. patients by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITFDA approval announcements, company press releases, and 10-K/quarterly earnings commentary on Hepcludex/bulevirtide U.S. launchKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we continue to target a product launch in early 2027.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Product launch (regulatory approval/commercial availability) of the single-tablet regimen of bictegravir and lenacapavir
Company announces FDA approval and/or commercial launch of the bictegravir/lenacapavir single-tablet regimen between 2027-01-01 and 2027-03-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / FDA approval announcement / quarterly earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2027-03-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“as the market grows and continues to grow and the awareness of Yeztugo increases, we also believe that the naive patient population will also grow with time as well.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Share of Yeztugo (lenacapavir for PrEP) new patient starts attributable to treatment-naive patients (vs. switches), as disclosed by Gilead
Naive-patient share of new Yeztugo starts higher than the share reported in Q3 2025 (the period referenced in this call) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGilead quarterly earnings call/investor commentary on Yeztugo patient mixKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
2025 Q3 (26)26 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“What I would suggest, though, is that Yeztugo gets traction and ramps up over the next coming quarters, you will probably see a little bit of a decline because the intent with Yeztugo is obviously to look at the total PrEP market and make sure that we're differentiating there across all the orals as well as other long-acting.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to complete the 2020 program over the next several quarters, and our Board recently approved a new $6 billion program to support continued share repurchases.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Completion of the 2020 share repurchase program (cumulative repurchases under that authorization reaching its total approved amount)
2020 program reported as fully utilized/completed in company disclosures SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-Q/10-K share repurchase disclosures or earnings call commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-07
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we expect our full year diluted EPS to be between $7.95 and $8.25, an increase of $0.20 at the midpoint compared to our prior guidance.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our effective tax rate to be approximately 19%, consistent with our prior guidance.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Rounding out the P&L, we expect operating income to be between $13 billion and $13.4 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“SG&A expenses are now expected to decline by a mid- to high single-digit percentage compared to 2024, updated to reflect higher HIV sales and marketing expenses and other corporate expenses associated with higher 2025 base business expectations.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we expect acquired IPR&D to be approximately $400 million, reflecting $315 million of expenses so far this year, in addition to known commitments and expected milestone payments.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect R&D expenses to be roughly flat on a dollar basis from 2024 which is consistent with our expectations at the start of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For other items in the P&L, on a non-GAAP basis, we now expect product gross margin to be approximately 86%, reflecting strong performance year-to-date and a more favorable product mix.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, total product sales is expected to be in the range of $28.3 billion to $28.7 billion with $0.5 billion increase in base business expectations, partially offset by lower COVID-19 related sales.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are reducing our full year 2025 expectations for Veklury by $400 million to approximately $1 billion, reflecting the current path of the COVID-19 pandemic, including lower hospitalization rates in the first half and the trends we've seen in the first month of the third quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect the impact of known tariffs to be manageable in 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Firstly, our assumptions for the impact of Medicare Part D redesign remain unchanged from the beginning of the year, and we expect approximately $1.1 billion of impact to our business.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“That said, and after a tremendously strong second quarter, we do expect sequential growth to be more moderate in the third quarter, reflecting continued growth in new patients, but a slower uptake among switch patients where cadence of physician visits remains a gating factor.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“First, we've made no change to our assumption regarding the impact of Medicare Part D redesign, which at the start of the year, we expected to impact our HIV business by approximately $900 million in 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are well on our way to achieving our target of 75% access for Yeztugo within 6 months of launch and 90% within 12 months.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In cell therapy, we expect to provide a pivotal update from the Phase II iMMagine-1 trial evaluating anito-cel for multiple myeloma later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, we are increasing our revenue and EPS guidance for the full year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I know we're not communicating our regulatory strategy other than to say that we are continuing to have conversations with the FDA and are looking forward to launching in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Commercial launch of anito-cel (regulatory approval and market availability)
Anito-cel launched (first commercial sale/availability following FDA approval) in the US at any point during calendar year 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls/10-Q/10-K disclosures, FDA approval announcementsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a reminder, we continue to target 2026 for a commercial launch.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Commercial launch status of anito-cel (regulatory approval and/or product launch announcement)
Anito-cel achieves regulatory approval and commercial launch (first sales/availability) by December 31, 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, 10-K/10-Q filings, or earnings call commentary from Gilead/ArcellxKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We will be filing for full approval based on the primary median PFS endpoint for both ASCENT-03 and ASCENT-04 with a potential FDA regulatory decision expected in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory decision (approval action) on Trodelvy full approval filings for ASCENT-03 and/or ASCENT-04
FDA issues a regulatory decision (approval or complete response letter) on at least one of the ASCENT-03/ASCENT-04 full approval filings by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / FDA.gov approval announcements / Gilead 10-K or 10-Q regulatory updatesKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to target commercial launch in 2030.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Commercial launch status of lenacapavir plus bNAbs twice-yearly injectable treatment
Regulatory approval and commercial availability achieved by end of 2030 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, FDA approval announcements, or 10-K/annual report disclosures on product launchesKNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are making progress on our other oral long-acting candidates and continue to expect our wholly owned once-weekly program to be moving forward with a delay of 3 to 6 quarters.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Timeline update on wholly owned once-weekly HIV program (WONDERS/GS-4182+GS-1720) advancing after clinical hold, as disclosed in company communications
Company discloses the program moving forward (e.g., clinical hold lifted, trial resumed/redesigned) within a delay window of 3 to 6 quarters from the original expected timeline (i.e., by roughly Q1 2027 at the latest) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, and pipeline updates (Gilead investor relations)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-07
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking at our weekly HIV treatment programs, we expect the Phase III update on the lenacapavir plus islatravir combination in 2026 with a view to potential launch in 2027.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Disclosure of Phase III (ARTISTRY) update for lenacapavir plus islatravir weekly HIV treatment combination
Company or clinicaltrials.gov reports Phase III data/update for lenacapavir + islatravir combination during calendar year 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release, quarterly earnings call commentary, or clinicaltrials.gov postingKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As you can see on Slide 17, with the approval of Yeztugo, we continue to target up to eight additional HIV product launches before the end of 2033, including five that would come to market by the end of 2030.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative number of new HIV product launches by Gilead since this statement
Number of new HIV product launches >= 5 by end of 2030, and >= 8 by end of 2033 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / 10-K disclosures on HIV product approvals and launches (Gilead investor communications)KNOWABLE AFTER2033-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“If successful, this could launch as early as 2028.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Regulatory approval/launch status of once-yearly injectable lenacapavir for HIV prevention (PURPOSE-365 program)
Product receives regulatory approval and is commercially launched on or before December 31, 2028 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, 10-K/10-Q filings, and quarterly earnings call commentary on HIV pipeline/product launchesKNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
2025 Q2 (33)33 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“But I just wanna be clear that to date, we haven't heard or seen anything that would cause us to alter our plans or expectations for the LEN for PrEP launch or adversely affect our HIV business.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In terms of volume, given the number of safety nets that I was just referring to earlier, there's so many programs that are available today that exist for HIV. We're not expecting to see a material uptick from the Part D reform.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And coverage right now is in line with our expectations, so we're at about just over 80% or so coverage with commercial plans, and we think that's going to keep growing probably within the next couple of months. To just well above 90.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“USPSTF would be nice to have, to be honest with you, but in the first six to twelve months, we're assuming that that's not gonna be in play, and we our plans are really based on our value proposition of lenacapavir.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect about that $1.1 billion that we shared for total impact of which about $900 million or so is specific to HIV.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we've not experienced any impact to our LEN for PrEP filing or any of our clinical trials actually to date. Right? And we continue to expect the lenacapavir decision by June 19.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We think about 75% or so access within the first six months. To a peak covered lives at about 90%. At a twelve-month mark,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“diluted EPS to be between $7.70 to $8.10 for the full year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“effective tax rate to be approximately 19%,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“operating income to be between $12.7 to $13.2 billion,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“SG&A expenses to decline by a high single-digit percentage compared to 2024,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“acquired IPR&D to be approximately $400 million, including the $253 million of expenses in the first quarter, as well as known commitments and expected milestone payments.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“R&D expenses to be roughly flat from 2024,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect product gross margin to range between 85% to 86%,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we do not expect to update our Veclury guidance until our third-quarter earnings call.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Veclury sales of approximately $1.4 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“2025 HIV sales to be approximately flat compared to 2024, with demand-driven growth offset by the impact of the Medicare Part D redesign.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“product sales excluding Veclury of approximately $26.8 to $27.2 billion,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For 2025, therefore, we continue to expect total product sales of approximately $28.2 to $28.6 billion,”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“these could increase some of our indirect costs, but are expected to be manageable in 2025, in part due to potentially lighter FX headwinds than previously expected.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we remain on track to provide an update of the data from our phase two one-dose one trial, our wholly owned once-weekly INSTI containing oral treatment for HIV, at an upcoming medical meeting.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For anetocel, our pivotal IMagine I study in fourth-line plus relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma is ongoing. And we look forward to providing an update in 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we continue to expect a regulatory decision by June 19.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Notwithstanding the ongoing competitive headwinds, that we continue to expect to extend through 2025, we remain very excited about the overall opportunity and future for cell therapy.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Despite the variability of the path of the pandemic, we expect Veclury's important role to continue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We have just launched in Germany a few weeks ago, and we expect to expand into other major European markets in the coming months.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In the meantime, we continue to expect robust demand-led volume growth for the full year. Though, as shared back in February, this will be obscured this year due to Part D headwinds resulting in flat reported HIV sales overall for 2025, with a return to growth in 2026.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect an update later this quarter on the phase three ASCENT-03 study evaluating Trodelvy monotherapy in first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer patients who are not candidates for PD-1 inhibitors.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We remain on track for the June 19 PDUFA date with the potential launch in the US immediately following.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I think you're gonna see a bit of an acceleration as you think about the lenacapavir launch around the corner.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
US PrEP market year-on-year growth rate (total patients on PrEP)
year-on-year growth rate > 16% (the stated current run-rate) in a subsequent quarter SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed PrEP market commentary (Gilead quarterly earnings call / investor presentation)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In addition to the ongoing launch of Libdelzi, and the potential launch of lenacapavir for PrEP in 2025, we are also looking forward to the potential launch of anetocel in multiple myeloma and Trodelvy in first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Regulatory approval/launch status of anetocel in multiple myeloma and Trodelvy in first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer
At least one of anetocel (multiple myeloma) or Trodelvy (first-line mTNBC) receives regulatory approval and is commercially launched in the US by end of 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases and FDA approval announcements; Gilead quarterly earnings calls/10-K disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we plan to provide an update on our registrational phase two IMagineOne trial later this year and remain on track to potentially launch anetocel in late-line relapsed refractory multiple myeloma in 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Company-disclosed update on IMagineOne phase two trial (anetocel) and status of anetocel launch for late-line relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma
Company issues a trial update on IMagineOne by end of 2025, AND anetocel is launched (commercially available following approval) for late-line relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma by 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, quarterly earnings calls, and 10-K/10-Q filings (Gilead/Kite pipeline disclosures)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a reminder, this is one of up to nine potential HIV products we are targeting before the end of 2033, building on Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s decades of leadership in HIV innovation.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative number of new HIV product approvals/launches by Gilead
Count of distinct HIV products launched or approved reaches up to 9 by end of 2033 (directional: >=1 additional approvals beyond lenacapavir for PrEP tracked cumulatively toward the 9 target) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases and pipeline disclosures (10-K/10-Q HIV pipeline tables, investor presentations)KNOWABLE AFTER2033-12-31
2025 Q1 (8)8 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“So we think Livdelzi's trajectory is incredibly strong and we believe 2025 is going to be where it really comes through from a momentum standpoint.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“For 2025, we announced today a 2.6% increase in our quarterly cash dividend to $0.79 per share, and we remain committed to growing our dividend over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Finally, we will continue to utilize share repurchases to offset equity dilution as well as additional repurchases on an opportunistic basis.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In 2025, while volume and demand growth will continue, we can expect to see a temporary masking of the trend with the anticipated impact of Medicare Part D reform on revenue growth.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.costsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“So the last thing I'll say to your question is that we have said we are targeting -- holding our expenses relatively flat for the foreseeable future and letting the leverage in our model drop to the bottom line and that has not changed.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total operating expenses (R&D + SG&A) as reported, fiscal year 2025 vs fiscal year 2024
FY2025 total operating expenses within +/-3% of FY2024 reported total operating expenses SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / Q4 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We have no major loss of exclusivity until late 2033, and we have significant potential across the entire portfolio.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Occurrence of a major patent expiration/loss of exclusivity event for a Gilead product
No major Gilead product loses exclusivity before late 2033 (e.g., no major LOE reported through 2033) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-K/10-Q disclosures on patent expirations and loss of exclusivity risk factorsKNOWABLE AFTER2033-12-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“So we do think that is something that will carry through for the launch of lenacapavir and could actually accelerate it as well.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“These trials could provide Trodelvy the opportunity to advance into the first line setting for metastatic triple negative breast cancer as early as 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FDA regulatory approval status of Trodelvy for first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer
FDA approves Trodelvy label expansion to first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer setting on or before 2026-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / FDA.gov drug approval database / Gilead 10-K or 10-Q regulatory updatesKNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
2024 Q4 (25)25 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“we are on track to file before the end of this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Based on our financial results year-to-date, we are increasing our 2024 guidance across almost every metric, including revenue and non-GAAP gross margin, operating income, and EPS.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On a GAAP basis, EPS is expected to be $0.05 to $0.25.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Altogether, we've raised our earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.25 and $4.45.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Full-year tax is expected to be approximately 27%, slightly lower than our prior 30% guidance, and reflecting the higher operating income for the full year as well as the negative impact from the one-time charge for the acquisition of CymaBay in the first quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Reflecting these updates, we now expect operating income in the range of $8 billion to $8.3 billion, up from $7.2 billion to $7.6 billion previously.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect R&D expense to decline a low single-digit percentage as compared to our prior outlook of low-to-mid single-digit growth, reflecting the discontinuation of certain programs and careful expense management.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Turning to the rest of the P&L on a non-GAAP basis, we expect product gross margin to be approximately 86%, narrowed from our prior 85% to 86% range, and reflecting year-to-date results as well as our expectations for a more favorable product mix in the fourth quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We therefore expect full-year 2024 total product sales in the range of $27.8 billion to $28.1 billion, an increase of $650 million at the midpoint compared to the prior range.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect full-year Veklury revenue to be approximately $1.8 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This guidance implies that fourth-quarter HIV could be roughly flat, which we believe is prudent given the strength in the third quarter and the normal variability we can see with HIV pricing.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The increased revenue guidance also reflects higher full-year expectations for HIV, now expected to grow approximately 5% from 2023, compared to our prior expectations of 4%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are increasing our guidance for product sales, excluding Veklury, by $150 million at the midpoint from the prior range to a new range of $26 billion to $26.3 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“While there will always be some quarterly variability, recent results demonstrate a consistent trend of our operating margin firmly in the 40% plus range, and we remain focused on being an industry leader in terms of operating margin.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Recently, we completed enrollment of the Phase 3, ARTISTRY-1 trial within nine months of FPI and are on track to complete enrollment in ARTISTRY-2 by early 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to target regulatory submission before the end of the year in the U.S., while at the same time preparing for filings with other global regulatory authorities.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, we're raising our full-year guidance for Veklury to approximately $1.8 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to start building momentum as we enter 2025, when we look to a more meaningful sales contribution.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“To that end, for the fourth quarter in particular, we expect HIV sales to be roughly flat, quarter-over-quarter, with continued demand growth and modest seasonal inventory builds, offset by the third quarter pricing dynamics discussed earlier that are not expected to repeat.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With that outperformance in mind, we're increasing our full-year HIV growth expectation to 5%”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Demand in the third quarter was ahead of our internal expectations, and we expect to see growing momentum into 2025 and beyond.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.competitionCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Gilead is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the HIV treatment market with four new regimens by the end of 2030.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of new HIV treatment regimens launched by Gilead
Gilead has launched >= 4 new HIV treatment regimens between 2024-11-06 and 2030-12-31 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases / FDA approval announcements / 10-K pipeline and product disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So could it be beyond the 600,000? Absolutely, 600,000. And we do think that most of that is going to be driven by a new option on the market, and that is Lenacapivir for prevention.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total number of HIV PrEP (pre-exposure prophylaxis) consumers/users in the market
PrEP market size exceeds 600,000 consumers SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed PrEP market commentary (Gilead investor presentations/earnings calls) or third-party PrEP utilization data (e.g., AIDSVu, CDC)KNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we do believe that it's at least 600,000 by 2030.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Number of people on PrEP (HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis) in the U.S. market
>= 600,000 people on PrEP by end of 2030 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures / management commentary (earnings calls, HIV franchise investor events) or third-party PrEP market tracking cited by GileadKNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“With that in mind, it is possible we will not reach data cutoff this year, and we look forward to updating you in due course.”
Test pending
2024 Q3 (27)27 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“The remaining transition tax payment of $1.3 billion is scheduled for April of 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“we are increasing our operating income guidance to $7.2 billion to $7.6 billion, and increasing our non-GAAP diluted EPS guidance to $3.60 to $3.90.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Additionally, we are on-track to initiate our Phase 3 ISLEND-1 and ISLEND-2 trials evaluating once-weekly lenacapavir in combination with Merck's islatravir.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Looking to the full year, we remain on-track to deliver HIV sales growth of approximately 4%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So, I think that sets us up nicely and ASCENT-03 as we update the status of that trial as the end of the year rolls around I think will be part of the continuation of that story and our expectation for trodelvy's success in triple negative breast cancer.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But despite all this, as you heard earlier from both Dan and Johanna, we are facing, it's a dynamic market. We're remaining cautious for the second half of this year as we continue to see some competitive headwinds both in cost competition.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For acquired IPR&D, we now expect full-year expenses of $4.7 billion, up from $4.4 billion last quarter to reflect a $320 million transaction with Janssen to buy out the global seladelpar royalty.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For SG&A, there is no change to our prior guidance pointing to a mid-single digit decline compared to 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For R&D, we now expect total R&D expense to increase by a low to mid-single-digit percentage compared to 2023, reflecting lower than previously expected R&D expenses in 2024, despite absorbing the late-stage seladelpar program.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Moving to the non-GAAP guidance, there is no change to our non-GAAP gross margin range of 85% to 86%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“First, we continue to expect the normal, quarter-to-quarter variability in our HIV business that we have always experienced relative to average realized price associated with channel mix.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we continue to expect total product sales in the range of $27.1 billion to $27.5 billion, and total product sales, excluding Veklury, in the range of $25.8 billion to $26.2 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For the rest of 2024, we continue to expect to deliver strong volume growth across all therapeutic areas, and assuming approval seladelpar as an incremental contributor to revenue growth.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we anticipate the turnaround time for anito-cel to be on par with Kite's commercially available products.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As you know, we expect an FDA regulatory decision shortly, with a decision from European regulators to follow in early 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking at our longer-duration treatments, we expect to provide Phase 1 updates from our every 3- month injectable programs and to initiate the Phase 1 studies for our potentially every 6-month integrase inhibitors in the second half of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This regimen is expected to be the first once-weekly oral treatment option.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Initiation of the Phase 2 trial evaluating the combination of these agents as a once-weekly oral regimen is expected later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, we expect to provide an update in late 2024 or early 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“and expect impact from these initiatives towards the end of 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are preparing for potential launch as early as late 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we are preparing to support the Phase 3 iMMagine-3 trial from the site starting later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect an update for PURPOSE 2 late this year or early next year, with a commercial launch as early as late 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Given the results for the first half of the year, we are raising our non-GAAP operating income and EPS guidance for the full year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“one-third of sales remains our target with the portfolio that we have today and what we believe is achievable without additional BD.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Oncology product sales as a percentage of total product sales, fiscal year
Oncology sales >= 33% of total product sales SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial disclosures (10-K/annual report revenue by therapeutic area)KNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“finally, there is a possibility of incremental FX headwinds in the second half of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“there is some uncertainty associated with Trodelvy bladder revenue following TROPiCS-04.”
Test pending
2024 Q2 (21)21 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Yes. No, we feel very confident that we're going to return to growth in the second half of the year, as we stated.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we do expect broadly for our operating margin to improve over time as you see the continued top line growth and the disciplined expense management.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Having said that, overall, we expect our total business to grow despite the impact of the Part D we designed in 2025 with the top line, building momentum in 2020 -- beyond 2025, right, '26 and beyond.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“While we will continue to be flexible and opportunistic, it is unlikely that Gilead will be engaging in any sizeable M&A transactions in the near-term.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On a dollar basis, SG&A is expected to be modestly higher than our previous SG&A expectations as we incorporate CymaBay expenses.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect SG&A expenses to decline a mid-single digit percentage relative to 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“There is no change to our gross margin guidance where we continue to expect product gross margin in the range of 85% to 86%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As discussed last quarter, we do not expect to update our Veklury guidance until our third quarter earnings call, absent a very clear trend in COVID-19 infections.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Additionally, there is no change to our Veklury guidance of approximately $1.3 billion for the full year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect total product sales in the range of $27.1 to $27.5 billion; and we continue to expect total product sales, excluding Veklury, in the range of $25.8 to $26.2 billion, representing growth of 4% to 6% for our base business year-over-year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On anito-cel in later-line multiple myeloma, we expect to provide a Phase III iMMagine-1 trial update in the second half of this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In TNBC, where Trodelvy is the only ADC to have demonstrated statistically significant improvement in overall survival in the second-line setting, we expect to share an update on the Phase III ASCENT-03 trial in first-line PD-L1 negative patients later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on the timing of event accruals, we anticipate 2 more Phase III updates this year for Trodelvy.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We plan on providing updates from Cohorts C and D, evaluating Trodelvy plus pembro and chemotherapy in PD-L1 all-comers at a medical congress in the second half of this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Moving to PrEP, we plan to share an update from our Phase III PURPOSE-1 trial in the second half of this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we intend to share data from the Phase III study in the second half of this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to complete enrollment in the first half of 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to start seeing the Impact from this initiative towards the end of 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect approximately 4% HIV sales growth for 2024.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And as we look ahead, while the transaction will be dilutive to our EPS this year, we expect the deal to be breakeven to earnings in 2025, and significantly accretive in 2026 onwards.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
CymaBay/seladelpar transaction's impact on Gilead's non-GAAP EPS, as disclosed by management
2025 impact characterized as approximately breakeven (neither meaningfully accretive nor dilutive) to EPS SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany management commentary (10-K/earnings call) on CymaBay deal EPS impact, FY2025KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“This is a solid setup as we look to potentially launch lenacapavir as early as late next year as the first and only twice yearly subcutaneous prevention option.”
Test pending
2024 Q1 (10)10 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“So maybe the last thing I'd say is that when we look at the business, this is a business that we have line of sight to biologics margins and profitability.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“For 2024, we announced today a 2.7% increase in our quarterly cash dividend to $0.77 per share and we remain committed to growing our dividend over time, in-line with earnings growth.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Importantly, HIV volumes were in line with our expectations and we are confident in our full-year revenue growth expectations for HIV in 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“And I can share that we are off to a strong start in terms of HIV demand, which gives us confidence in our full year expectations for 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Finally, we will continue to utilize share repurchases to offset equity dilution, as well as additional repurchases on an opportunistic basis.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Along with PURPOSE-2, expected in late 2024 or early 2025, PURPOSE-1 forms the basis of our potential regulatory filing.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For now, given these findings, we currently do not plan changes to our Phase 3 EVOKE-03 study that is enrolling as expected.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“While we continue to expect the rate of HCV new starts to trend downwards over time, given the curative nature of our medicines, demand growth in both HDV and HBV is largely offsetting that headwind.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Starting with Oncology, we expect at least 12 further updates by the end of 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We continue to have additional trials that we'll read out this year in Phase 3, specifically the [TROPHY-U-04] (ph) study that we'll be looking at the bladder cancer confirmation study with hopefully an OS signal.”
Test pending
2023 Q4 (17)17 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Additionally, we remain on track to initiate our Phase 2 PALEKONA trial evaluating our potential first in class 222 inhibitor for ulcerative colitis later this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Lenacapavir will have a rich year of data on the treatment combination candidates, and we continue to target being first to market with our six month long acting PrEPs, starting with readouts next year on our Phase 3 trials and a commercial launch as early as late 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we'll follow the science, but all of the areas will receive additional capital over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And the final thing I'd say is you're already seeing the benefits of those investments and the commercial performance that we've talked about for the last two years. So we expect that you will continue to see those benefits in our commercial performance across the entire business, and you're going to see a moderation of expense growth.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So we plan to launch that out of our facilities at Kite and expect to have a strong launch again.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capacityCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And in fact, this year we should end with somewhere around 140 treatment centers in the U.S., and that will continue to grow in 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And I think you should expect that not only for the next quarter, but then as we go into 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“and you should expect to see kind of the same play from Q3 into Q4.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Given certain one- time tax benefits in 2023, we now expect our non-GAAP effective tax rate to be approximately 16% for the full year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be $10.5 billion to $10.8 billion as compared to $10.4 billion to $10.9 billion previously, driven by higher R&D expenses offset by higher product sales.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Excluding this, we continue to expect non-GAAP SG&A expense for 2023 to be down a low single digit percentage compared to 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect non-GAAP SG&A expenses to increase by a high single digit percentage compared to 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Reflecting the Tentarix collaboration closed in the third quarter as well as previously committed acquired IPR&D amounts and known milestone payments from existing collaborations, we now expect non-GAAP acquired IPR&D of approximately $1 billion in 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Excluding these items, our full year R&D expense is consistent with our prior guidance in the low double digits.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On R&D, reflecting the accelerated enrollments and magrolimab discontinuation expenses, our full year non-GAAP R&D expense is now expected to grow approximately 15% in 2023 compared to 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Moving to the rest of the P&L, we continue to expect non-GAAP gross margin to be approximately 86%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“we continue to expect a moderation of expense growth in 2024 and beyond.”
Test pending