MAAT INDEX
Rankings
74.8 /100

GS (GS)

Other · 72 verified grades · SandbagsBIASMedian signed deviation across numeric graded claims. Sandbags: outcomes land favorable to guidance. Overpromises: the opposite. Needs at least 6 numeric claims.

Verify independently: SEC filings ↗

What management is on the hook for (249)

hedged · expects · high conviction
2026 Q3 (6)6 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our expectation, Ebrahim, is certainly that's going to continue.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Client activity levels / trading and investment banking activity, as characterized in GS quarterly earnings commentary
Management reports continued high/active client engagement in Q3 2026 (qualitative confirmation of sustained elevated activity, not a decline) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs Q3 2026 earnings call management commentary and press release

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-31
made Jul 14, 2026 · for Q3 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we continue to expect an effective tax rate of approximately 20%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year effective tax rate
Full-year effective tax rate between 19.0% and 21.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / earnings release (full-year effective tax rate disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jul 14, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect quarterly revenues for the remainder of the year to be broadly consistent with the second quarter.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total quarterly net revenues, firmwide
Q3 2026 and Q4 2026 net revenues each within approximately 10% of Q2 2026 net revenues ($20.3 billion) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / income statement

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-20
made Jul 14, 2026 · for H2 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given the strength we've seen year to date, we now expect full-year fundraising to exceed $125 billion.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year fundraising (asset & wealth management gross fundraising), fiscal year
Full-year fundraising > $125 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / 10-K disclosure on AWM fundraising (Q4 2026 call or annual report)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jul 14, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these fees to increase materially for the remainder of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Advisory/underwriting or related fee revenue growth (as referenced) for remainder of fiscal year 2026, year-over-year
Reported fee revenue growth rate for H2 2026 (Q3+Q4) year-over-year > 10% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs quarterly earnings releases/10-Q for Q3 and Q4 2026, Global Banking & Markets segment detail

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jul 14, 2026 · for H2 FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given our progress and what we see in our pipelines, we expect this flywheel of activity to continue.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Banking & Markets net revenues (advisory, underwriting, and total banking/markets activity), quarterly
Q3 2026 and Q4 2026 Global Banking & Markets segment revenue each exceeds the year-ago quarter (positive year-over-year growth) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs quarterly earnings release / 10-Q segment disclosures

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jul 14, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
2026 Q2 (4)4 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But I think this continues with any sort of medium-term or longer-term view to be a very, very attractive platform for us, and we are very confident that we have significant runway to further scale our business toward our $300 billion target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total AUM in the credit/lending platform referenced (private credit / leveraged lending scaled business)
Reported platform AUM >= $300 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed AUM figures (quarterly earnings call / investor presentation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
made Apr 13, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2030
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
There is an impact from the more competitive environment for deposit raising. And we do expect that will persist as a headwind for much of 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
AWM deposit balances / deposit-raising growth trend in Asset & Wealth Management segment
Deposit balance growth in AWM remains subdued or flat (a headwind) through most of 2026 quarters, as described in management commentary SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls (AWM segment deposit/private banking and lending discussion) through 2026

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 13, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we expect a tax rate of approximately 20%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year effective tax rate, fiscal year 2026
Full-year effective tax rate between 19.0% and 21.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / full-year earnings release (10-K or Q4 earnings call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-25
made Apr 13, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Gross third-party alternatives fundraising was $26 billion in the quarter, putting us on track towards our annual fundraising expectations.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gross third-party alternatives fundraising, full fiscal year
Annual gross third-party alternatives fundraising on pace consistent with quarterly run-rate implied by $26 billion in Q1 (i.e., full-year total reasonably close to or exceeding ~$100 billion annualized pace) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings presentation / management commentary on alternatives fundraising (Q4 2026 call or 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Apr 13, 2026 · for FY2026
2026 Q1 (22)22 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So I think we're very comfortable that we are operating as a mid-teens firm. We think that we can do things that over time will drive upside to that, but we're not going to set targets until we're very comfortable that we further elevated the firm.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Return on equity (ROE) / return on tangible equity (ROTE), full-year reported
Full-year ROE/ROTE falls within mid-teens range (approximately 14%-16%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany annual/quarterly financial supplement and earnings releases (10-K/10-Q, Q4 call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2028
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We were very pointed in our comments on the last slide in that presentation that we're reaffirming our mid-teens targets.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Goldman Sachs return on equity (ROE) / return on tangible equity (ROTE), full fiscal year
Annual ROE/ROTE >= 15% (mid-teens or higher) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed ROE/ROTE (10-K / Q4 earnings release and call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I think we now are operating with a global banking and markets franchise that should run mid-teens through the cycle.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets segment ROE (or segment return metric as disclosed), through-cycle average
Multi-year average segment return approximately 13%-17% (mid-teens) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment financials (10-K / quarterly earnings supplement, Global Banking & Markets segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2028
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And in the near term, we believe that our catalysts position us to exceed our return target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Return on tangible common equity (ROTE), quarterly and/or annualized
Reported ROTE exceeds the firm's through-the-cycle ROTE target disclosed on page 15 of the presentation SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / 10-Q and investor presentation (through-the-cycle target disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
On page 15, we outline our firm-wide through-the-cycle targets. Given the successful execution against our strategic priorities, we are confident that we will continue to deliver on these.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Return on average tangible common equity (ROTE), firm-wide, reported quarterly/annually
Annual ROTE exceeds Goldman Sachs' disclosed through-the-cycle ROTE target range (as stated on page 15 of the referenced presentation) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and 10-K/annual report (firm-wide through-the-cycle target disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I do think if you look forward, the mix of the firm will continue because the growth in asset wealth management is faster. It will continue to shift.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management segment net revenues as a share of firmwide net revenues, annual
AWM revenue mix percentage in FY2027/FY2028 higher than the FY2025 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-K segment disclosures / annual earnings presentation

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2028
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're gonna continue to invest in the growth of asset wealth management, and we would like the mix to continue to evolve.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management segment net revenues as a percentage of total firm net revenues, annual
AWM share of total firm net revenues higher than the fiscal 2025 reported figure (~25%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment revenue breakdown (10-K / annual earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2028
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our focus is continuing to grow lending activities and the lending penetration.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total lending balances (loans) in Private Bank/Wealth channel, as disclosed by Goldman Sachs
Year-end 2026 lending balances higher than year-end 2025 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment data (10-K/Q4 earnings supplement or call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We'll focus on growing our overall level of deposit activity across the segment. Yeah. But we do expect there could be some NIM compression given our expectations on the rate cycle.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Net interest margin (NIM) in Platform Solutions/wealth deposit segment, year-over-year
Segment NIM lower in FY2026 vs FY2025 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-K/quarterly segment disclosures or earnings call commentary on segment NIM

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Users should expect that this service will be seamless. It'll be uninterrupted. And they'll continue to earn the same competitive rate they've been getting on their savings.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Continuity of the savings service (uninterrupted availability) and the interest rate offered on the savings product
No reported service outage/interruption affecting users, and disclosed savings rate remains at or within a competitive range comparable to pre-transition rate (not materially reduced) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany/product announcements, customer communications, and disclosed savings account rate on company website or press releases

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our expectation is we'll have a small, you know, pretax loss for the year in the segment, but nothing that's material for Goldman Sachs.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Segment pretax income/loss for the year (the specific segment referenced, e.g. Platform Solutions or similar disclosed segment)
Segment reports a pretax loss for the fiscal year, and that loss is small relative to Goldman Sachs' total firmwide pretax income (not described by management as material) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-K segment disclosures and Q4/full-year earnings release and call commentary

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For 2026, we expect a tax rate of approximately 20%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year effective tax rate, 2026
Effective tax rate between 19.0% and 21.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / effective tax rate disclosure (10-K or Q4 2026 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to make further progress in 2026 towards our annual target of $1 billion.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year incentive fees (asset & wealth management segment)
2026 full-year incentive fees higher than $489 million (progress toward $1 billion annual target) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings supplement / 10-K disclosure of incentive fees, asset & wealth management segment

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And while we are mindful of our current stock price, we will remain dynamic in executing repurchases.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Quarterly share repurchases (dollar amount), Goldman Sachs
Reported buyback activity in at least one quarter through 2026 shows meaningful variation (>=20% change quarter-over-quarter) indicating opportunistic/dynamic pacing rather than flat, evenly-spread repurchases SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed share repurchase activity (10-Q/10-K capital actions section or quarterly earnings call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This further supports our existing target of generating $1 billion in incentive fees annually.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual incentive fees generated by the alternatives platform
Annual incentive fees >= $1 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / 10-K disclosure on incentive fees (asset & wealth management segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect fee-paying alternative assets under supervision to reach $750 billion by 2030.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Fee-paying alternative assets under supervision
>= $750 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures (10-K / investor day materials / earnings presentation on assets under supervision)

KNOWABLE AFTER2030-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2030
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As these funds continue to be deployed, we expect double-digit growth in alternative management and other fees.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Alternatives management and other fees, annual (or annualized run-rate)
Year-over-year growth in alternatives management and other fees >= 10%, versus the $2.4 billion record base SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment/fee revenue in quarterly earnings supplement or 10-K (Asset & Wealth Management segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2030
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
To sharpen our focus on future growth in wealth management, we are introducing a new target of 5% long-term fee-based net inflows annually from the platform.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Long-term fee-based net inflows in Wealth Management, annual rate as a percentage of beginning long-term fee-based assets
Annual long-term fee-based net inflow rate >= 5% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures / investor day materials and earnings call commentary on Wealth Management fee-based net inflows

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for long-term
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we expect further growth from here.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Wealth management revenues growth (annual) and long-term fee-based net inflows pace
Long-term fee-based net inflows >= 5% annually and/or wealth management revenue growth positive year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment results (10-K/10-Q Asset & Wealth Management disclosures, earnings call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are increasing our pretax margin target to 30%, which will help drive high-teen returns in AWM over the medium term.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management (AWM) segment pretax margin
AWM pretax margin >= 30% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment financial data (10-K / 10-Q segment disclosures, quarterly earnings supplement)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-12-31
operating_margin · made Jan 15, 2026 · for medium term
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
On the public side, we are optimistic about the outlook for equity and debt underwriting, particularly amid the resurgence in the IPO market and higher acquisition finance-related activity.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Combined equity and debt underwriting net revenues, Global Banking & Markets segment
FY2026 equity and debt underwriting revenues higher than FY2025 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings release, GBM segment underwriting revenue disclosure

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-20
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we expect activity to accelerate in 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Investment banking activity (measured as investment banking revenues, company-reported, for fiscal year 2026)
FY2026 investment banking revenue higher than FY2025 investment banking revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases and 10-K (Investment Banking segment revenue)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jan 15, 2026 · for FY2026
2025 Q4 (14)14 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.regulationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I absolutely think that the regulatory direction of travel is improving our competitive position significantly on the timeline.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Finalization/announcement status of key bank capital regulatory reforms (SLR relief, CCAR transparency/recalibration, Basel III endgame revisions, G-SIB surcharge changes)
By 2026-06-30, at least SLR relief and CCAR transparency/recalibration have been formally proposed or finalized by US banking regulators (Fed/OCC/FDIC) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITFederal Reserve/OCC/FDIC public rule proposals or final rules; Goldman Sachs management commentary on subsequent earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-06-30
made Oct 14, 2025 · for H1 FY2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We commented on sponsors, sponsor activity is up kind of 40%. We see more of that in the pipeline and I think you're going to see an acceleration there.
Test pending
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This year we're making an effort to actually spread it out over the course of the year, so it won't be showing up only in the third quarter.
Test pending
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
It's harder to give you an exact timeline, but I'd say you're going to see real progress this fall and real progress during the first half of 2026.
Test pending
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we continue to expect a tax rate of approximately 22%.
Test pending
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're encouraged by the steady build in sponsor activity, which is now tracking 40% higher versus last year.
Test pending
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think most firms, including ourselves, would be comfortable running with buffers that are less than the buffers you've seen on average over the last few years.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Goldman Sachs' capital buffer above regulatory minimum (e.g., CET1 ratio held versus required minimum plus SCB/GSIB surcharge), as managed by the firm
Reported CET1 management buffer/cushion over required minimum is lower than the average buffer maintained over the prior five years (2020-2025) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures on CET1 ratio and capital management commentary (10-Q/10-K, earnings call remarks)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Oct 14, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
When you think about the firm, two big businesses, Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management, Banking & Markets, mid teens through the cycle and as we execute on Asset & Wealth Management and continue to enhance the returns, that should produce a significantly higher return than it currently produces.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management segment return on equity (ROE), as disclosed by Goldman Sachs
AWM segment ROE higher than its level in the quarter ended prior to 2025-10-14 (i.e., a reported increase in AWM ROE) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs quarterly earnings supplement / 10-Q segment disclosures

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Oct 14, 2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are highly confident in our ability to uplift the returns in Asset & Wealth Management over the next couple of years.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management segment return on equity (or comparable segment profitability/return metric as disclosed)
AWM segment ROE (or disclosed equivalent return metric) in 2027 higher than the level reported at or around 2025-10-14 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs quarterly earnings release / 10-K segment disclosures for Asset & Wealth Management

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · for FY2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We believe through the cycle that is a mid teens business.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Banking & Markets segment return on equity (or comparable return metric as disclosed), averaged through the cycle
Segment ROE averages 14%-17% over the multi-year period through 2027-10-14 (allowing individual years to deviate) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment disclosures (10-K/10-Q segment reporting, quarterly earnings presentations, or management commentary on returns by segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · due Oct 14, 2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The overall environment, deal making environment, monetization environment, proportion of sponsor activity in the world, all of that is trending in the right direction and that should help propel us closer to our medium-term targets of $1 billion of incentive fees per year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual incentive fees recognized (asset & wealth management segment)
Annualized incentive fees run-rate reaches or exceeds $1 billion per year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial supplement / 10-K disclosure of incentive fees by segment

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · for medium-term
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We still do have visibility and expectations that there's significant amounts of incentive fees that will pull through the P&L over the next several years.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual incentive fees recognized in Asset & Wealth Management P&L
Annual incentive fees trend upward year-over-year, approaching or reaching $1 billion per year run-rate by fiscal 2028 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed Asset & Wealth Management segment results (10-K / earnings supplement / quarterly call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are the number one M&A advisor globally, well positioned to capitalize on the upswing in investment banking activity, which we expect in the next 12 to 24 months.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global investment banking (M&A advisory) fees/revenue trend for the company, and its global M&A league table ranking
Company remains ranked #1 in global completed/announced M&A league tables AND company-reported investment banking revenue shows year-over-year growth in at least one quarter within the 12-24 month window SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases/10-Q investment banking revenue disclosures and third-party M&A league table rankings (e.g., Dealogic/LSEG/Refinitiv) cited in earnings calls or press

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · for next 12-24mo
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect growth in the high single digits on an annual basis over the medium term.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Combined revenue growth from management/other fees and private banking and lending (AWM segment), annual basis
Annual growth rate of 6%-9% (high single digits) for these combined revenues SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings supplement / 10-K disclosures on Asset & Wealth Management segment revenues

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-14
made Oct 14, 2025 · for medium term
2025 Q3 (14)14 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
What's going on from a regulatory and a macro perspective gives us a higher level of confidence in our ability to deliver on that.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
You know, we have been talking about our ability to drive the firm to mid-teens ROEs.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And it feels like we're entering a period of a higher level of activity, and we're seeing that in the accruals.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I do think given what's going on with the capital stack and the capital regime, and given the way we're executing on our strategy, which is allowing the firm to grow, there is room for us to continue to drive that dividend higher.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I don't think you should expect the 33% increase in dividend every year. We are committed to growing the dividend steadily.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are committed to aggressively reduce that portfolio and are working very, very hard at it.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jan 15, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And I think we're gonna get more over the course of the next twelve months.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But based on the changes that have been made, that on-balance-sheet co-investment capital will be more favorably treated, we would expect on an ongoing basis. And present less of a returns headwind to executing on our prioritized strategy.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But I think in terms of our operating philosophy, we'd still expect to run with approximately fifty to a hundred basis point buffer versus the new and applicable regulatory minimum.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We reduced it by about 10% in the quarter. Now stands at about $8 billion. And as market conditions continue to persist and they open up, that should provide us with incremental opportunities.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jan 15, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect fundraising to be in line with recent years.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given the more challenging harvesting environment, we expect results in the second half of 2025 to be more muted relative to our medium-term run rate expectations.
Test pending
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But we're very confident in that business's ability to deliver mid-teen returns through the cycle.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
The business segment's return metric (e.g., ROE) 'through the cycle', as disclosed in management commentary/investor materials
Reported multi-year average return in the mid-teens (13%-17%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings calls and investor day disclosures on segment returns (GS quarterly/annual filings and management commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-07-16
made Jul 16, 2025 · due Jul 16, 2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to make further progress on our target of $1 billion annual incentive fees over the medium term, with fees ramping up more materially in 2026 and 2027 as we continue to deploy and harvest funds.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual incentive fees, Asset & Wealth Management segment
Annual incentive fees for fiscal year 2027 >= $1 billion (with meaningful year-over-year increase already visible in FY2026 results) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases and 10-K, Asset & Wealth Management segment disclosures

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-01-31
made Jul 16, 2025 · for FY2027
2025 Q2 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I don't see any decline in any way, shape or form of clients' interest in dealing with Goldman Sachs in any part of the world, and I don't expect that to change on any significant basis.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are confident that we will have capital available to deploy when there are opportunities, but if we don't, we will continue to actively return it to shareholders.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We remain committed to paying our shareholders a sustainable and growing dividend.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But with the flagship launches, I expect that would improve over time.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're early in the quarter, and so far the business is performing very well and clients are very active.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capacityCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
It's reasonable to expect that some of those balances come down as asset prices reset and then you'll continue to support clients with their financing needs, but perhaps off of a lower base given the adjustment in market prices.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect fundraising to be in line with recent years, though this outlook could be impacted by market conditions.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect high single-digit annual growth in these lines over time.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect by the end of 2026, we'll have sold down the vast majority of exposures versus where we began, and we're committed to continuing to chip away at this.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Balance of the historical/legacy investment exposures (referenced portfolio) being sold down, as disclosed by the company
Reported remaining exposure balance at end of 2026 is less than 50% of the balance at the start of the sell-down period (i.e., majority sold down) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures / management commentary on quarterly earnings calls and 10-K/10-Q segment disclosures (Goldman Sachs historical principal investments update)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 14, 2025 · for by Dec 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to make progress on our target of $1 billion in annual incentive fees over the medium term, supported by an estimated $4.1 billion of unrecognized incentive fees as of year-end.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual incentive fees, Asset & Wealth Management segment
Annual incentive fees >= $1 billion for a fiscal year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial supplement / 10-K segment disclosure (Asset & Wealth Management incentive fees)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 14, 2025 · for medium term
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We are prepared if there's opportunity there to allocate meaningfully more. But if there's not opportunity there, it's probably going to come back.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
2025 Q1 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think at the moment, for our business and our business mix, particularly, around capital markets activity, etc. We have -- it feels like we have a tailwind going into 2025. And I do think that levels that have been below historical averages are going to a minimum normalize, maybe do better.
Test pending
made Jan 15, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're actually trying to do a number of things at the same time... First and foremost, we continue to see good opportunities to grow the firm, and we expect that as we continue to grow the firm, we should be able to continue to deliver incremental operating leverage.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Jan 15, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The most important thing that's happening is the card continues to improve and its performance and the card is driving towards profitability.
Test pending
made Jan 15, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we head into '25, we'll support clients, invest in sustainably grow our dividend and then to the extent we have excess capital return it to shareholders, all the while managing an appropriate buffer given some of the ongoing regulatory uncertainty.
Test pending
made Jan 15, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And lastly, we are driving platform solutions to pretax breakeven in 2025.
Test pending
made Jan 15, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
If you have a mid-teens Global Banking & Markets business, if we get Asset & Wealth Management, the mid-teens plus and we removed the drag from the platform that gets you to a mid-teens business. We have a high level of confidence in our ability to execute against that.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Firmwide return on equity (ROE), as reported by Goldman Sachs
Firmwide ROE >= 15% in a reported quarter or fiscal year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / 10-K (ROE disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-15
made Jan 15, 2025 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
In our journey to further improve the return profile of the firm, we are committed to driving this business towards mid-teens returns.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management segment return on equity (or comparable return metric as disclosed by the company)
AWM segment returns >= 15% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment financial results (10-K / quarterly earnings supplement for Asset & Wealth Management segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We re-underwrite our expectation that we will continue to grow AWM management and other fees, high-single digits over the next several years.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
AWM management and other fees, annual growth rate
Year-over-year growth in AWM management and other fees between 7% and 9% (high-single digits), sustained across the years measured through the deadline SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs quarterly/annual earnings reports, Asset & Wealth Management segment disclosures (10-K/10-Q)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-15
made Jan 15, 2025 · due Jan 15, 2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In addition, Platform Solutions, where we still have the Apple Card platform, this year, depending on how you look at it, and I'll give you rough numbers was a 75 basis point to 100 basis point drag on the firm's overall ROE, that will improve in 2025 and 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Platform Solutions drag on firm-wide ROE (basis points), as disclosed or calculable from segment pre-tax earnings/ROE commentary
Platform Solutions ROE drag in FY2025 and/or FY2026 less than 75 basis points (improved from the 75-100 bps drag cited for 2024) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-K/Q4 earnings materials and management commentary on segment results (Platform Solutions segment disclosures, ROE discussion on earnings calls)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-31
made Jan 15, 2025 · for FY25 vs FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We believe over the next couple of years, continued scaling and profitability in our alternative platform combined with our ability to continue to grow management fees and at the same time, also free up capital from legacy principal investments will allow us to bring the returns in Asset & Wealth Management to the mid-teens or higher.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Asset & Wealth Management segment ROE (return on equity), as reported by Goldman Sachs
AWM segment ROE >= 15% for a full fiscal year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs 10-K segment disclosures or quarterly earnings supplement (Asset & Wealth Management segment ROE)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-15
made Jan 15, 2025 · for FY2027/28
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we continue to expect to drive high-single digit annual growth in the coming years.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Combined Management and other fees plus Private banking and lending revenues, annual growth rate (AWM segment)
Annual growth rate between 7% and 9% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment financials (10-K / earnings supplement, Asset & Wealth Management segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 15, 2025 · for FY2029
2024 Q4 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As a guide, I'd point you to where we were in Q1 and Q2 of this year, something on the order of negative $50 million or $60 million per quarter, just to give you a sense for how that rolls forward from here until closing.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Sep 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
There has to be a conversion to the new issuer and then ultimately at closing of the platform transfer expectations we're targeting Q3 of 2025.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Sep 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we continued to expect the tax rate of approximately 22%.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Management and other fees increased 3% sequentially to a record $2.6 billion for the quarter and $7.6 billion for the year to-date well on the way to achieving our $10 billion annual target for 2024.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are seeing increased client demand for committed acquisition financing, which we expect to continue on the back of increasing M&A activity.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Jan 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our backlog rose again this quarter driven by advisory and we expect our leading investment banking franchises to benefit from the continued resurgence in activity.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Jan 15, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But we are confident over the course of the next few years that we can bring the returns of our Asset & Wealth Management franchise into the mid-teens.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Return on equity (or ROE-equivalent metric as reported) for the Asset & Wealth Management segment
Segment ROE reaches 14-16% (mid-teens) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment disclosures (10-K/10-Q segment reporting, quarterly earnings supplement or call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-15
made Oct 15, 2024 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect to reach our annual target of $1 billion over the medium term, supported by approximately $4 billion of unrecognized incentive fees as of the last quarter.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual incentive fees (Asset and Wealth Management segment), reported for full fiscal year
Full-year incentive fees >= $1 billion in any fiscal year up to and including FY2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases and supplemental financial disclosures (Asset and Wealth Management segment results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-15
made Oct 15, 2024 · for medium term
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We remain confident in our ability to grow these more durable revenues at a high single digit pace over the coming years, and alternatives fundraising remains strong.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Management, other fees and private banking and lending revenues (combined), annual growth rate
Year-over-year growth in the 6%-10% range (high single digit) sustained over the coming years through 2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases / 10-K disclosures, Asset & Wealth Management segment revenue detail

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-15
made Oct 15, 2024 · for FY2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But we have not had as much monetization in line with where the market has been generally. So as activity improves, we will also see more monetization and we expect that over the next several years, we will move towards those medium-term targets of a run rate, $1 billion worth of incentive fees.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual run-rate incentive fees (asset management/alternatives segment), as disclosed by the company
Reported run-rate incentive fees >= $1 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / 10-K disclosures on incentive fees (Asset & Wealth Management segment)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-10-15
made Oct 15, 2024 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
There's no reason why we're not going to get back to 10-year average is a tailwind, but you can look at the performance in banking and markets, and that's one building block in the foundation for mid-teens returns.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Return on equity (ROE) / return on tangible common equity (ROTE), full fiscal year
Full-year ROTE >= 15% (mid-teens or higher) for fiscal year 2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported ROE/ROTE in 10-K or quarterly earnings release/supplement

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-01-31
made Oct 15, 2024 · due Oct 15, 2027
2024 Q3 (18)18 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
One, for sure, we still have a little bit of drag from the enterprise platforms which we're working through. And so that will come out.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I'm just not smart enough to tell you exactly which quarter and how quickly, but we are going to go back to more normalized levels.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Although we manage our credit and our wholesale risk very, very diligently and consistently, it is more likely the case that we will have some degree of impairments given our size and scale and representation in the business.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our expectation is that we will continue to chip away at it across both the third and the fourth quarter of this year and then on into 2025. There's really no change on our commitment to sell down the vast majority of that by the end of next year.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2025
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So I think it is an important incremental contributor and should be, you know, should help the return profile of asset wealth management on the forward, couple that with the success that we're having with ongoing alts fundraising and that will help to feed future investments and funds, which in turn will generate some backlog of potential incentive fees above and beyond what's already in the unrealized disclosures.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think you've seen that the level of growth has slowed as we have sort of implemented several rounds of underwriting adjustments to the card originations and so our expectation is that on the forward you know the period-over-period growth should be more muted.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Oct 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.regulationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We'll continue to work with that capital flexibility and we'll also continue to engage around this process to ensure that over time we can drive the level of capital that we have to hold in our business mix down.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We think we can continue to grow the business. As we've said, high-single-digits, we can continue to improve the margin and ultimately bring up that AWM, ROE.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But we do have visibility, for example, as we continue to move out of some of our CIE exposures that we should be able to reduce some of the operating expenses associated with that.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we continue to grow our revenues, we should be able to deliver better and better efficiency.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But we believe, given the breadth of that franchise, that we should be able to continue to support the secular growth that our clients are witnessing, even as various rate environments should moderate.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jul 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are seeing a material increase in client demand for committed acquisition financing, which we expect to continue on the back of increasing M&A activity.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think, especially given the environment that we're in, that you're going to see over the next few quarters into 2025 kind of a reacceleration of that sponsor activity.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We will dynamically deploy capital to support our client franchise, while targeting a prudent buffer above our new requirement.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given our higher than expected SCB requirement, we plan to moderate buybacks versus the levels of the second quarter.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Sep 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full-year, we continue to expect the tax rate of approximately 22%.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given the stronger-than-anticipated fundraising in the first-half of the year, as well as our current pipeline, we expect to exceed $50 billion in alternatives fundraising this year.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
So based on what we see we think this is the appropriate place to accrue compensation, but we'll obviously monitor that closely as the balance of the year evolves.
Test pending
made Jul 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
2024 Q2 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We've said clearly that we believe that we can bring the platforms to breakeven or profitability in 2025 and we're executing against that.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Apr 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are focused on our strategic objectives and the execution focus areas for 2024 that we laid out in January, which will help our businesses produce mid-teens returns through the cycle.
Test pending
made Apr 15, 2024 · due Apr 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we -- in January, we said to you, we thought high single-digit growth with margin improvement and less capital density over time. We're executing on that.
Test pending
revenue · made Apr 15, 2024 · due Apr 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we expect that the underlying demand from our clients for financing across both FICC and Equities will remain high.
Test pending
made Apr 15, 2024 · due Apr 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We've said clearly, we think this is a mid-teens business through the cycle.
Test pending
made Apr 15, 2024 · due Apr 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given expectations for significant modifications to the Basel III proposed rule, we should have materially more flexibility on capital deployment.
Test pending
made Apr 15, 2024 · due Apr 15, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In line with our target, we expect to drive this business to pre-tax breakeven next year.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Apr 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to expect to raise between $40 billion and $50 billion in Alternatives across private equity and other strategies this year.
Test pending
made Apr 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given a more accommodative issuance backdrop as well as the potential for increased acquisition financing, alongside higher M&A activity, we expect solid levels of debt underwriting activity to continue this year.
Test pending
made Apr 15, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect reductions at roughly this pace for the rest of 2024 and expect to sell down the vast majority of our HPI portfolio by the end of 2026 consistent with our target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Historical Principal Investments (HPI) portfolio balance
HPI portfolio balance reduced to a small residual, roughly <= 20% of the Q1 2024 level of $14.8 billion (i.e., below ~$3 billion) by end of 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings supplement / 10-K disclosure of Alternative investments and HPI portfolio balance

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 15, 2024 · for by end 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
More broadly, we are leveraging our long-standing leadership position in private credit to capitalize on this secular growth opportunity and expect to grow our assets from roughly $130 billion to $300 billion over the next five years.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Private credit assets under supervision
Private credit AUS >= 300 billion (roughly, allow +/-5% around $300B) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed private credit / alternatives AUS figures (10-K/10-Q or earnings call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2029-04-15
made Apr 15, 2024 · for FY2031
2024 Q1 (21)21 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
There is an operating leverage story, which is one of the reasons why the margin in our Asset & Wealth Management business will continue to improve.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we've been very focused, as you've seen, on growing the dividend, and we plan to continue to do that.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think as we look into 2024, if you take a look at the disclosure round selected items, we don't expect those types of activities to repeat, and we'll be very, very -- remain very, very focused on maintaining our overall non-comp expense spend.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But you'll see us continue to raise money on a year-to-year basis. And we've got some big funds that we're going to be in the market with in 2024, and we'll continue to build the partnerships with that client base.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We think the drag will be significantly reduced in 2024.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
That doesn't mean there won't be anything, but the drag from platforms in 2024 will be materially reduced from what it's been.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think we've been pretty clear that we can drive the Asset & Wealth Management with a smaller balance sheet to mid-teens returns or better with a 25% margin. We're on that journey. We're making progress. I think we'll make very good progress over the next two years.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Jan 16, 2024 · due Jan 16, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And I would just say, as we move into 2024, we continue to focus on driving growth across the strategic channels and be thoughtful about our overall funding mix.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to work with Apple on a partnership with them to serve our customers and to continue to reduce the drag from the partnership, and we continue to make good progress. And the drag in 2024 will be materially less.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I don't expect it to continue at that pace. I think Denis' comments in the opening, we're seeing more activity in the first few weeks of the year.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Mar 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we are just, across debt and equity issuance, seeing more activity, more engagement.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
While we expect to remain nimble with respect to capital return, given the ongoing uncertainty around the Basel III proposed rule, our capital management philosophy is unchanged.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to focus on exiting this portfolio over the medium-term, though we don't expect portfolio reductions in 2024 to be at the same pace as in 2023.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Full year management and other fees were $9.5 billion, putting us on track to hit our $10 billion target in 2024, notwithstanding the sale of our PFM business.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our consumer ambitions have produced over $150 billion of deposits, which we expect to grow further from here.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We continue to believe through the cycle that that business is a mid-teens business.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Banking & Markets segment ROE (fully allocated, as disclosed by Goldman Sachs)
Full-year or through-cycle average segment ROE between 14% and 16.9% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment disclosures (10-K / quarterly earnings supplement)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We continue to orient the firm to drive towards our 60% target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Firmwide efficiency ratio (annual, as reported)
Full-year efficiency ratio <= 60% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / annual efficiency ratio disclosure (10-K or Q4 earnings materials)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
operating_margin · made Jan 16, 2024 · for long-term
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
to generate mid-teens returns through the cycle and strong total shareholder return.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Return on equity (ROE), full-year, as reported by Goldman Sachs
Full-year ROE between 14% and 16% (mid-teens) for at least one fiscal year through 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases (10-K/10-Q, ROE disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jan 16, 2024 · for through cycle
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
So I do think just at a high level, look, this is a high level. I think the environment in 2024 feels like it will be better for our mix of businesses than it was in 2023.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We are already seeing signs of potential resurgence in strategic activity, which is reflected in our backlog.
Test pending
made Jan 16, 2024 · due Jun 30, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We set a clear target over the next three years to get to zero. My guess is, we've got a good shot if we executed doing that quicker than that.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Balance sheet value of Goldman Sachs' historical principal investments (on-balance sheet legacy consolidated investments/merchant banking legacy portfolio) disclosed in company reporting
Reported balance declines to approximately zero (effectively wound down) at or before the three-year target date SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs quarterly earnings supplements / 10-K disclosures on historical principal investments run-off

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-16
made Jan 16, 2024 · for FY2029
2023 Q4 (20)20 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So we continue to be committed to the 60% efficiency ratio.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We're relatively confident that over the next 12 to 24 months, we'll make materially more progress in that.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And so that business, we have a high degree of confidence we'll operate at mid-teens or higher as we reposition it.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Apr 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We've talked about how we've reduced the historical principal businesses -- the historical principal investments by $9 billion this year. We set a target for $15 billion by next year, which we'll meet and then close to zero two years later.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Second, we have the Asset & Wealth Management business, which we believe is mid-teens or higher returns as we reduce the historical principal and make it a lower capital business.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Apr 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And we firmly believe that, that business is a mid-teens through the cycle business, the way we've materially grown our wallet shares, the way we've grown our financing footprint, which adds more balance to the business and with our market-leading franchises across that business.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Apr 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
In conclusion, our third quarter results reflect the ongoing narrowing of our strategic focus and the execution of our priorities, which will help drive our businesses to produce mid-teens returns through the cycle.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Apr 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
both of which are being positioned to deliver mid-teen returns through the cycle
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Apr 17, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But we also believe that as we continue to execute on our strategy, which narrows our focus and keeps us focused on our two core businesses of Global Banking & Markets and Asset & Wealth Management, that the efficiency ratio target that we're hiring -- that we're highlighting over the next few years is a reasonable target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Efficiency ratio (as reported by Goldman Sachs, operating expenses divided by net revenues)
Efficiency ratio in the low-60s percent range or better (<= 63%) within the stated multi-year horizon SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases / 10-K disclosures on efficiency ratio

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-17
operating_margin · made Oct 17, 2023 · for next few yrs
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
That's not our current expectation to repeat that.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Jan 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we move forward, our expectation is we'll continue to see elevated charge-offs.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Jan 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect the growth rate for that activity has been slowing and could slow further, and that has some positive impacts.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that there will be more incentive fees next year and beyond.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I don't think it's the right run rate. I think there's a combination of things that we expect over the next 12 months in terms of growth in revenue, composition of the clients as well as ongoing efficiency with respect to expenses. So I think we should be outperforming any type of run rate analysis.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our core focus is on reducing the drag over the course of the next 12 to 24 months and ensuring we operate them better.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our focus at the moment is on managing them better, getting rid of the drag and bringing them to profitability.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But we would expect significant opportunity for the growth in private credit as a part of the overall growth of our Asset & Wealth Management franchise.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We are growing our financing for our Global Banking & Markets franchise, and we expect to continue to grow that financing footprint, and we have a plan to continue to put more financial resources toward growing that financing footprint.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Oct 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given the uncertainty around the capital rules at this time, we expect to moderate fourth quarter share repurchases versus the third quarter.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We generated record management and other fees of $2.4 billion and are well on our way of achieving our $10 billion annual target to 2024.
Test pending
made Oct 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
2023 Q3 (11)11 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But I'd just highlight, when you go back to our core business, banking and markets, where we are a leader and I think given the mix of that business is performing well and what's not a perfect environment for that business, if that business, we really believe will deliver mid-teens through the cycle.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jul 19, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We're going to make progress, Mike, over the next couple of years, the next 2 to 3 years, we're going to make meaningful progress.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jul 19, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And as we continue to narrow the drag which we're making progress on in the platforms and I believe we'll narrow that to 0 and move past that, you've got these 2 businesses that are the firm that will be mid-teens through the cycle.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We believe that, that global markets and banking business can deliver mid-teens returns through the cycle and that obviously makes up more than 2/3 of the firm.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jul 19, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
I remain fully confident that we will deliver on our through-the-cycle targets of mid-teens returns on at significant value for shareholders.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jul 19, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
On the one hand, the net charge-off in consumer at 5 for the quarter, given the nature of our portfolio, its maturity, the overall operating environment we do expect that, that will continue to tick up over the next couple of quarters.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jan 19, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I'm not smart enough to tell you this quarter, next quarter but it will meaningfully improve and it's an important component to investment banking activity.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jul 19, 2024
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The asset management journey is going to take and we were very clear about this in February, it's going to take 2 to 3 more years for us to continue to make progress on the journey with respect to the continued reduction of the balance sheet and the revenue growth and the margin uplift.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Jul 19, 2026
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We do intend to grow that from here but we'll have to continue to work hard to continue to deliver the type of period-over-period growth but we do think there is still unaddressed market share and we continue to grow our balances to grow those revenues.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we -- if we ultimately reach our target, we expect the total AE reduction to be approximately $9 billion.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This increase will enable us to pay our shareholders a sustainable growing dividend and maintain a competitive yield, complemented by our previously announced $30 million share repurchase program where we intend to step up the level of buybacks going forward.
Test pending
made Jul 19, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
2023 Q2 (13)13 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We laid out at our Investor Day a plan to move over the coming few years to close to zero on the historical principal investments. We continue to have a target to get to $15 billion by the end of 2024. We're confident that we're going to execute on that target.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So even though we indicated it may slow later in this year, strong conviction that we'll be on pace for the total amount that we had indicated, just given what we see across our platform.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
There are a lot of positions. There's no question when there are market headwinds, some of that might go a little bit slower, but we're on pace with what we're trying to do and are committed to it.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We feel good about that progress and we're going to continue to move to reduce that to zero over time.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Apr 18, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
At Investor Day, we outlined that over the course of the year, we'd have run rate payroll expense of about $600 million and non-comp efficiency, about $400 million, and we see about half of that reflected in this year and the balance thereafter.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We indicated that the pace could slow over the balance of the year, but we do have about 20 offerings in market on diversified basis across asset classes where we're actively looking to raise funds.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I do think, given the size and the strength of Goldman Sachs, as a G-SIB and the way we're positioned, we're well positioned to compete with our clients for this business... So we are going to stay focused on that and we expect the business to grow over time.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Apr 18, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In terms of the overall trajectory for the segment, I think we have to step back. Our number one focus is driving towards profitability. We also mentioned that we look to continue to improve the efficiency ratio.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So I would just expect more of a base level of activity from what's been very, very muted.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I'd expect more in the second half of the year unless there was a really strong, a much more pronounced economic disruption because it just takes time for people to reset.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Though we find our stock price attractive at current levels in light of the current environment, we expect to moderate our repurchase levels in the second quarter relative to the first quarter.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Jun 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
While we expect to continue to focus on sustainably growing our dividend, we would note that repurchases in any given quarter will vary.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We remain cautiously optimistic on the outlook for the second half of the year and 2024, particularly for strategic M&A.
Test pending
made Apr 18, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
2023 Q1 (12)12 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We expect that the impact of these actions will become more fully reflected in our results over time, remain highly focused on operating efficiency and are committed to our 60% efficiency ratio target as the right place to run the firm.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think as we turn the page on a New Year, there is lots of opportunity for us to continue to drive our equity financing activities, and we have less constraints given that we have now achieved the 3% G-SIB target.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given the capital position that we sit with at the beginning of the year, we have capacity to fuel incremental financing activities in the FICC business.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So, we remain really focused on continuing to drive at the expense of these platforms in aggregate, and we expect to drive a lot of benefit at scale.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Jul 17, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The run rate expense associated with that group was approximately $475 million, and we expect the benefit in 2023 north of $200 million associated with that.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
That should free up a bunch of financial resources.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So let me help with some color as it relates to provisions, particularly in the fourth quarter... I think what you can see in the build of the provisions over the course of the fourth quarter, and we do expect some of this to continue over the course of 2023 is that we began the on-balance sheet originations in our point-of-sale lending platform, GreenSky. And so that obviously brings with it an upfront reserve build. So that’s something that initiated over the balance of this past year and will continue through the following year.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As it relates to our funding plan based on current expectations, we intend for 2023 issuance to run significantly below 2022 levels, though we will remain dynamic with respect to business needs and market opportunities.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We anticipate further pressure in 2023 given the vintage and nature of our portfolio.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these costs to also impact 2023 results, though at a lower level and decline materially over subsequent years.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
An environment with massive swing in asset prices continues, we will push it out. If that simply normalizes then the overall economic picture of the firm, in addition to the work we’re doing on the expense side that we’ve gotten focused on, will show a very, very different picture.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Jan 17, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We will likely allow the book to roll down naturally, although we are considering other alternatives.
Test pending
made Jan 17, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
2022 Q4 (13)13 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
But we remain committed to the target and are operating the firm to deliver on that target.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
one of the things that changes by aligning our direct-to-consumer business with our wealth business and people that are on our wealth platform is that the forward spend for customer acquisition is meaningfully lower.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And there's nothing about the environment or the way we're running the firm that doesn't lead us to believe that we can deliver on the targets that we would set over the course of the coming years, whether the return target or also the efficiency target that we've set.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So thanks for the question, Glenn. And look, at a high level, the targets remain in place. And our confidence in the targets and our ability to deliver those targets is high, and we're very focused on them.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Oct 18, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
we will tell you now that our fundamental strategy remains the same and we will be maintaining our principal financial targets.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We will not necessarily hit that target each and every year. This is probably one of those years.
Test pending
operating_margin · made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we do believe as the platform scales and you stop the pace of growth that we've had, so you're not front-loading reserves the same way, that what we're doing will deliver accretive returns to the firm.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Oct 18, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our position is, we remain focused on targeting the 3% GSIB, same message we gave at the end of the second quarter... We are on track to achieve the 3% GSIB level.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we're going to continue to think very, very disciplined about the way in which we deploy non-compensation expenditures striking the balance of driving towards our efficiency ratio but as well as making the investments that we think are appropriate to continue to strengthen and grow the firm.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we have a series of offerings that are coming over the course of the next 18 months.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Apr 18, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We remain highly focused on operating efficiency. As we've previously discussed, we are actively engaged in expense mitigation efforts, and we expect that these actions will become more fully reflected in our results over time.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We will continue to grow the deposit offering and the level of service that has generated over [$110 billion] of retail deposits.
Test pending
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our priority in Platform Solutions for the next few years is to continue to diversify Goldman Sachs revenue and funding while driving profitability.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Platform Solutions segment pre-tax earnings/profitability (segment pre-tax income or loss, as reported)
Platform Solutions segment reports positive pre-tax earnings on a full-year basis, improving from prior year's reported loss/level SourceWHERE TO FIND ITGoldman Sachs 10-K segment disclosures / quarterly earnings supplements (Platform Solutions segment results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Oct 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2026
2022 Q3 (15)15 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
And so we continue to move forward with the base case, where we are pretty confident that we can deliver the level of revenues with an expense base and a resource allocation that we can adjust and be nimble with to deliver those returns.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Now with respect to our targets, I want to be clear, we set medium-term targets for 2024, and we still plan on meeting those targets. And we don’t see anything in this environment that will prevent us from meeting those targets.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
That said, there is nothing about this environment that changes our strategy and we are committed to our medium-term targets.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Last quarter, we gave a line of sight of approximately $1 billion, which is what ended up happening. Right now, line of sight is less than $1 billion, just given the overall environment that’s what we see right now.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Oct 18, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
You are correct in anticipating that we’re also looking at non-compensation expenses and taking some actions there as well to slow the rate of growth and reduce certain components of our non-compensation expense.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I’d be very surprised if we don’t get back to some average level of capital markets activity sometime over the course of the next few quarters.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Jan 18, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So, we continue to feel good about the progress we’re making, and we expect this business to generate accretive returns to Goldman Sachs over time.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With that portfolio of product offerings, we’ve told you at our update that we expect greater than $4 billion of revenue in 2024.
Test pending
revenue · made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
While we will continue to deploy capital in our business where returns are accretive, we are actively evaluating share repurchases in light of our current stock price.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.laborCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Specifically, we have made the decision to slow hiring velocity and reduce certain professional fees going forward, though these actions will take some time to be reflected in our results.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Jul 18, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Given the challenging operating environment, we are closely reexamining all of our forward spending and investment plans to ensure the best use of our resources.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect our fee revenues to continue to grow as we progress towards our fundraising and management fee targets we laid out earlier this year.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In addition, with regard to our GSIB buffer, while we made a conscious decision to grow our balance sheet to support client activity over the last 3 years, it is our current plan to target a 3% GSIB surcharge.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
That said we will advance our efforts to improve the capital density of our businesses in order to reduce our capital requirements over time.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Jul 18, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
We feel good about the quality of our backlog based on our healthy levels of strategic dialogue that span from technology and innovation to defensive repositioning of client portfolios, but we may see some softening if the challenging market environment persists.
Test pending
made Jul 18, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
2022 Q2 (9)9 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
back in the February update, we put out a $4 billion revenue target. And I just want to tie that target to what Denis said when he said most of the investment was made.
Test pending
revenue · made Apr 14, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
based on investments we've made both in the client centricity and the approach we're taking and in technology, our market shares are larger, and we think those market share gains are durable.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Apr 14, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
on the forward, we expect those to be negligible. So, that too, obviously only a one-time benefit with the first hike, but that should provide some tailwind to our results as well.
Test pending
revenue · made Apr 14, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
on the one hand, we do expect to continue to originate balances and as it relates to our own balance sheet sensitivity, that is modestly asset sensitive. So when you take that feature combined with increased quantum of interest-earning assets given the forward curve, we think that will be a benefit to the firm.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Perhaps next up on the product road map will be the launch of checking. We're already piloting that internally, and we expect to launch that more broadly to our clients later this year.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capacityCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In terms of our strategy, we would expect over time that as GreenSky continues to originate, we would take those loans onto our balance sheet.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Apr 14, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect as we grow the portfolio of GreenSky that will also continue to provision.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
my expectation on buybacks is to be reasonably consistent with the first quarter, but we do expect to remain nimble.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Jun 30, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
the opportunity to see monetizations, to see transactions, I think, continues just probably not at the same pace and velocity as we saw in 2020 and 2021.
Test pending
made Apr 14, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
2022 Q1 (4)4 open
2021 Q4 (9)9 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Stephen laid out few a billion dollars of revenue. We're confident in that target.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Oct 15, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Our strongly held view is that 13% to 13.5% is the right place for this firm to operate.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Oct 15, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We remain confident in the longer-term revenue target for this business of $1 billion.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Oct 15, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And I think more broadly in transaction banking, about 2/3 of the revenue from the time we modeled through now is correlated to deposit intake with the balance around FX and other fees. And so as we see interest rates come back, the value of those deposits will as well.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Oct 15, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
But equally in the context of an expectation of rising interest rates, we'll see a return to the value of those deposits, otherwise modeled out. And therefore on the forward rate curve our view is that we'll be able to achieve that billion-dollar revenue target.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Oct 15, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I don't want to say that the share gains are going to continue at this pace because they won't, we know that.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Oct 15, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Consistent with our capital management philosophy, we will prioritize deploying capital for our client franchise at attractive returns, and then return any excess to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Jan 15, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we're making progress towards our target of $750 billion in sustainable financing, investing and advisory activity to help achieve these goals.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
With the addition of our bank funding model, we expect to generate 20%-plus returns at scale for recurring fee-based in net interest income revenues.
Test pending
made Oct 15, 2021 · due Apr 15, 2023