MAAT INDEX
Rankings
71.3 /100

Varonis Systems (VRNS)

TECHNOLOGY · 166 verified grades · SandbagsBIASMedian signed deviation across numeric graded claims. Sandbags: outcomes land favorable to guidance. Overpromises: the opposite. Needs at least 6 numeric claims.

Verify independently: SEC filings ↗

What management is on the hook for (133)

hedged · expects · high conviction
2026 Q2 (16)16 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
the expectation is that a big part of the churn on the on-prem side will be related to Q3 because if you remember, that's the quarter with the largest federal and state and government.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
On-prem churn (conversion-related) concentration by quarter, fiscal 2026
Q3 FY2026 on-prem churn/conversion activity higher than Q1 and Q2 FY2026 levels, as described in company commentary SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings calls and ARR/conversion disclosures (Q3 and Q4 FY2026 reports)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for Q3 FY26
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This assumes 131.1 million diluted shares outstanding.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Diluted weighted-average shares outstanding used in non-GAAP EPS calculation, Q2 2026
Reported diluted share count within 1% of 131.1 million (i.e., between 129.8 and 132.4 million) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q2 2026 earnings release / non-GAAP reconciliation table

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-15
eps · made Apr 28, 2026 · due Jun 30, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the second quarter of 2026, we expect SaaS ARR growth of 24% to 25%, excluding conversions, total revenues of $175 million to $178 million, representing growth of 15% to 17% non-GAAP operating loss of negative $1 million to breakeven and non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.00 to $0.01.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Q2 2026 total revenues (as reported, non-GAAP operating income/loss, and non-GAAP diluted EPS)
Total revenues between $175 million and $178 million, non-GAAP operating result between -$1 million and $0, non-GAAP diluted EPS between $0.00 and $0.01 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q2 2026 earnings release and shareholder letter (income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-15
revenue · made Apr 28, 2026 · due Jun 30, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
it's the upside ability and the conversations that give us the confidence to actually see that happen in Q2, Q3 and Q4.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
AllTrue contribution to ARR (as referenced by management as upside not baked into guidance)
Company reports AllTrue-related ARR contribution or revenue upside in Q2, Q3, or Q4 2026 commentary that exceeds prior guidance assumptions SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings calls and investor commentary (Q2, Q3, Q4 2026 calls/press releases)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 28, 2026 · for Q2-Q4 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
we remain on track to achieving the full year free cash flow guidance, and we want to emphasize that and highlight that.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year free cash flow
Full year free cash flow >= company's most recently issued full-year FCF guidance figure (or within the guided range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / cash flow statement and management guidance disclosures

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
fcf · made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We stand with that number and feel good about our ability to get to the conversions.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year conversion ARR (non-SaaS to SaaS ARR conversions) for fiscal 2026
Full-year conversion ARR between $50 million and $75 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / management commentary on conversion ARR (quarterly and full-year calls)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We remain on track to achieve our full year free cash flow guidance.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year free cash flow (FY2026)
Full-year free cash flow at or above the company's guided full-year FCF figure as stated at time of guidance SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / earnings call full-year results (FY2026 Q4 report or annual results announcement)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
fcf · made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we're expected to finish the year just under $850 million
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total annual revenue (or ARR run-rate, as referenced) for fiscal year 2026
Full-year figure just under $850 million (e.g., between $830 million and $850 million) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / annual revenue disclosure (10-K or Q4 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I expect that to be the case in 2026 as well.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Quarterly ARR contribution margin (or profitability) by quarter within fiscal year 2026
Q4 2026 shows the largest ARR contribution margin among the four quarters of FY2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases/call commentary on ARR contribution margin (Q1-Q4 2026)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
the expectation was that a lot of the conversions would actually happen in Q4 towards the end of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Timing/concentration of on-prem-to-SaaS conversion ARR contribution across fiscal 2026 quarters
Q4 FY2026 conversion-related ARR contribution is higher than Q1-Q3 individually, consistent with back-end loaded conversion activity SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings commentary and ARR disclosures (Q3 and Q4 FY2026 earnings calls / shareholder letters)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for Q4 FY26
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
the conversations and the pipeline that we're seeing is definitely giving us the encouragement and the expectation that we would see AllTrue contribute more throughout the remainder of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
AllTrue contribution to ARR (as disclosed by management, qualitatively or quantitatively)
Management reports on Q2, Q3, or Q4 2026 earnings calls that AllTrue contributed more to ARR/revenue than in Q1 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings calls/press releases (management commentary on AllTrue contribution) for Q2-Q4 2026

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
that's worked really well in Q1, and we expect that to continue in the year ahead.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
New customer contribution to SaaS revenue/new business (as disclosed by management)
New customer contribution continues to grow/accelerate year-over-year through FY2026 quarters, consistent with Q1 trend SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls (Q2-Q4 FY2026)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we believe we can sustain this level of growth as a fully SaaS company.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS ARR growth excluding conversions, full fiscal year
Full-year SaaS ARR growth excluding conversions >= 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed SaaS ARR figures (Q4/full-year earnings release or shareholder letter)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $100 million to $105 million, total revenues of $731 million to $737 million, representing growth of 17% to 18%; non-GAAP operating income of $7 million to $9 million, non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.11 to $0.12.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year 2026 total revenues, non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP net income per diluted share, and free cash flow
Total revenues between $731M and $737M; non-GAAP operating income between $7M and $9M; non-GAAP diluted EPS between $0.11 and $0.12; free cash flow between $100M and $105M SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany FY2026 earnings release and financial statements (income statement, cash flow statement, non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
fcf · made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This represents SaaS ARR growth of 20% to 21%, excluding conversions.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS ARR growth rate, excluding conversions, full year 2026
Reported full-year 2026 SaaS ARR growth (excluding conversions) between 20% and 21% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / investor relations financial guidance deck (FY2026 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year 2026, we now expect total SaaS ARR of $814 million to $845 million, representing growth of 27% to 32%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total SaaS ARR, full year 2026, as reported by the company
Total SaaS ARR between $814 million and $845 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / investor deck (Q4 2026 or FY2026 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Apr 28, 2026 · for FY2026
2026 Q1 (11)11 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We look forward to continuing our momentum and ending the year as a fully SaaS company, which will unlock many more benefits as we capture our growing market opportunity, and we believe in the path to achieving our 2027 financial targets.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Percentage of Varonis ARR (or customer base) on SaaS platform
Company reports being 'fully SaaS' (SaaS ARR mix >= 95% of total ARR) by end of fiscal year 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed SaaS ARR mix (quarterly shareholder letter / earnings call disclosures)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
No. We don't expect any material change there.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total gross margin, as reported quarterly/annually
Gross margin remains within approximately 77%-82% (high-70s to low-80s range), i.e., no material change outside this band SourceWHERE TO FIND ITQuarterly/annual income statement (10-Q/10-K) or earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
gross_margin · made Feb 3, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So I think when you look at the actual performance of Q4, the fact that we were able to convert such a large portion had to do with the end-of-life announcement and the urgency that that generated within our customer base. And the expectation for 2026 is within those ranges of $50 to $75 million.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS ARR converted/recognized from the non-SaaS ARR base during fiscal year 2026
Between $50 million and $75 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed ARR metrics (quarterly earnings releases / 10-K, FY2026)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We believe that with the fact that reps won't have to focus on the conversion the way they focused on conversions in 2025, they can go back to selling to new customers and selling to existing customers. And we have so much more to sell, so our expectation is that the SaaS NRR can increase.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS Net Revenue Retention (NRR) rate, as disclosed by the company
Reported SaaS NRR for FY2026 higher than the SaaS NRR reported for FY2025 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / management commentary on quarterly or annual earnings calls (SaaS NRR metric)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our assumption is that we won't have any non-SaaS ARR at the end of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-SaaS (on-premise) ARR balance at fiscal year-end
Non-SaaS ARR = $0 (or reported as immaterial/eliminated) at end of fiscal 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial disclosures / ARR breakdown (10-K or Q4 2026 earnings call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So basically, 2026 is going to be equal ARR.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 ARR growth relative to full-year 2025 ARR growth (year-over-year growth rate comparison)
2026 ARR growth rate approximately equal to 2025 ARR growth rate (within about 1 percentage point) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases and shareholder letters disclosing ARR (Q4 2026 and FY2026 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As a reminder, we expect this to have a $30 million to $50 million headwind on free cash flow and ARR contribution margin in 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2026 free cash flow headwind attributable to non-SaaS to SaaS conversions (as disclosed by management)
Disclosed headwind impact falls within $30 million to $50 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release/investor deck and management commentary on Q4 2026 or full-year 2026 earnings call

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
fcf · made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
While this announcement negatively impacts 2026 ARR contribution margin and free cash flow by $30 to $50 million based on our guidance, we believe it will allow us to show a healthier financial profile beginning in 2027 due to the removal of our lower renewal self-hosted customer base.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Combined negative impact on 2026 ARR contribution margin and free cash flow from the end-of-life announcement
Reported/implied 2026 impact falls within $30-50 million as guided (or company confirms it is within this range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany guidance updates and full-year 2026 results (earnings releases, 10-K, quarterly calls)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
fcf · made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In 2026, we expect a lower ARR contribution margin and lower free cash flow due to the impact of the end-of-life announcement.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
ARR contribution margin (full-year 2026) and free cash flow (full-year 2026), as reported
FY2026 ARR contribution margin below FY2025's 15.9% (or the reported full-year 2025 figure), AND FY2026 free cash flow below FY2025 free cash flow SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / shareholder letter and non-GAAP financial metrics (ARR contribution margin, free cash flow) for FY2026, Q4/FY2026 earnings call

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-15
fcf · made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect our reps to put significantly more focus on new business and SaaS customers.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Mix shift toward new business bookings and SaaS customer contribution (e.g., SaaS ARR as % of total ARR, or new business as % of total bookings), as disclosed by the company
SaaS ARR mix (% of total ARR) higher than the figure reported for the prior comparable period (FY2025) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany shareholder letter / earnings call commentary and disclosed ARR metrics (10-K / quarterly shareholder letter)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We converted approximately $65 million or one-third of our remaining non-SaaS ARR in the quarter and believe that between $50 to $75 million of the remaining self-hosted customers will convert by the end of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Remaining non-SaaS ARR converted to SaaS (cumulative dollar amount) by year end
Converted self-hosted ARR falls between $50 million and $75 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on conversion progress (quarterly earnings calls / shareholder letter through FY end)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 3, 2026 · for FY2026
2025 Q4 (9)9 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We are also taking thoughtful and prudent steps to manage expenses across the business, which includes a 5% reduction in headcount in order to reallocate our resources where we see the highest return on investment.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company headcount reduction versus pre-reduction headcount
Headcount reduced by approximately 5% (4.5%-5.5%) as disclosed by company SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosure (earnings call commentary, 10-K/10-Q, or restructuring press release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-01-28
made Oct 28, 2025 · due Jan 28, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We believe in our ability to grow 20-plus percent with our SaaS business really due to the momentum we're seeing with new customers and the strong NRR we see with our existing SaaS customers.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS business ARR (or SaaS revenue) year-over-year growth rate
SaaS ARR growth >= 20% year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed SaaS ARR metrics (quarterly earnings release / call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-28
made Oct 28, 2025 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So I think when we talked about growing 20-plus percent, we feel very confident with our ability to grow 20-plus percent on the SaaS business.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS ARR (or SaaS revenue) year-over-year growth rate
SaaS growth >= 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / ARR disclosure (10-K or Q4 call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made Oct 28, 2025 · for FY2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.12 to $0.13.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year 2025 non-GAAP net income per diluted share
between $0.12 and $0.13 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany Q4/full-year 2025 earnings release (non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
eps · made Oct 28, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Non-GAAP operating loss of negative $8.2 million to negative $5.2 million.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2025 non-GAAP operating income (loss)
Non-GAAP operating loss between -$8.2 million and -$5.2 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / non-GAAP reconciliation (Q4 2025 earnings release or 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
operating_income · made Oct 28, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $120 million to $125 million.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2025 free cash flow
Free cash flow between $120 million and $125 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial statements / earnings release (cash flow statement or non-GAAP reconciliation, Q4 2025 / FY2025 report)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
fcf · made Oct 28, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
That's part of the reason that we announced the end of life being at the end of next year. We want to have this on-prem subscription business in a confined time frame to be able to -- to be 100% SaaS and show all the benefits that the platform has to our customers and all the leverage and financial benefits that it can generate for the company.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
On-prem subscription business end-of-life status / SaaS as percentage of total ARR
SaaS ARR mix reaches 100% of total ARR (on-prem subscription end-of-life completed) by end of 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed ARR mix (10-K/10-Q or quarterly earnings call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Oct 28, 2025 · for by end FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that this demand will continue to be the growth driver of our business going forward.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS revenue/ARR growth rate as the primary driver of total ARR growth
SaaS ARR growth rate remains higher than on-prem/self-hosted ARR trend, and total ARR growth continues at or above the ~18% year-over-year pace reported in Q3 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter (ARR and SaaS metrics disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-28
made Oct 28, 2025 · due Oct 28, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Now that we have completed our SaaS transition, we are now announcing the end of life of our self-hosted solution as of December 31, 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Announced end-of-life date for the self-hosted (on-prem) solution, as disclosed by the company
Company confirms self-hosted solution end-of-life occurred on or by December 31, 2026 as stated (no reversal or extension announced) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases, 10-K/10-Q filings, or management commentary on earnings calls through late 2026

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-01-15
made Oct 28, 2025 · for by Dec 2026
2025 Q3 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $120 million to $125 million, total revenues of $616 million to $628 million, representing growth of 12% and to 14%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2025 free cash flow and total revenues
Free cash flow between $120 million and $125 million AND total revenues between $616 million and $628 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings release (income statement and cash flow statement, Q4/FY2025 report)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
fcf · made Jul 29, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year 2025, we now expect ARR of $748 million to $754 million, representing growth of 17%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2025 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), as reported by the company
ARR between $748 million and $754 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / 10-K or Q4 2025 earnings call ARR disclosure

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made Jul 29, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we are getting closer to the completion of our SaaS transition, we expect the positive trend of maintenance and services revenues to continue to decline.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Maintenance and services revenues, quarterly (as reported in income statement breakdown)
Maintenance and services revenue for Q3 2025 and/or Q4 2025 < $13.9 million (Q2 2025 level) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / income statement revenue breakdown (10-Q)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-12-31
made Jul 29, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Our gross margin continues to track ahead of our expectations, and we feel very confident in our long-term target set at our Investor Day.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP gross margin, quarterly and/or as trending toward the Investor Day long-term target
Non-GAAP gross margin in subsequent quarters trends at or above the level implied as 'ahead of expectations' (i.e., not declining below the 80.6% reported this quarter) en route to the Investor Day long-term target SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / income statement (non-GAAP gross margin) and Investor Day target disclosure

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
gross_margin · made Jul 29, 2025 · for FY2029
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We believe that this additional time spent on upselling existing customers, combined with a healthy new customer momentum that we are continuing to see will allow us to drive towards our goal of growing ARR more than 20%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company ARR year-over-year growth rate
ARR growth > 20% year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jul 29, 2025 · for FY2026
2025 Q2 (8)8 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So when you combine all of these and these results and kind of the underlying drivers in our business is what gives us the confidence to raise our ARR guidance by that $5 million and increase our SaaS mix to 80% for the full year kind of despite the uncertainty that we see in the macro environment.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year ARR guidance and SaaS mix percentage of ARR, as reported by the company
Full-year ARR guidance raised by ~$5 million versus prior guidance, and SaaS mix reaches approximately 80% of ARR for the full year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany guidance updates and full-year results (quarterly earnings releases / Q4 2025 call and shareholder letter)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made May 7, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
Last quarter, we announced that we will accelerate our SaaS transition and our Q1 results prove that we are well on track to complete it by the end of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Proportion of Varonis ARR (or new bookings) migrated to/derived from SaaS subscription model
Company reports SaaS transition substantially complete by Q4 2025, e.g. SaaS ARR mix >= 80-90% of total ARR or management explicitly states transition is complete SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed SaaS ARR mix (quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter / Q4 2025 call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made May 7, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we are very happy with kind of the progress of the FedRAMP certification. It's really as progressing as planned
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FedRAMP certification status for the company's product/platform
FedRAMP certification (Authorization to Operate) achieved/announced by company SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on quarterly earnings call or company press release

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-11-07
made May 7, 2025 · due Nov 7, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Non-GAAP operating income of $0.5 million to $10.5 million, non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.14 to $0.17.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2025 non-GAAP net income per diluted share
Non-GAAP diluted EPS between $0.14 and $0.17 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 2025 earnings release / shareholder letter (non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
operating_income · made May 7, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Total revenues of $610 million to $625 million, representing growth of 11% to 13%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year 2025 total revenues
Total revenues between $610 million and $625 million (growth of 11%-13% year-over-year) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / full-year 2025 earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
revenue · made May 7, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $120 million to $125 million.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2025 free cash flow
Free cash flow between $120 million and $125 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / cash flow statement disclosures (10-K or Q4 2025 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
fcf · made May 7, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
This shows us that SaaS customers are coming back and buying more which combined with a healthy new customer momentum that we are seeing gives us confidence that we can return to more than 20% ARR growth.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company ARR year-over-year growth rate
ARR growth rate > 20% year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed ARR figures (quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made May 7, 2025 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
When we did our Investor Day in 2023, we gave out like a five-year model and we put in our gross margin expectation which was at the end of 2027 to be in that range of the 80%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP gross margin, full fiscal year
FY2027 non-GAAP gross margin >= 80.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / earnings release (non-GAAP reconciliation), FY2027 results

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-15
gross_margin · made May 7, 2025 · for FY2027
2025 Q1 (7)7 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we sit here today, the assumption is $240 million of SaaS ARR in 2025, a meaningful increase versus the $215 million that we had in 2024
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS ARR added/generated in fiscal year 2025 (incremental SaaS ARR figure as guided)
Full-year 2025 SaaS ARR contribution approximately $240 million (within 220-260 million range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / investor presentation disclosing SaaS ARR metrics (Q4 2025 call or 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made Feb 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these investments, coupled with sustained new logo momentum, will also enable us to continue to grow ARR at healthy levels this year despite the conversions taking more time and effort to do.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total ARR growth rate year-over-year, fiscal year 2025
FY2025 total ARR growth >= 10% year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed ARR metrics (quarterly shareholder letter / 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made Feb 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we believe that as we complete the transition, we're better set up not only to provide value to our customers but also to go to those customers once we show them the value and sell them additional licenses, which we believe can increase the NRR.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Net revenue retention (NRR) rate, as reported by the company
NRR rate > 105% (the level reported for 2024) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings materials (shareholder letter or earnings call commentary disclosing NRR)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As a reminder, we set a long-term target of 20% ARR contribution margins by 2027 at our investor day in March 2023 and ended 2024 at 16.6%, so we are well ahead of that plan.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
ARR contribution margin, full fiscal year
ARR contribution margin >= 20% (or on a trajectory implying full-year 2027 margin >= 20%, as disclosed for fiscal 2025 or 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed ARR contribution margin (investor day materials / earnings call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-12-31
made Feb 5, 2025 · for FY2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We look forward to completing our SaaS transition in 2025, which we believe will better position the company to accelerate growth and show continued free cash flow improvement on our way to our $1 billion ARR target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), full year 2025
ARR within guided range of $737 million to $745 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / shareholder letter, FY2025 results

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-02-15
made Feb 5, 2025 · for FY2025
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The leverage of our model allows us to continue to show margin improvement, while making strategic investments to reaccelerate our top-line growth back to 20-plus-percent and capture the larger opportunity that we see developing.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenue (or ARR) year-over-year growth rate, as reported
Annual revenue/ARR growth rate >= 20% for a fiscal year on or before FY2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings releases and 10-K filings (revenue and ARR disclosures)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-12-31
revenue · made Feb 5, 2025 · for FY2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we believe our sales efficiency and ability to drive growth from our base will actually accelerate post-transition once our reps are able to focus on upsell and cross-sell rather than converting self-hosted customers.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Net revenue retention rate / existing customer upsell-driven ARR growth, as disclosed post-transition completion
Net revenue retention rate (or equivalent upsell/cross-sell growth metric) higher than the rate reported in the quarters preceding transition completion (end of 2025) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed net retention rate or ARR growth commentary (quarterly earnings call / shareholder letter)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Feb 5, 2025 · due Dec 31, 2026
2024 Q4 (6)6 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
There is the regular seasonality within the business where Q4 is the largest quarter of the year, and we expect that to be the same this year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenue (or net new ARR) by fiscal quarter, comparing Q4 to Q1-Q3 of the same fiscal year
Q4 reported revenue (or net new ARR) is higher than each of Q1, Q2, and Q3 of the same fiscal year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITQuarterly income statement / earnings release (Q4 and full-year results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
made Oct 29, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We have decided to make changes to the management team of our federal business and believe those changes, coupled with our expectations for FedRAMP authorization next year, will better position us to capture that market opportunity going forward.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FedRAMP authorization status and federal business ARR/revenue performance
Company announces FedRAMP authorization achieved during 2025, and federal business revenue growth improves versus the underperformance noted in this quarter SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press releases and quarterly earnings calls (10-K/10-Q federal segment commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-12-31
made Oct 29, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2025
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.26 to $0.27.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2024 non-GAAP net income per diluted share
Between $0.26 and $0.27 inclusive SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / non-GAAP reconciliation for full-year 2024 results (Q4 2024 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
eps · made Oct 29, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP operating income of $20.6 million to $22.6 million; non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.26 to $0.27.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year 2024 non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP net income per diluted share
Non-GAAP operating income between $20.6 million and $22.6 million AND non-GAAP diluted EPS between $0.26 and $0.27 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / Q4 2024 earnings report (full-year non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
operating_income · made Oct 29, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.13 to $0.14.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP net income per diluted share, Q4 2024
Value between $0.13 and $0.14 inclusive SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 2024 earnings release / shareholder letter (non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
eps · made Oct 29, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that the ramp-up of this phase will not be linear and momentum should grow each quarter, with SaaS conversions showing further acceleration in dollar terms in 2025 and 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Incremental ARR dollars added from SaaS conversions per quarter/year
Dollar amount of SaaS conversion-driven ARR growth in 2025 is higher than in 2024, and in 2026 higher than in 2025 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and management commentary on ARR/SaaS conversion contribution (10-K/10-Q and earnings calls)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Oct 29, 2024 · for FY2025 & FY2026
2024 Q3 (3)3 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we've also said that we expect over time to have renewal rates increase with a SaaS offering.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Company-reported customer renewal rate (SaaS offering)
Renewal rate higher than the level reported at time of claim (2024-07-29) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls (renewal rate disclosures)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-29
made Jul 29, 2024 · due Jul 29, 2026
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect to see the leverage even further coming in the years ahead.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gross margin (or ARR contribution margin), annual trend over multiple years
Gross margin / ARR contribution margin in FY2025 and/or FY2026 higher than FY2024 level SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement and management commentary on ARR contribution margin (quarterly earnings calls, 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-29
operating_margin · made Jul 29, 2024 · due Jul 29, 2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that the ramp-up to this phase will not be linear and momentum should grow in each quarter, with further acceleration in dollar terms in 2025 and 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Quarter-over-quarter growth in incremental ARR (or ARR dollar growth) attributable to on-prem to SaaS conversion momentum
Sequential ARR dollar growth increases each quarter through 2024, with year-over-year ARR dollar growth in 2025 and 2026 exceeding the year-over-year ARR dollar growth achieved in 2024 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and ARR disclosures (10-Q/10-K and earnings call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made Jul 29, 2024 · for FY2026
2024 Q2 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we look ahead of the rest of this year, we're excited to begin Phase 2 in earnest in the second half of 2024, which will be focused on converting our installed base of on-prem subscription customers to our SaaS platform.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Company commentary/disclosure on Phase 2 progress converting on-prem subscription customers to SaaS platform (e.g., number/percentage of installed base converted, or qualitative progress statements)
Company reports that Phase 2 conversion effort began in second half of 2024 (H2 2024), i.e., management confirms conversion activity was underway by Q4 2024 earnings call SourceWHERE TO FIND ITQ3 2024 and Q4 2024 earnings calls / shareholder letters (management commentary on Phase 2 SaaS conversion progress)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
made May 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
total revenues of $536 million to $546 million, representing growth of 7% to 9%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenues, full year 2024
Between $536 million and $546 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / Q4 2024 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
revenue · made May 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $70 million to $75 million, total revenues of $536 million to $546 million, representing growth of 7% to 9%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2024 free cash flow and total revenues
Free cash flow between $70 million and $75 million, AND total revenues between $536 million and $546 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / income statement and cash flow statement (Q4 2024 / FY2024 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
fcf · made May 6, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
the continued momentum of Varonis SaaS furthers our confidence in completing the transition in 2026, 1 year earlier than our initial time line.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Varonis SaaS ARR as a percentage of total company ARR
SaaS ARR mix >= ~95-100% of total ARR (company-defined 'completion' of SaaS transition) by end of fiscal 2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases / shareholder letter disclosing SaaS ARR mix, and management commentary on transition completion

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made May 6, 2024 · for FY2026
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As a reminder, we expect that the ramp-up of this phase will not be linear and momentum should grow in each quarter and further accelerate in 2025 and 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Quarter-over-quarter ARR growth (sequential increase), each quarter through 2026
Sequential ARR growth accelerates (higher $ or % increase quarter-over-quarter) across 2024, with growth rate in 2025 and 2026 exceeding that of the prior year's comparable quarters SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported ARR figures (quarterly earnings releases/10-Q and 10-K filings)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-12-31
made May 6, 2024 · for FY2026
2024 Q1 (6)6 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we're expecting customers to convert at a higher pace than we saw in 2023.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS revenue (or SaaS ARR), full year 2024, as disclosed by the company
Full-year 2024 SaaS revenue >= $285 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual earnings release and call (SaaS revenue disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
made Feb 5, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We believe that we will see those trends that I've talked about, kind of work in our favour over the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year revenue growth (and/or guidance raises during the year) versus initial FY2024 guidance issued in February
Company raises full-year revenue/ARR guidance at least once during FY2024, or actual full-year revenue growth exceeds the initial guidance midpoint given in February 2024 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and guidance updates (Q1-Q4 2024 calls, FY2024 10-K)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
made Feb 5, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Going forward, we expect the vast majority of new customers to purchase our SaaS offering.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Share of new customers purchasing the SaaS offering (as reported or implied by SaaS % of total ARR / new ARR mix commentary)
New customers purchasing SaaS >= 75% of new customers added, based on company commentary/disclosure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings calls and disclosed SaaS revenue / SaaS % of total ARR metrics (2024 quarterly reports)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-12-31
made Feb 5, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect that the ramp-up of this phase will not be linear and anticipate growing momentum in each quarter of 2024 and further accelerating in 2025 and 2026.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Company-reported SaaS ARR (or SaaS mix % of ARR) for each quarter of 2024, sequential change quarter over quarter
SaaS ARR growth (or SaaS mix increase) accelerates or grows sequentially in each of Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4 2024 versus the prior quarter (i.e., no quarter shows a deceleration in SaaS momentum) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and call commentary disclosing SaaS ARR / SaaS mix (10-Q and earnings call slides, 2024)

KNOWABLE AFTER2025-02-15
made Feb 5, 2024 · due Dec 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
When we laid out kind of the plan in March of 2023, we talked about the transition lasting five years, we're bringing that one year shorter and we're very happy about that. We're not actually not changing that $1 billion target, and that's still at 2027
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total annual recurring revenue (ARR) or company revenue, as reported by Varonis, for fiscal year 2027
Reported figure >= $1 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial statements / earnings release (10-K or Q4 2027 call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-15
made Feb 5, 2024 · for FY2027
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We feel extremely confident about kind of the guidance that we provided during the Investor Day in March of 2023, about a 20% ARR contribution margin by 2027.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual recurring revenue (ARR) contribution margin, fiscal year 2027
ARR contribution margin >= 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial disclosures / investor presentations (10-K or Q4 2027 earnings call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-15
made Feb 5, 2024 · for FY2027
2023 Q4 (7)7 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we do expect to have FedRAMP for next year's cycle, which can become a significant opportunity for us.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FedRAMP certification/authorization status
Company achieves and discloses FedRAMP certification/authorization by end of next fiscal year cycle (FY2024) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls / company press releases / FedRAMP marketplace listing

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-12-31
made Oct 30, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.31 to $0.33.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2023 non-GAAP net income per diluted share
between $0.31 and $0.33 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany income statement / non-GAAP reconciliation (Q4 2023 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
eps · made Oct 30, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP operating income of $26.5 million to $28.5 million; non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.31 to $0.33.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2023 non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP net income per diluted share
Non-GAAP operating income between $26.5 million and $28.5 million AND non-GAAP diluted EPS between $0.31 and $0.33 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / Q4 2023 earnings report (full-year non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
operating_income · made Oct 30, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $40 million to $45 million, which includes $8 million to $10 million of headwinds related to the TCJA capitalization of R&D provision;
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2023 free cash flow
Free cash flow between $40 million and $45 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-reported cash flow statement / earnings release (Q4 2023 / FY2023 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
fcf · made Oct 30, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we look to our revenue guidance for the fourth quarter, we're now assuming that approximately $12 million of existing customers' renewals will convert to SaaS in Q4, which is up from $10 million previously.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Existing customers' on-prem-to-SaaS renewal conversion amount impacting Q4 revenue, as disclosed by management
Approximately $12 million (reasonable range $11-13 million) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on Q4 earnings call / investor materials

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Oct 30, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these longer deal cycles to continue, along with the associated budgetary scrutiny, and our updated guidance takes this into consideration.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenue for Q4 fiscal 2023, as reported vs. updated guidance range given on this call
Q4 revenue within or above the updated guidance range disclosed on this call SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / income statement (Q4 earnings release, guidance comparison)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Oct 30, 2023 · due Jan 31, 2024
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The sustained momentum that we saw from our SaaS transition this quarter coupled with our faster pace of innovation gets us closer to achieving our $1 billion ARR target and delivering meaningful stakeholder value.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), as reported by Varonis
ARR >= $1,000 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-10-30
made Oct 30, 2023 · for long-term
2023 Q3 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We're -- when you look at kind of the fact that we're only very early in the transition, we're seeing a lot of benefits, and we think we can see more benefits going forward.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gross margin (non-GAAP), quarterly
Gross margin in Q4 2023 higher than Q2 2023 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITQuarterly income statement / earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
gross_margin · made Jul 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
As we look out into remainder of the year, we expect some of the pressure from this dynamic to ease because more of the pipeline expected to close in the second half has started as SaaS rather than as on-prem deployments.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS mix as a percentage of new business and net new upsell ARR, quarterly
SaaS mix percentage in H2 2023 quarters (Q3, Q4) higher than Q2 2023's reported 58% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release/call commentary on SaaS mix (VRNS Q3 and Q4 2023 calls)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Jul 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect these longer deal cycles to continue along with budgetary scrutiny and our updated guidance already takes this and more into consideration.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year revenue and/or ARR growth versus updated guidance issued alongside Q2 2023 results
Actual reported full-year revenue and ARR fall within (or above) the updated guidance range given on the Q2 2023 call SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release/10-K for FY2023 and management commentary on Q4 2023 earnings call

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Jul 31, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
In Q3 we are assuming $8 million of existing customer conversions that will serve as a headwind to revenue and $10 million in Q4, which is higher than Q2 but consistent with the pipeline we have.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Existing customer conversion revenue headwind disclosed for Q3 and Q4 (as reported or reconcilable from management commentary)
Q3 conversion headwind approximately $8 million (+/- $2 million) and Q4 approximately $10 million (+/- $2 million) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on Q3 and Q4 earnings calls / investor materials

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Jul 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Our full-year guidance now assumes a SaaS mix of new business and upsell ARR of 50% up from 35% previously, and we expect Q3’s SaaS mix to be 45%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS mix of new business and upsell ARR (%) for Q3
Q3 SaaS mix approximately 45% (within +/-2 percentage points) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on Q3 earnings call / investor presentation

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-11-15
made Jul 31, 2023 · due Sep 30, 2023
2023 Q2 (4)4 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We did see many of those deals convert to SaaS within the quarter, and we expect that to continue.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Proportion of new-customer deals (originally quoted with on-prem subscription pricing) that convert to SaaS pricing within the quarter
Q2 FY2023 conversion rate of such deals to SaaS >= Q1 FY2023 rate (directional continuation, not a decline) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on Varonis Q2 2023 earnings call

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-08-15
made May 1, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we believe in several quarters, we are going to narrow everything and also, we'll be able to do frictionless migration.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS platform feature parity with on-prem platform, as described by management (percentage of on-prem features available in SaaS)
Management-disclosed feature parity >= 95% (up from stated 80%), or explicit statement that gap is narrowed/closed and frictionless migration is available SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-01-31
made May 1, 2023 · due Jan 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $20 million to $25 million, which includes a $6 million to $8 million headwind related to the TCJA capitalization of R&D provision.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2023 free cash flow
Free cash flow between $20 million and $25 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / cash flow statement (10-K or Q4 2023 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
fcf · made May 1, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We expect longer deal cycles to continue as a result of ongoing budgetary scrutiny, and our updated guidance already takes this and more into consideration.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year revenue (or ARR), as reported against updated guidance given on this call
Full-year actual revenue/ARR falls within or above the updated guidance range issued in Q1 2023 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and updated guidance commentary through fiscal year-end

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-12-31
made May 1, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
2023 Q1 (6)6 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And SaaS help us to innovate faster and support our customers more easily, which we expect to benefit our margin profile as we scale.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gross margin (and/or operating margin), as reported, trend as SaaS mix scales
Gross margin higher than the prior year period (2023 baseline) by fiscal year-end 2024 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / 10-K and earnings call commentary on margin trends

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-12-31
gross_margin · made Feb 6, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2024
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Second, our new customer launch be largely driven by platform selling approach and a 25% to 30% pricing uplift, which is justified by the product's lower total cost of ownership as compared to our on-premise subscription offering.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Pricing uplift for new customer SaaS platform sales versus prior on-premise subscription pricing
Management-reported or disclosed pricing uplift falls within 25%-30% range SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls (FY2023)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-12-31
made Feb 6, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
First, we expect SaaS will result in a shorter sales cycle, risk assessments, the core of our go-to-market motion are expected to be quicker and easier to deploy because customer infrastructure requirements are greatly reduced.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Sales cycle length (time from risk assessment/deal initiation to close) for SaaS deals, as described in management commentary
Management reports on an earnings call that SaaS sales cycles are shorter than legacy/on-premise sales cycles SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls (VRNS Q1-Q4 2023)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-12-31
made Feb 6, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
our first quarter and full year guidance now assumes a 15% SaaS mix of new business and upsell ARR, up from 5% previously.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS mix of new business and upsell ARR (as defined/reported by company), full fiscal year 2023
Reported full-year SaaS mix of new business and upsell ARR >= 15% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary / disclosed metric on Q4 2023 earnings call or investor materials

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Feb 6, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Free cash flow of $20 million to $25 million, which includes the $6 million to $8 million headwind related to the TCJA capitalization of R&D provisions.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2023 free cash flow
Free cash flow between $20 million and $25 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial statements / earnings release (cash flow statement, FY2023)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
fcf · made Feb 6, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year of 2023, we expect ARR of $513 million to $523 million, representing year-over-year growth of 10% to 12%.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2023 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)
ARR between $513 million and $523 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 2023 earnings release / shareholder letter (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-15
made Feb 6, 2023 · due Dec 31, 2023
2022 Q4 (12)12 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And that's why we're also giving our free cash flow expectation for 2023, which shows meaningful improvement compared to what we expect to finish in 2022.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Free cash flow, fiscal year (as reported by Varonis)
FY2023 free cash flow greater than FY2022 free cash flow SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / 10-K cash flow statement or shareholder letter reporting free cash flow

KNOWABLE AFTER2024-02-28
fcf · made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Just to add for DataAdvantage Cloud, the expectation for the year is still $5 million ARR. That hasn't changed.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
DataAdvantage Cloud ARR (annual recurring revenue)
DataAdvantage Cloud ARR >= $5 million by year-end SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on Q4/full-year earnings call or investor materials

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We haven't changed the long-term view for EMEA and federal, but as we look at our Q4 guidance, we want to take a prudent approach, and we expect economic conditions to worsen in Europe and that longer sales cycles and lower close rates may impact our U.S. business as well.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenue for Q4 vs. company-issued Q4 guidance range
Q4 actual total revenue falls within or above the previously issued guidance range (i.e., guidance is met or exceeded, not missed) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 earnings release and press release guidance table

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.14 to $0.15.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Non-GAAP net income per diluted share, full year 2022
Full year 2022 non-GAAP EPS (diluted) between $0.14 and $0.15 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4/full-year 2022 earnings release (non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
eps · made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
non-GAAP operating income of $25.5 million to $27.5 million; and non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.14 to $0.15.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2022 non-GAAP operating income
Between $25.5 million and $27.5 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation in Q4/FY2022 earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-28
operating_income · made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the fourth quarter of 2022 and full year 2022, this headwind is expected to be 50 basis points and 200 basis points, respectively.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FX (New Israeli Shekel) headwind impact on margin, expressed in basis points, for Q4 2022 and full year 2022
Q4 2022 FX headwind approximately 50 basis points (within 10-15 bps) and full year 2022 FX headwind approximately 200 basis points (within 10-15 bps) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany financial results and management commentary (Q4 2022 earnings release / call, full-year 2022 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
operating_margin · made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
This also assumes a 5% SaaS mix of sales from new licenses in the first half of 2023.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
SaaS mix of sales from new licenses (percentage of new license sales that are SaaS), H1 2023
SaaS mix approximately 5% (within 1 percentage point, i.e. 4%-6%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany management commentary / investor presentation disclosing SaaS mix (Q1 and Q2 2023 earnings calls)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-08-15
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Jun 30, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
The headcount reduction and other cost saving initiatives that Yaki mentioned should result in approximately $7 million of savings during the fourth quarter, as reflected in our updated guidance.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cost savings from headcount reduction and other cost saving initiatives, recognized in Q4 operating expenses
Approximately $7 million in Q4 cost savings (within $6-8 million range), consistent with updated guidance SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4 earnings release and management commentary (Q4 2022 earnings call), operating expense discussion

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect that this will also help the renewal rates as customers get greater value from our products
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Dollar-based net retention rate (or gross/annual renewal rate as disclosed)
Reported renewal/net retention rate for FY2023 higher than FY2022 reported figure SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed retention metrics (10-K / shareholder letter / earnings call commentary)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-12-31
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
First, risk assessments, the core of our sales motion, are expected to be quicker to deploy, which once our salesforce gets past the initial ramp-up phase and is fully trained on the new selling motion, should help shortening of sales-cycles;
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Average sales-cycle length (or qualitative management commentary on sales-cycle duration trend) for the Data Security Platform
Management reports/confirms a shortening of sales-cycle length compared to pre-SaaS-transition levels SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls (VRNS)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-12-31
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2023
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Because of Q3 results and expectations that these headwinds will persist in Q4, we are adjusting our full year ARR guidance specifically our updated guidance assumes that the economic condition continues to deteriorate in EMEA and that this also begins to moderately affect our U.S. business.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year ARR (annual recurring revenue) as guided for fiscal year 2022
Actual reported full year ARR falls within or above the company's updated guidance range given on this call SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / earnings call reporting Q4 and full-year 2022 ARR figures

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Oct 31, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
gives us confidence that we will be a rule of 40 company as we exit the transition.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Rule of 40 score (revenue growth rate % + profit margin %, as defined/reported by the company)
Sum of revenue growth rate and profit margin (e.g., non-GAAP operating margin or FCF margin) >= 40% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary / investor presentation disclosing Rule of 40 metric on quarterly earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2028-10-31
made Oct 31, 2022 · for cannot_det
2022 Q3 (5)5 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
ARR of $484 million to $489 million, representing year-over-year growth of 25% to 26%
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) at fiscal year-end 2022, as reported by the company
ARR between $484 million and $489 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / Q4 2022 shareholder letter or press release (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Aug 1, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year 2022, we expect: ARR of $484 million to $489 million, representing year-over-year growth of 25% to 26%; total revenues of $485 million to $490 million, representing growth of 24% to 26%; non-GAAP operating income of $32.5 million to $36.5 million; and non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.19 to $0.22.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2022 total revenues (as reported, non-GAAP operating income, and non-GAAP diluted EPS)
Total revenues between $485 million and $490 million (primary check); consistent with non-GAAP operating income $32.5M-$36.5M and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.19-$0.22 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany Q4/full-year 2022 earnings release and shareholder letter (income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
revenue · made Aug 1, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For both the third quarter of 2022 and full year 2022, this headwind is expected to be 200 basis points.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
FX headwind impact on operating income margin (basis points), Q3 2022 and full year 2022
Reported/implied FX headwind approximately 200 basis points (190-210 bps) for both Q3 2022 and full year 2022 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany management commentary / investor letter on Q3 2022 and Q4 2022 earnings calls

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
operating_margin · made Aug 1, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Nevertheless, we are pleased with customer conversations and the pace of selling which improved sequentially in Q2 as we continue building pipeline for the second half of the year and beyond and we are still on pace for the $5 million ARR expectations we guided for at the beginning of the year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
DatAdvantage Cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR)
ARR >= $5 million by year-end SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on Q4/full-year earnings call or investor materials

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Aug 1, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We remain focused on two things: executing against the enormous market opportunity before us and closing in on our $1 billion ARR target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total ARR (annual recurring revenue), as reported by Varonis
Total ARR >= $1 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-01
made Aug 1, 2022 · due -
2022 Q2 (4)4 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
So when we look at the pipeline and when we look at the conversations and when we look at the activity, we feel very good about our ability to continue to grow kind of the European business.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
EMEA regional revenue growth rate (year-over-year), as reported by the company
EMEA revenue growth rate in subsequent quarters of FY2022 higher than the ~20% reported in Q1 2022, adjusted context permitting SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release/call - regional revenue breakdown

KNOWABLE AFTER2022-12-31
made May 2, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year, we are assuming zero contribution from the region, and consequently the impact to our original revenue and ARR expectations will be in the $4 million to $5 million dollar range.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Combined negative revenue and ARR impact from Russia/Ukraine region for full fiscal year 2022, relative to original guidance
Reported or implied full-year impact from the region falls between $4 million and $5 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany full-year 2022 earnings release and Q4 2022 earnings call commentary (revenue/ARR guidance reconciliation)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made May 2, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
we expect ARR of $484 million to $489 million, representing year-over-year growth of 25% to 26%
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) at fiscal year-end 2022
ARR between $484 million and $489 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings release / Q4 2022 shareholder letter (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made May 2, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
For the full year 2022, we expect ARR of $484 million to $489 million, representing year-over-year growth of 25% to 26%; total revenues of $485 million to $490 million, representing growth of 24% to 26%; non-GAAP operating income of $27 million to $30 million dollars; and non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.16 to $0.18.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year 2022 total revenues (as reported)
Total revenues between $485 million and $490 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / Q4 2022 earnings release

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
revenue · made May 2, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
2022 Q1 (6)6 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
I think that's a great question. And our assumption for travel is that it will pick up in 2020, gradually increasing quarter-over-quarter. But in total, it still will be below the pre-pandemic levels.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Company travel and entertainment expense, quarterly, fiscal year 2022
Q4 2022 travel expense > Q1 2022 travel expense (gradual quarter-over-quarter increase), and full-year 2022 travel expense still below full-year 2019 (pre-pandemic) level SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on quarterly earnings calls / MD&A expense discussion in 10-Q and 10-K filings

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Feb 7, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So I think kind of in our view for 2022, we expect those numbers to continue in the same range.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
GAAP gross margin (%), fiscal year 2022
FY2022 gross margin within 2.0 percentage points of FY2021 reported gross margin SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / quarterly earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
gross_margin · made Feb 7, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
Therefore, the margin impact shouldn't be significant in 2022.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Gross margin (or overall margin), fiscal year 2022, relative to prior guidance/baseline
Full-year 2022 gross margin within approximately 1 percentage point of pre-DA Cloud baseline/guided level SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / gross margin disclosure (10-K or Q4 2022 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
gross_margin · made Feb 7, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And this assumes approximately $2.5 million of revenue from DA Cloud.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Revenue attributable to DA Cloud, full year 2022
DA Cloud revenue approximately $2.5 million (within $2.0 million to $3.0 million range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on Q4 2022 earnings call or 10-K disclosure

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
made Feb 7, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
On a constant currency basis, the midpoint of our guidance shows expansion of approximately 120 basis points year-over-year.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full year 2022 non-GAAP operating margin, constant currency basis, year-over-year change in basis points
Constant currency operating margin expansion approximately 120 basis points (110-130 bps range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany non-GAAP reconciliation / management commentary on constant currency operating margin (Q4 2022 earnings release or call)

KNOWABLE AFTER2023-02-15
operating_margin · made Feb 7, 2022 · due Dec 31, 2022
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.CONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
We believe we have a clear path to our $1 billion ARR target.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), as reported by Varonis
ARR >= $1,000 million (reaching the $1 billion target) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / shareholder letter (ARR disclosure)

KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-07
made Feb 7, 2022 · for long-term
2021 Q4 (4)4 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
So we believe that they can do very well in the next year, but the growth was primarily driven by the enterprise.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Federal segment revenue growth, next fiscal year
Federal segment year-over-year revenue growth > 0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on federal vertical performance (quarterly earnings calls / 10-K segment disclosures)

KNOWABLE AFTER2022-12-31
made Nov 1, 2021 · due Dec 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We'll not see material contribution this year, but the customer conversations are very positive.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
DA Cloud revenue contribution, fiscal year 2021
DA Cloud disclosed as immaterial/non-material contributor to FY2021 revenue (i.e., not broken out as a meaningful growth driver) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on Q4 2021 earnings call / FY2021 10-K

KNOWABLE AFTER2022-02-15
made Nov 1, 2021 · due Dec 31, 2021
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
And we do not expect this momentum to slow down.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenue growth, year-over-year, as reported by Varonis
Q4 FY2021 and/or FY2021 total revenue growth rate >= Q3 2021 reported year-over-year growth rate SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings release / income statement (Q4 2021 and FY2021 results)

KNOWABLE AFTER2022-02-15
made Nov 1, 2021 · due Mar 31, 2022
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.CONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
We now expect non-GAAP operating income of $19.5 million to $21.5 million and non-GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.10 to $0.11.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year non-GAAP operating income, fiscal year 2021
Full-year non-GAAP operating income between $19.5 million and $21.5 million SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / non-GAAP reconciliation (Q4 2021 earnings release)

KNOWABLE AFTER2022-02-15
operating_income · made Nov 1, 2021 · due Dec 31, 2021
2021 Q3 (2)2 open
2021 Q2 (2)2 open