81.4 /100
Intuit Inc (INTU)
TECHNOLOGY · 111 verified grades · · BalancedBIASMedian signed deviation across numeric graded claims. Sandbags: outcomes land favorable to guidance. Overpromises: the opposite. Needs at least 6 numeric claims.
What management is on the hook for (266)
hedged · expects · high conviction
2026 Q2 (19)19 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.laborCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reducing our full time workforce by 17% to simplify our organizational structure to become a faster, leaner and more focused company.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-time workforce headcount reduction from pre-announcement level
Reported workforce reduction >= 15% of full-time employees (consistent with the stated 17% figure) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany disclosures (8-K filing, 10-K headcount figures, or management commentary on subsequent earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“As a result, we are raising total company guidance for revenue and all non GAAP metrics for the full fiscal year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full fiscal year total company revenue and non-GAAP metrics (e.g., non-GAAP EPS, non-GAAP operating income) guidance versus prior guidance
Reported full fiscal year revenue and non-GAAP metrics guidance figures (as given on this call or subsequent updates) are higher than the guidance issued prior to this call SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release and investor relations guidance tables (Q3 and Q4 FY2026 earnings releases)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As Sasan mentioned, we are investing in our 3 big bets, we are playing offense in our core where this is different than the actions we took in 2024, is that, as Sasan mentioned, the majority of cost reductions we do expect to flow to the bottom line.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Proportion of realized cost reductions (from workforce/organizational restructuring) flowing to operating margin expansion versus reinvestment
Majority (>50%) of disclosed cost savings reflected as operating margin expansion / bottom-line benefit rather than reinvestment, as characterized in company commentary or margin reconciliation SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary on subsequent earnings calls and company-reported operating margin/EPS in 10-K/10-Q filingsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The DIY segment, remember the goal that we have articulated is that we want to maintain revenue share. And we actually expect this year to maintain our revenue share in the DIY category.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Intuit Consumer TurboTax DIY segment revenue share in the DIY tax category, fiscal year
DIY category revenue share flat or higher versus prior fiscal year (no year-over-year decline) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary / disclosed DIY revenue share metrics on Q4 and full-year earnings call (10-K, investor materials)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-25
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance for the 2026 includes total company revenue growth of 11% to 12%, GAAP earnings per share growth of $0.73 to $0.79, and non GAAP earnings per share of $3.56 to $3.62.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Q4 fiscal 2026 total company revenue growth (YoY %) and non-GAAP diluted EPS
Q4 revenue growth between 11% and 12% AND non-GAAP diluted EPS between $3.56 and $3.62 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit Q4 FY2026 earnings press release / income statementKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 24% in fiscal 26.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
GAAP effective tax rate, fiscal year 2026
GAAP tax rate between 23.0% and 25.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany 10-K / fiscal Q4 earnings release and financial statementsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP diluted earnings per share of $15.79 to $15.84 growth of approximately 16% and non GAAP diluted earnings per share of $23.80 to $23.85 growth of approximately 18%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full fiscal year GAAP diluted EPS and non-GAAP diluted EPS
GAAP diluted EPS between $15.79 and $15.84 AND non-GAAP diluted EPS between $23.80 and $23.85 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal year-end earnings release / 10-K income statement and non-GAAP reconciliationKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance includes Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth of approximately 16% with desktop revenue growth in the mid single digits.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth, fiscal year (as reported vs prior fiscal year)
Full fiscal year GBSG revenue growth between 15.0% and 17.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal year earnings release / 10-K segment revenue disclosure (Q4 FY2025 call and filing)KNOWABLE AFTER2025-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Guidance includes total company revenue of $21.341 billion to $21.374 billion growth of 13% to 14%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue, full fiscal year 2026
Between $21.341 billion and $21.374 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / earnings release (10-K or Q4 FY26 earnings report)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-15
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We maintain our aim to be in the market each quarter.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Occurrence of share repurchases (stock buybacks) executed during the quarter
Company reports non-zero share repurchase activity in each fiscal quarter through Q4 FY2026 (quarter ending July 31, 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITQuarterly cash flow statement / 10-Q disclosure of share repurchasesKNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-15
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“For the full year, we expect ProTax Group revenue growth of approximately 4%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
ProTax Group segment revenue growth, full fiscal year, year-over-year
Full-year ProTax Group revenue growth between 3.0% and 5.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosure (10-K / Q4 earnings release and call)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-25
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In total, we expect to deliver more than $25 billion in refunds through our fast money offerings this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total dollar amount of refunds delivered through fast money offerings (e.g., refund advance, direct deposit speed products) for the fiscal year
>= $25 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITManagement commentary / company disclosure in Q4 or full-year earnings call and shareholder letter (INTU)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result, we expect to deliver 26% revenue growth across consumer money portfolio this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Consumer money portfolio revenue growth, fiscal year
Full-year revenue growth for consumer money portfolio >= 26% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal year-end earnings release / 10-K segment disclosure (Intuit Consumer Group commentary)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“TurboTax Live will therefore represent over half of TurboTax revenue, up 11-points versus last year, a significant milestone in our journey to disrupt the assisted category.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax Live revenue as a percentage of total TurboTax revenue, fiscal year
TurboTax Live share of TurboTax revenue > 50% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment/product revenue disclosure (10-K / Q4 earnings call, Intuit Consumer/TurboTax segment commentary)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect TurboTax Live customers to grow 38% this year, with new TurboTax Live customers up 29%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax Live customers growth rate (full-year, current tax season), and new TurboTax Live customers growth rate
TurboTax Live customers growth >= 38% AND new TurboTax Live customers growth >= 29% (excluding one-time offers), as reported for the full tax season SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit management commentary / investor presentation on Q4 FY2026 earnings call (Consumer segment, TurboTax Live metrics)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-25
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We also expect ARPU to increase 11% reflecting continued demand for assistance, and faster access to refunds.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax online ARPU growth, full fiscal year
ARPU growth >= 10.5% (approximately 11%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed TurboTax segment metrics (10-K / Q4 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Against this backdrop, we expect TurboTax online paying units to grow 2%, driven by share gains among higher ARPU filers.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax Online paying units growth, full tax season/fiscal year
TurboTax Online paying units growth >= 2% year-over-year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany earnings release / 10-K segment disclosure (Consumer segment metrics, Q4 or full-year FY2026 report)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our consumer platform grew 8% this quarter. Credit card grew 15%, and we expect TurboTax to grow 7% for the full year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax segment revenue growth, full fiscal year
Full fiscal year TurboTax revenue growth >= 6.5% (approx. 7%) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / segment disclosures (10-K or Q4 earnings release, Consumer segment tax revenue)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-25
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are committed to delivering annual EPS growth of at least mid teens over the coming years.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Annual non-GAAP diluted EPS growth rate, year-over-year, for each fiscal year through the outlook period
Annual EPS growth >= 15% for the fiscal years through FY2028 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / non-GAAP EPS reconciliation in quarterly and annual earnings releasesKNOWABLE AFTER2028-05-20
2026 Q1 (12)12 open
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“So what we are seeing is very durable and not just for the next couple of quarters.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Revenue growth rate (total company or relevant segment, as reported)
Revenue growth rate over the next several quarters (through fiscal Q4 2026 or later) remains at or above the level reported in the quarter referenced (no material deceleration versus recent quarterly trend) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and investor call commentary (10-Q/10-K and earnings call transcripts)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“I feel super confident in our guide for the full year. I feel super confident in my ability to deliver the margin expansion for the full year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full-year operating margin (or margin expansion vs prior year), as guided
Full-year reported operating margin expansion meets or exceeds the company's full-year guidance range given for this fiscal year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement and management guidance commentary (10-K / Q4 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-15
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“GAAP diluted earnings per share of $15.49 to $15.69, growth of 13% to 15% and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $22.98 to $23.18, growth of 14% to 15%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Fiscal 2026 full-year non-GAAP diluted earnings per share
Non-GAAP diluted EPS between $22.98 and $23.18 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany press release / fiscal 2026 Q4 earnings report (annual results)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Our guidance also includes overall Consumer Group revenue growth of 8% to 9%. This outlook is supported by continued strength and momentum across the portfolio, including TurboTax growth of 8%, Credit Karma growth of 10% to 13% and ProTax growth of 2% to 3%, giving us high confidence in achieving our Consumer Group guidance for the year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Consumer Group revenue growth, fiscal year 2026, as reported by Intuit
Consumer Group revenue growth between 8% and 9% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 earnings release segment revenue disclosureKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Our guidance includes Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth of 14% to 15%. We have high confidence and a lot of momentum in achieving Global Business Solutions Group revenue guidance for the year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth, full fiscal year 2026, year-over-year
Growth between 14% and 15% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 earnings release segment revenue disclosureKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2026 guidance. This includes total company revenue of $20.997 billion to $21.186 billion, growth of 12% to 13%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue, fiscal year 2026
Full-year revenue between $20.997 billion and $21.186 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / fiscal 2026 10-K and Q4 earnings releaseKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Given the current stock price and our strong confidence in the momentum of our business, we are continuing to meaningfully increase our share repurchases this year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total share repurchases (dollar amount) for fiscal year 2026
Full-year fiscal 2026 share repurchases exceed fiscal 2025 full-year repurchase total SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany cash flow statement / 10-K disclosure of share repurchases (fiscal 2026 annual report)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“This is the next chapter of Intuit, service as software built on data, AI and HI, delivering double-digit revenue growth with expanding margins.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total revenue growth (YoY %) and operating margin (non-GAAP operating income as % of revenue), fiscal year
Full fiscal year 2026 revenue growth >= 10% YoY AND non-GAAP operating margin higher than fiscal 2025 full-year margin SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly/annual income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation (10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 23% in fiscal 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
GAAP effective tax rate, fiscal year 2026
GAAP tax rate between 22.0% and 24.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany GAAP income statement / effective tax rate disclosure (10-K or Q4 FY2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We maintain our aim to be in the market each quarter.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Occurrence of share repurchases (stock buybacks) executed during each fiscal quarter
Company reports non-zero stock repurchase amount in each of the next quarterly reports through fiscal Q4 2026 (ending July 31, 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITQuarterly cash flow statement / earnings release (share repurchase disclosure)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect desktop ecosystem revenue to grow low single digits in fiscal year 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Desktop ecosystem revenue growth rate, fiscal year 2026 (full year vs prior fiscal year)
Full fiscal year 2026 desktop ecosystem revenue growth between 1% and 4% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosure (10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release and call)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-25
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to focus on improving go-to-market and product experience and now expect Mailchimp to return to double-digit growth sometime beyond fiscal 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Mailchimp segment revenue year-over-year growth rate, as disclosed in Intuit's quarterly reporting
Mailchimp revenue growth rate >= 10% year-over-year in a fiscal quarter or fiscal year reported after fiscal 2026 (i.e., not achieved within fiscal 2026) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit quarterly earnings release / 10-Q / 10-K segment disclosures and investor commentaryKNOWABLE AFTER2027-07-31
2025 Q4 (15)15 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And on CK, in the second half of the fiscal year, the comps do get harder as we lap prior year's strong performance.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Credit Karma segment revenue growth rate (YoY), second half of fiscal 2026 (Q3 and Q4)
H2 FY2026 Credit Karma revenue growth rate lower than H1 FY2026 growth rate SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosure (10-Q/10-K and quarterly earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Expect the momentum to continue its strength in GBSG online. We continue to expect strength in mid-market, continue to expect a CK offering to resonate with both partners and consumers.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.laborCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“our productivity is significantly improving when we look at the last several quarters and we would expect to start adding more headcount in coming quarters.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total employee headcount (or sales/R&D headcount as disclosed), quarter over quarter
Headcount higher than the prior quarter's reported figure in at least one of the next two quarters SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed headcount figures (10-Q/10-K or earnings call commentary)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect acceleration from these large partnerships that we've announced and many that are in the works to contribute to the back half of the year and into next year.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Revenue growth rate (total company or relevant segment, as reported) in second-half fiscal quarters, compared to prior quarters' growth rate
Year-over-year revenue growth rate in Q3/Q4 FY2026 (as reported) higher than the growth rate reported in H1 FY2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and management commentary on earnings callsKNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance for 2026 includes total company revenue growth of 14% to 15%, GAAP earnings per share of $1.76 to $1.81, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.63 to $3.68.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 23% in fiscal 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
GAAP effective tax rate, fiscal year 2026
GAAP tax rate between 22.0% and 24.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / fiscal 2026 10-K or Q4 earnings releaseKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP diluted earnings per share of $15.49 to $15.69, growth of 13% to 15%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $22.98 to $23.18, growth of 14% to 15%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Full fiscal year 2026 GAAP diluted EPS and non-GAAP diluted EPS
GAAP diluted EPS between $15.49 and $15.69, and non-GAAP diluted EPS between $22.98 and $23.18 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement and non-GAAP reconciliation (fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance also includes overall Consumer Group revenue growth of 8% to 9%, including TurboTax growth of 8%, Credit Karma growth of 10% to 13%, and Protex growth of 2% to 3%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Fiscal 2026 Consumer Group segment revenue growth, and sub-segment growth for TurboTax, Credit Karma, and ProTax/ProConnect
Consumer Group revenue growth 8%-9%; TurboTax growth approximately 8%; Credit Karma growth 10%-13%; ProTax growth 2%-3% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release segment revenue disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance includes Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth of 14% to 15%, up 15.5% to 16.5% revenue growth excluding Mailchimp.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth, fiscal year 2026, year-over-year
Reported GBSG revenue growth between 14% and 15% (or 15.5% to 16.5% excluding Mailchimp) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release (segment revenue disclosure)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2026 guidance. This includes total company revenue of $20.997 billion to $21.186 billion, growth of 12% to 13%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue, fiscal year 2026
Fiscal 2026 total revenue between $20.997 billion and $21.186 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / earnings release (10-K or Q4 FY2026 earnings report)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-15
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect desktop ecosystem revenue to grow low single digits in fiscal 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Desktop ecosystem revenue growth, fiscal year 2026 vs fiscal year 2025
Growth between 1% and 3% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to target double-digit growth for Mailchimp exiting fiscal 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Mailchimp segment revenue year-over-year growth rate, exiting fiscal 2026 (Q4 FY2026)
Mailchimp revenue growth >= 10% year-over-year in Q4 FY2026 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed segment revenue (Intuit 10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings call)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Soon, we'll be launching more advanced capacity planning, productivity, and collaboration capabilities.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We have thousands of customers in beta and plan to be GA soon.”
Test pending
2025 Q3 (10)10 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, we are confident in delivering another strong year of double-digit revenue growth and margin expansion.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue growth rate and operating margin (GAAP or non-GAAP as reported), fiscal year 2026 vs fiscal year 2025
Full-year FY2026 revenue growth >= 10% AND full-year operating margin higher than FY2025 reported operating margin SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement and management commentary (10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release and call)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 23% in fiscal 2026.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
GAAP effective tax rate, fiscal year 2026
GAAP tax rate between 22.0% and 24.0% SourceWHERE TO FIND IT10-K income statement / effective tax rate disclosure (fiscal 2026 annual report)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-15
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP diluted earnings per share of $15.49 to $15.69, growth of 13% to 15% and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $22.98 to $23.18, growth of 14% to 15%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Fiscal 2026 full-year GAAP diluted EPS and non-GAAP diluted EPS
GAAP diluted EPS between $15.49 and $15.69, AND non-GAAP diluted EPS between $22.98 and $23.18 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release income statement and non-GAAP reconciliationKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance also includes overall Consumer Group revenue growth of 8% to 9%, including TurboTax growth of 8%, Credit Karma growth of 10% to 13% and ProTax growth of 2% to 3%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Fiscal 2026 Consumer Group segment revenue growth (%), with TurboTax, Credit Karma, and ProTax sub-segment revenue growth (%)
Consumer Group revenue growth between 8% and 9%; TurboTax growth approximately 8%; Credit Karma growth between 10% and 13%; ProTax growth between 2% and 3% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit fiscal 2026 10-K and Q4 earnings release/segment disclosuresKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance includes Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth of 14% to 15% or 15.5% to 16.5% revenue growth, excluding Mailchimp.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Business Solutions Group revenue growth for fiscal 2026, as reported by Intuit (including Mailchimp basis)
Full fiscal year 2026 GBSG revenue growth between 14% and 15% (or 15.5% to 16.5% excluding Mailchimp) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit fiscal 2026 10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release segment revenue disclosureKNOWABLE AFTER2026-08-31
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our fiscal 2026 guidance includes total company revenue of $20.997 billion to $21.186 billion, growth of 12% to 13%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue, fiscal year 2026
Between $20.997 billion and $21.186 billion SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / Q4 FY2026 earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-09-15
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Finally, Credit Karma. We are reiterating our long-term revenue growth expectations of 10% to 15%, reflecting the current size and scale of the business, our focus on delivering year-round benefits that lead to engagement, monetization and TurboTax growth.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Credit Karma segment revenue growth rate, annual (long-term average)
Annualized revenue growth for Credit Karma between 10% and 15%, measured over the long-term period through fiscal 2028 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment reporting (10-K / quarterly earnings releases, Credit Karma segment revenue)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-18
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reiterating the TurboTax long-term revenue growth rate of 6% to 10% in this interim period with TurboTax Live revenue expected to grow 15% to 20%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax segment revenue growth rate, annual (year-over-year), and TurboTax Live revenue growth rate, annual
TurboTax total revenue growth between 6% and 10%, with TurboTax Live revenue growth between 15% and 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit segment revenue disclosures (10-K / Q4 earnings release and investor materials)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-18
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“This includes online paying ARPC growth of 10% to 20% and online paying customer growth of 5% to 10%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Online paying ARPC growth and online paying customer growth (Global Business Solutions Group), long-term average
Online paying ARPC growth 10%-20% and online paying customer growth 5%-10% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany earnings releases / management commentary on quarterly and annual calls (Global Business Solutions Group metrics)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-18
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“With the momentum we see in Online Ecosystem revenue growth, we are reiterating our long-term revenue growth expectations for the Global Business Solutions Group of 15% to 20%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Global Business Solutions Group segment revenue growth rate, annual, long-term average
Annual GBSG revenue growth between 15% and 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / quarterly earnings releases)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-18
2025 Q2 (14)14 open
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We said we are going to grow TurboTax Live between 15% to 20%. We have a lot of confidence in that range.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are confident in our long-term growth strategy, including double-digit revenue growth and operating income growing faster than revenue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“The impact we are seeing from implementing AI capabilities across our platform bolsters our confidence in our ability to continue to grow operating income faster than revenue, including the 100 basis point margin improvement we expect this fiscal year while investing in growth.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 26% to 27%, up from prior guidance of 18% to 20% growth and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 18% to 19%, up from prior guidance of 13% to 14% growth.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter to offset dilution from share-based compensation over a three-year period.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Based on strong progress throughout the year, we now expect GBSG revenue in the upper band of our previous guidance, representing 16% revenue growth for fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we expect online ecosystem revenue growth to accelerate to approximately 21% in Q4 and to grow approximately 20% in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect it to take several quarters to deliver improved outcomes at scale.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect online TurboTax units to decline approximately 1% this year and our share of total returns to decline approximately one point.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect pay-nothing customers of approximately 8 million, down from over 10 million last fiscal year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We saw strong monetization across simple and complex filers, driving an expected 13% increase in average revenue per return or ARPR as more customers choose our assisted offerings and fast access to refunds.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect total online paying units to grow 6% this year on share gains from higher ARPR filers.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This will be introduced in the coming weeks.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We plan to introduce a refreshed end-to-end platform that completes key jobs all in one place with a virtual team of AI agents seeing much of the work side by side with our customers.”
Test pending
2025 Q1 (13)13 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Look, we are committed to driving margin expansion over the long-term, and I feel super confident in our ability to deliver on the guidance that we've given for margin expansion this year.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are confident in our long-term growth strategy, including double-digit revenue growth and operating income growing faster than revenue.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue growth rate and operating income growth rate, fiscal year
Fiscal year revenue growth >= 10% AND operating income growth rate > revenue growth rate SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / fiscal year earnings release (10-K)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2025 guidance. This includes: total company revenue growth of 12% to 13%; GAAP operating income growth of 28% to 30%; non-GAAP operating income growth of 13% to 14%; GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 18% to 20%; and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 13% to 14%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are off to a strong start in tax this season and are reiterating our guidance for Consumer Group of 7% to 8% revenue growth in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“1099, we just think it's immaterial. We may see a lot of uptake the rest of the season, but we don't -- we view both of them as immaterial.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And even some of the questions we get around the unfortunate events in LA with the fires, we expect that to be non-material impact to our Q3.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect the business group to continue to grow overall between 15% to 20%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.laborCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In terms of expectation for the year, consistent with what we have shared before, expect it to be flat to slightly up for the year as we continue to lean into investing in areas that are key to our future growth and also using AI internally to drive efficiency in terms of our employees.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect Desktop Ecosystem revenue to grow in the low-single-digits in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we continue to expect Online Ecosystem revenue in total to grow approximately 20% in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are making early progress with product improvements, but continue to expect it to take several quarters to deliver improved outcomes at scale.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This is a segment in the long run that we would expect to grow 10% to 15%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Segment revenue growth rate, year-over-year
Segment revenue growth between 10% and 15% (long-run average over the period) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / 10-Q or quarterly earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-02-25
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter to offset dilution from share-based compensation over a three-year period.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Cumulative diluted share count offset from stock buybacks relative to shares issued from share-based compensation, over a three-year period
Cumulative shares repurchased over three fiscal years >= cumulative shares issued from share-based compensation dilution over the same period SourceWHERE TO FIND IT10-K/10-Q share repurchase and share count disclosures, cash flow statement and equity footnotesKNOWABLE AFTER2028-02-25
2024 Q4 (15)15 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“we continue to have lots of confidence in our full-year path to margin expansion as a company.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“we continue to feel really solid about our guidance for the year. And as I look internally, how we are leveraging AI and how we work as a company, I see tremendous opportunities for us to continue to expand our margin.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Our full year is intact. And it just shifted between quarters.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain confident in our long-term growth strategy, including double-digit revenue growth and operating income growing faster than revenue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2025 guidance. This includes total company revenue growth of 12 to 13%, GAAP operating income growth of 28 to 30%, non-GAAP operating income growth of 13 to 14%, GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 18 to 20%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 13 to 14%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“absolutely, we could feel very, bullish and confident in our money strategy which includes, of course, payments, bill pay, and capital. The momentum you pointed out, has been strong in Q1 and expect that to continue throughout the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“that trajectory continues to strengthen into the back half.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“expect it to, in essence, accelerate as we look ahead.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We're sort of clicking on all the key cylinders that strategically was communicated to you all. And we expect that to continue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“the biggest contribution of all those investments that we've made are to come. And so we view that in the quarters to come.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect desktop ecosystem revenue to return to growth in Q2 and overall, we expect desktop ecosystem revenue to grow in the low single digits in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we continue to expect online ecosystem revenue in total to grow approximately 20% in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“we think that will be impactful positively to our results.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.macro economyCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Our belief, which is not baked into our guidance, is that we will see an improved environment as we look ahead in 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter to offset dilution from share-based compensation over a three-year period.”
Test pending
2024 Q3 (17)17 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“And so we have a lot of confidence with the margin expansion that Sandeep articulated, and not only from the platform leverage that we're getting, but from all of our AI investments internally to drive a lot of efficiency and productivity.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So just factors to keep in mind that AI should not be not getting in the way of our commitment to continue to find operating leverage and continue to scale our margin over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“First of all, let me just start with we haven't accounted for or assumed anything in our guidance or around Intuit Assist for the coming year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 23% in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Overall, we expect desktop ecosystem revenue to grow in the low-single-digits in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In total, these changes lower Q1 fiscal 2025 revenue by approximately $160 million and are largely related to more frequent product updates, beginning in Q4 of fiscal 2024, to align the customer delivery experience to our subscription model.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We also expect approximately $50 million of desktop revenue that would have otherwise been recognized in Q1 fiscal 2025 to shift to later quarters in fiscal 2025.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In fiscal year 2025, we expect these accelerated investments to deliver best-in-class, seamless payments, capital, banking, bill pay, and invoicing solutions.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect our accelerated investment in these areas to deepen our penetration in very manual, high-priced, and dis-aggregated assisted categories.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are accelerating our investments to rollout Intuit Assist at scale in the coming year.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are confident in our long term growth strategy, including double-digit revenue growth and operating income growing faster than revenue.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Total company revenue growth rate (YoY) and operating income growth rate (YoY), fiscal year
Revenue growth >= 10% and operating income growth rate exceeds revenue growth rate, for fiscal year(s) through FY2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement (10-K / earnings release)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-22
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With that context, while we are scaling assisted, we are adjusting the Consumer Group long-term revenue growth rate to 6% to 10% in this interim period, with TurboTax Live revenue expected to grow 15% to 20%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Consumer Group segment revenue growth rate (annual, %) and TurboTax Live revenue growth rate (annual, %)
Consumer Group revenue growth between 6% and 10% AND TurboTax Live revenue growth between 15% and 20%, on average over the multi-year interim period through fiscal 2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / earnings releases, Consumer Group and TurboTax Live figures)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-22
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“TurboTax Live revenue accounted for approximately 30% of Consumer Group revenue in fiscal 2024, and we expect it to become the majority of Consumer Group revenue in the coming years.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax Live revenue as a percentage of Consumer Group revenue, fiscal year
TurboTax Live revenue share of Consumer Group revenue > 50% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / earnings call commentary on Consumer Group and TurboTax Live revenue)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-22
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With the learnings from operating in the current business cycle, we are updating our long-term revenue growth expectations to 10% to 15%, reflecting the current size and scale of the business, and as we focus on creating seamless, end-to-end experiences with TurboTax that benefit consumers from year-round.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Credit Karma segment revenue growth rate, annual (long-term average)
Average annual Credit Karma revenue growth 10%-15% over the long-term horizon (through FY2027) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit segment revenue disclosures (10-K / earnings releases, Credit Karma segment)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-22
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As part of this, we continue to expect online paying ARPC growth of 10% to 20%, and we now expect online paying customer growth of 5% to 10%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Online paying ARPC growth rate and online paying customer growth rate, Small Business and Self-Employed Group (long-term average)
Online paying ARPC growth between 10% and 20%, and online paying customer growth between 5% and 10%, over the long-term guidance period SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany quarterly earnings releases and investor fact sheets (Small Business segment metrics, Q1 FY2025 through FY2027)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-22
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With the momentum we see in online ecosystem growth, we are reiterating our long-term revenue growth expectations for the Small Business and Self-Employed Group of 15% to 20%.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Small Business and Self-Employed Group revenue growth, annual (as reported), multi-year long-term trajectory
Annual revenue growth for the Small Business and Self-Employed Group segment falls within 15%-20% for the fiscal years through FY2027 (average or representative annual figure within range) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / earnings releases and investor fact sheet)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-22
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2024 Q2 (12)12 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain committed to our financial principles, growing revenue double digits and growing operating income dollars faster -- slower than revenue, leading to expanding operating margin in fiscal 2025 and beyond.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Based on our estimates, we believe the IRS total returns will grow about 1%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“non-GAAP operating income growth of 16%, up from prior guidance of 12% to [16%] (ph) growth;”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP operating income growth of 21% to 22%, up from prior guidance of 15% to 18% growth;”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result of the strong growth we are seeing in the Small Business and Self-Employed Group, we are raising our full year segment revenue growth guidance to 18%, up from the prior guidance of 16% to 17%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As I shared last quarter, starting next fiscal year, we expect our Desktop Enterprise offering, which accounts for over half of desktop accounting revenue, to grow in the high-single digit range.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Due to yielding share with pay-nothing and lower ARPR customers, we expect our share of total consumer returns to decline approximately 80 basis points this year, and total TurboTax units to decline 1%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Overall retention is expected to be up 3 points year-over-year in fiscal 2024, close to pre-COVID levels, demonstrating the strength of our offerings and highlighting the benefits we are delivering to our customers.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect TurboTax to gain share with higher ARPR filers, as we strategically prioritized focusing on the assisted tax segment and higher value customers over the pay-nothing and lower ARPR segment.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect Small Business and Self-Employed Group revenue growth of 15% to 20% long-term.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Small Business and Self-Employed Group segment revenue growth, year-over-year, annual
Annual segment revenue growth between 15% and 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment revenue disclosures (10-K / earnings release, Small Business and Self-Employed segment)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-07-31
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect Consumer Group revenue growth of 8% to 12% long-term given the size and trajectory of TurboTax Live.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Consumer Group segment revenue year-over-year growth rate, measured over a multi-year long-term horizon
Average annual Consumer Group revenue growth between 8% and 12% over fiscal years 2025-2027 SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit segment revenue disclosures (10-K / quarterly earnings releases, Consumer Group)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-09-30
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2024 Q1 (11)11 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We look at our margins and aim to deliver our margin commitments for the full year. And I feel quite confident in our path to do so.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“GAAP earnings per share growth of 11% to 15% and non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 12% to 14%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2024 guidance. This includes total company revenue growth of 11% to 12% and GAAP operating income growth of 15% to 18%; non-GAAP operating income growth of 12% to 14%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But expect that to continue to lead to more efficiencies in a customer success calls lead to more better unit economics in a full service than live offerings, as you kind of carry that forward.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So that is where the growth formula, we continue to abide by the growth formula that we have publicly discussed about 10% to 20% customer growth, 10% to 20% ARPC growth. But as we continue to focus on the mid market, you should expect us to lean in more towards the ARPC growth because of this dynamic with the mid-market.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect that to continue for the rest of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe this will also drive higher ARPC over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe this can drive increased member engagement and conversion, and drive higher revenue per monthly active user.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe Intuit Assist will lead to higher frequency of engagement and monetization across the platform, driving customer growth, accelerated adoption of services and live offerings.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Business tax returns have a much higher average revenue per return because they are more complex and we expect them to contribute to average revenue per return expansion over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on our market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2023 Q4 (7)7 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“let me start by reiterating our commitment to having our expenses growth lower than revenue and in essence, delivering our margin expansion and operating leverage, which is something that we hold dearly and our guidance of 40 to 60 bps expansion for the year reflects the discipline that we have as a management team.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2024 guidance. This includes total company revenue growth of 11% to 12%, GAAP operating income growth of 15% to 18%, non-GAAP operating income growth of 12% to 14%, GAAP earnings per share growth of 11% to 15% and non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 12% to 14%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“You're right, some of those will get caught up, and we'll have those expenses in Q2 and so once you look at Q1 and Q2 spent together, those things will start normalizing out.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I would not expect any meaningful shift in the seasonality of our marketing spend, which I think is the question that you're asking.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect the online ecosystem to be a growth catalyst longer term.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we expect continued strong desktop ecosystem to revenue growth this year as we complete the remaining part of the three-year transition.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2023 Q3 (10)10 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The 40 to 60 bps of guidance reflects those investments and, quite frankly, reflects the strength and resilience of our platform.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 23% in fiscal 2024.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim to be -- is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect the online ecosystem to be our growth catalyst longer-term.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we expect continued strong desktop ecosystem revenue growth next year as we complete the remaining part of the three-year transition.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Over the long term, we remain committed to our growth algorithm of 10% to 20% ARPC and customer growth.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Combined ARPC (average revenue per customer) growth and customer growth rates, long-term average
Long-term average combined growth rate (ARPC growth + customer growth) between 10% and 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany-disclosed segment metrics and management commentary (10-K / quarterly earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-08-24
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“As I look ahead, I see plenty of runway for us to continue to operate in accordance with our financial principles to grow expenses slower than revenue, therefore, implying a margin expansion.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Operating margin expansion (revenue growth rate vs operating expense growth rate; change in operating margin in basis points)
Operating expense growth rate < revenue growth rate for the fiscal year, resulting in year-over-year operating margin expansion (>0 bps) SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany income statement / operating margin disclosure in 10-K and quarterly earnings releasesKNOWABLE AFTER2024-08-24
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“You're going to see more come from ARPC than volume, and that's just the nature of the opportunity.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax consumer segment revenue growth attributable to ARPC (average revenue per customer) versus volume/customer count growth
ARPC growth contribution to TurboTax revenue growth exceeds volume/customer growth contribution, as described in management commentary SourceWHERE TO FIND ITmanagement commentary on earnings calls / Intuit Consumer segment disclosures (10-K/10-Q and investor materials)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-08-24
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we continue to anticipate Small Business and Self-Employed revenue growth of 15% to 20% per year in long term.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Small Business and Self-Employed segment revenue year-over-year growth rate
Annual growth rate between 15% and 20%, assessed as the multi-year average/trend over the long-term horizon SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit segment reporting (10-K / quarterly earnings releases, Small Business and Self-Employed segment)KNOWABLE AFTER2028-08-24
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Approximately $4.2 billion of the debt is maturing over the next 15 months and we are evaluating refinancing opportunities subject to market and other conditions.”
Test pending
2023 Q2 (16)16 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“And then with one quarter left in the year, we, of course, have confidence to improve the guidance that we provided to what Michelle shared earlier.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are innovating across all verticals and continue to have confidence in our long-term revenue growth expectations of 20% to 25%, despite near-term headwinds.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are raising our total company fiscal year 2023 revenue, operating income, earnings per share guidance.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Yes, you're right in what you heard us say earlier, which is we would expect retention to be down 1 point-plus.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“non-GAAP operating income growth of 21%, up from prior guidance of 17% to 19% growth;”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP operating income growth of 19% to 20%, up from prior guidance of 9% to 13% growth;”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“However, we continue to expect personal loan revenue to decline this year after very strong growth in fiscal 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect the online ecosystem to be our growth catalyst longer-term.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we expect continued strong desktop ecosystem revenue growth next quarter and as we complete the remaining part of the three-year transition.”
Test pending
AWAITS REPORTVERDICTThe period has ended; the company has not reported it yet.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to anticipate Consumer Group revenue growth of 8% to 12% long-term.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Consumer Group revenue growth rate, annual (fiscal year over fiscal year)
Consumer Group revenue growth between 8% and 12% for fiscal year SourceWHERE TO FIND ITcompany-disclosed segment revenue (10-K / earnings release, Consumer Group segment)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-07-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect TurboTax Online paying customers to decline 1% this year, and a total of over 11 million customers who pay us nothing, down from 13 million last year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result of this expected decline in IRS returns, we anticipate total customers to decline 5% this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect TurboTax Live customers to grow 13% this year, with TurboTax Live revenue up 19%, and total average revenue per return to grow 12%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect our share of total IRS returns to be down approximately 80 basis points this fiscal year, primarily reflecting pandemic-era stimulus filers who did not file taxes this season.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“And I believe in the next several years, this will actually be the largest part of the TurboTax business.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
TurboTax Live revenue (or DIY/assisted segment revenue) as a share of total TurboTax segment revenue
TurboTax Live revenue > revenue of all other TurboTax offerings combined, i.e., Live becomes the largest component of TurboTax segment revenue SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit segment disclosures / management commentary (10-K, investor presentations, earnings calls)KNOWABLE AFTER2026-11-23
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2023 Q1 (14)14 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“That is what continues to give us a lot of confidence in our 15% to 20% long-term expectations for the small business franchise.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2023 guidance. This includes total company revenue growth of 10% to 12%, GAAP operating income growth of 9% to 13% and non-GAAP operating income growth of 17% to 19%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain confident in our guidance of a decline of 15% to 10% in fiscal 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain confident in our guidance for Consumer Group of 9% to 10% revenue growth for fiscal 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain confident in our guidance for total Small Business and Self-Employed group of 19% to 20% revenue growth this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We continue to have confidence in our long-term growth expectations of 20% to 25% despite near-term headwinds.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Yes, I would say that this year, we could pretty much expect the same – that same trend to continue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“It will translate into faster revenue growth, sort of, in the coming quarters, which is, by the way, not embedded in our guidance, just to be clear, but we're excited about the progress that we're making.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I think we'll see the results of that in the next two to three quarters, where we'll start making a bigger impact in not only retaining our high-value customers, but also penetration in mid-market.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I think it was even more pronounced in small business because of the business model shift in desktop, where we are bringing pricing to parity with online and we just -- we expect that to continue in the next several quarters, but that there's a durability element of this, not just a quarterly element for this.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe the majority of our growth will continue to come from volume and mix and price will always be a lever because particularly that we are moving upmarket.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“The strength of our businesses, as Michelle and I described a moment ago, and we expect that strength to continue, although, when you look at our guidance, I think the way you should look at our guidance is that it has been de-risked for sure, for the rest of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect the online ecosystem to be our growth catalyst going forward.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2022 Q4 (14)14 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We actually feel like our guidance in Small Business is derisked because we make certain assumptions around how things will potentially play out the remainder of the year that we took into account when we set the initial guidance, and we still feel very good about the guidance.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We feel that it is absolutely derisked. We -- as you heard from Michelle and I, we have built a deterioration and conservatism in the back half of the year because we have taken into account uptick in both unemployment and delinquency rates, and therefore, have put out a guidance that we believe is the risk.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But we have assumed that, that will get worse over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In essence, yes, we're continuing to see growth in credit cards, but we're actually assuming that, that will really deteriorate the rest of the year based on unemployment going up and delinquency rates going up.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.pricingCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I think the way to think about it is we're going to continue to see ARPU growth into the future, and a lot of it will come from the assisted segment.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“And we expect that momentum to continue the rest of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We are reiterating our GAAP and non-GAAP operating income and earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“In both businesses, we expect the majority of our growth this year to come from customer growth and mix.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This embeds the current trends we're seeing and additional conservatism in the remainder of the year despite the expected continued rollout of several new innovations.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect personal loan revenue to decline this year after very strong growth in fiscal 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect the Online Ecosystem to be our growth catalyst going forward.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Regardless of the near-term macro volatility, we remain confident in our long-term revenue growth expectations of 20% to 25% for Credit Karma driven by our vision and innovation to become the self-driving financial platform fueling prosperity for all consumers.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Credit Karma segment revenue growth rate, year-over-year
Average annual revenue growth for Credit Karma between fiscal 2023 and fiscal 2027 falls within 20%-25% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITIntuit segment revenue disclosures (10-K / earnings releases, Credit Karma segment)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-31
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“In some cases, we have elements of our tax business that actually we've assumed may decline in the second quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2022 Q3 (12)12 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“So, we actually see more normality as we look ahead than we experienced in the last 2 to 3 years.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Looking ahead, we expect stock-based compensation as a percentage of revenue to flatten over the next few years.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect a GAAP tax rate of 25% in fiscal 2023.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our overall guidance assumes recent demand trends continue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance includes revenue growth of 19% to 20% for Small Business and Self-employed, 9% to 10% for the Consumer segment and 10% to 15% for Credit Karma.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to ramp up marketing in September after these enhancements are complete.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect Lightbox to help make Credit Karma’s business more resilient in a recessionary environment.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.competitionCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We do expect Lightbox to continue to be a differentiator for Credit Karma as this technology allows lenders to deploy their targeting models in an encrypted environment and leverage thousands of anonymized financial attributes related to Credit Karma members and TurboTax customers.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“First on tax, our tax businesses are very resilient, and we do not expect a mild recession to have any significant impact.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“I’m pleased we are guiding to another year of strong revenue growth and strong margins in fiscal year 2023.”
Test pending
OPENVERDICTDeadline not reached yet; the claim is still on the clock.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect total Small Business and Self-Employed long-term revenue growth of 15% to 20%, up from 10% to 15% previously.”
WHAT TO LOOK FOR
Small Business and Self-Employed segment revenue growth rate, long-term average (multi-year)
Multi-year average annual growth rate between 15% and 20% SourceWHERE TO FIND ITCompany segment reporting (10-K / earnings releases, Small Business and Self-Employed segment revenue)KNOWABLE AFTER2027-08-23
2022 Q2 (18)18 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain committed to growing organic revenue double digits and growing operating income dollars faster than revenue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“With our investments in the product that I mentioned a moment ago, the investments that we are making strategically in marketing and that will accelerate over time. And then doing so going upmarket and international, we expect that will be accretive to growth as we head into the future.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“given the way our business works, the platform that we have, and really the need that small businesses and consumers have in times like these, even more for our products and our platform, we don’t anticipate seeing an impact.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.costsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect a GAAP tax rate of approximately 20% this year, up from 18% previously”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP earnings per share of $6.95 to $7.01, down from prior guidance of $7 to $7.17”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We take a disciplined approach to capital management, investing the cash we generate in opportunities that yield an expected return on investment greater than 15%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As we have shared before, as we lean into our platform strategy, we see the opportunity for margin expansion over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Longer term, we don’t expect the desktop business to be a growth driver for the Small Business and Self-Employed Group.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe the best measure of the health and success of our strategy is online ecosystem revenue growth, which we expect to grow better than 30% organically over time. This is driven by 10% to 20% expected growth in both customers and ARPC.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect the base of customers paying us nothing in our commercial-free offering to decline 11% this year to just over 13 million from over 14 million last year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a result of the weaker IRS returns, we now expect total customer growth of 1%, including TurboTax Online paying customer growth of 8% this year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect the do-it-yourself category share of total IRS returns to be flat this year below our expectations after growing an average of approximately 1 point per year over the last 2 years.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We now expect overall IRS returns to decline 3% through July 31 compared to IRS returns growth of 3% to 4% the last 2 seasons.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We anticipate achieving a significant milestone with TurboTax Live revenue reaching $1 billion in fiscal year 2022, growing approximately 30% and customers growing 20%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect customers in under-penetrated segments, including Latinx, self-employed and investors to grow double-digits in total.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This fiscal year, we expect our share of total IRS returns to be up approximately 1 point and our share of the do-it-yourself category to increase 2 points.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“We expect this to take time for it to translate into financial results, but we’re excited about the potential.”
Test pending
2022 Q1 (12)12 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“So the demand continues, whether the interest rates are high or low because they're looking to access financial products.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We are reaffirming our fiscal 2022 guidance, including 26% to 28% revenue growth or 18% to 20% growth excluding Mailchimp.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain committed to growing organic revenue double digits and growing operating income dollars faster than revenue.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“We remain confident in our plans and guidance of 10% to 11% revenue growth for fiscal 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“If you recall, probably a couple of quarters ago, Michelle and I both talked about the fact that we expect a tapering of originations in the second half of the year, we would expect to continue to see strength because of our execution and because of Lightbox and the fact that we really deliver personalized experiences, which is good for members and good for partners, but we expect a tapering of origination.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect to complete this process before we file our 10-Q.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We take a disciplined approach to capital management, investing the cash we generate in opportunities that yield an expected return on investment greater than 15%.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As we shared before, as we lean into our platform strategy, we see the opportunity for margin expansion over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Longer term, we expect the desktop business to decline.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a reminder, this fall, we transitioned to a subscription model for this year's desktop offering, which we expect to be a headwind to revenue growth in the second half of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe the best measure of the health and success of our strategy is Online Ecosystem revenue growth, which we expect to grow better than 30% organically over time.”
Test pending
2021 Q4 (13)13 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“Excluding Mailchimp, our non-GAAP operating income guidance continues to imply approximately 60 basis points of margin expansion in fiscal 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHigh conviction · “confident”, “clear line of sight”, absolute language
“This updated fiscal 2022 guidance includes organic growth for the small business and self-employed segment of 16% to 17%, up from 12% to 14%, expected Mailchimp revenue of $760 million to $770 million, and Credit Karma revenue of $1.54 billion to $1.565 billion, up from $1.345 billion to $1.38 billion.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.productCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We actually put the impact of Credit Karma integrated as part of TurboTax and vice versa is almost 3 years out because we really want to nail the experience.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We do believe that in the next year or less, that international will start to slowly bounce back.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We do expect to see some headwinds for that growth as we go further out through the rest of the year, especially with all the subscriber growth instead of an outright.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“However, we expect an approximate 80 basis points onetime step-down in non-GAAP operating margin reflecting the impact of Mailchimp as we plan to invest aggressively in the business.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“Our guidance assumes the Mailchimp transaction is accretive to Intuit 's non-GAAP earnings per share in full-year fiscal 2022.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to expect pent-up demand across the core verticals to taper sometime in the second half of fiscal 2022 after a strong year of investment by our partners.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect the Desktop business to decline longer-term.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“As a reminder, this fall we transitioned to a subscription model for this year's Desktop offering, which we expect to be a headwind to revenue growth in the second half of the year.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“This is driven by 10% to 20% expected growth in both customers and ARPC.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe the best measure of the health and success of our strategy is Online Ecosystem revenue growth, which we expect to grow better than 30% organically over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending
2021 Q3 (12)12 open
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“It's really in credit cards and personal loans that we believe originations will go back to pre - COVID levels, which were strong, it's just there was pent-up demand so it grew to double-digits.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.demandCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But with that said, we're assuming a much slower recovery international than we are in the U.S. because I think it's just really important that we get out of this health crisis.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We have continued to say that we expect gross margin to remain fairly flat over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“But we do anticipate that that will just continue to decline over time.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We continue to see margin expansion opportunities ahead.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“On a non-GAAP basis, our guidance implies operating margin in fiscal 2022 expands approximately 60 basis points.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“However, our guidance implied GAAP operating margin declined just over 2 points in fiscal 2022 versus fiscal 2021.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.marginsCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“GAAP earnings per share of $7.46 to $7.66 and non - GAAP earnings per share of $11.05 to $11.25.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We believe the best measure of the health and success of our strategy is Online Ecosystem revenue growth, which we expect to grow better than 30% over time. This is driven by 10% to 20% expected growth in both customers and ARPC.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.otherCONVICTIONStated expectation · “we expect”, “should”, “we see”
“We expect no impact on revenue from this decision.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.growthCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“In terms of those things turning into material customer revenue growth, there -- we're not counting on that in the near-term, we're counting on that more on the mid-term because we want to really continue to nail the experience in creating ecosystem benefit across all of our members.”
Test pending
OVERDUEVERDICTPast its deadline, awaiting the next reporting evidence.capital allocationCONVICTIONHedged language · “we hope”, “could”, “if conditions allow”
“Depending on market conditions and other factors, our aim is to be in the market each quarter.”
Test pending